{"id":5676,"date":"2012-10-04T03:10:50","date_gmt":"2012-10-04T07:10:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5676"},"modified":"2012-10-04T03:10:50","modified_gmt":"2012-10-04T07:10:50","slug":"gold-tips-and-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/04\/gold-tips-and-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold, TIPS and inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Dollar Index rally to test resistance at 81.00\/81.50 appears to be faltering. Respect of resistance would confirm the primary down-trend. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero earlier indicated a trend change; a peak below zero would strengthen the signal.<\/p>\n

\"US<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 81 – ( 84 – 81 ) = 78<\/span><\/p>\n

Spot Gold continues to test resistance at $1800 per ounce*. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero would signal a primary up-trend, while breakout above $1800 would confirm.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1650 + ( 1650 – 1500 ) = 1800<\/span><\/p>\n

Rising gold prices indicate increased inflation expectations. The spread between 10-year Treasury yields and the equivalent TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) yield also spiked up after the latest QE announcement but then retreated. The inflation effect of quantitative easing by the Fed is likely to be muted by deflationary pressures from private debt contraction — and a slow-down in government debt expansion after November (no matter who wins the election) — working in the opposite direction. I believe the Fed goal is to manufacture a soft landing rather than to generate inflation, which would go against their mandate.<\/p>\n

\"10-Year<\/p>\n

Commodities: The RJ\/CRB Commodities index has been delisted by ICE Futures US (formerly NYBOT). For details click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The equivalent DJ-UBS Commodity Index is testing resistance at 150\/155. Respect would warn of another test of primary support at 125, but also that inflation expectations remain muted.<\/p>\n

\"DJ-UBS<\/p>\n

Brent Crude is correcting despite the rise in inflation expectations, reflecting slowing economic activity rather than improved security. Follow-through below $108 per barrel would indicate a correction to $100, while reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would suggest a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n

\"ICE<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Dollar Index rally to test resistance at 81.00\/81.50 appears to be faltering. Respect of resistance would confirm the primary down-trend. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero earlier indicated a trend change; a peak below zero would strengthen the signal. * Target calculation: 81 – ( 84 – 81 ) = 78 Spot Gold … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Gold, TIPS and inflation”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,8,35],"tags":[495,815,861,1064,1073,1580,3204],"class_list":["post-5676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-gold-commodities","category-us-dollar-index","tag-brent-crude","tag-copper","tag-crb-commodities-index","tag-dj-ubs-commodity-index","tag-dollar-index","tag-gold-bugs-index","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"\nGold, TIPS and inflation - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold, TIPS and inflation - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Dollar Index rally to test resistance at 81.00\/81.50 appears to be faltering. Respect of resistance would confirm the primary down-trend. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1ty","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5739,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/11\/gold-and-commodities-wait-on-the-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":5676,"position":0},"title":"Gold and commodities wait on the dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 11, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index rally recovered and is headed for a test of resistance at 81.00\/81.50. Respect of resistance would confirm the primary down-trend. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero also signals a\u00a0primary down-trend; a peak below zero would strengthen the signal. * Target calculation: 81 - ( 84 -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5596,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/26\/dollar-down-gold-up-but-crude-falls-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":5676,"position":1},"title":"Dollar bounce, gold and copper retrace","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 26, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index is retracing to test resistance at 81.00\/81.50. Respect would confirm the primary down-trend, as indicated by 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero. * Target calculation: 81 - ( 84 - 81 ) = 78 Spot Gold is retracing below resistance at $1800 per ounce*. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5837,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/24\/gold-and-commodities-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":5676,"position":2},"title":"Gold and commodities fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 24, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index is consolidating between 79 and 80. Upward breakout would test resistance at 81.00\/81.50 -- penetration of the descending trendline indicating the correction has ended -- but the primary trend is downward and breach of support at 79 would signal another decline. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5354,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/29\/gold-and-dollar-test-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":5676,"position":3},"title":"Gold and dollar test support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 29, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index is testing primary support at 81.00\/81.50. Failure would signal reversal to a primary down-trend. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would also suggest a reversal, while respect of the zero line would indicate continuation of the primary up-trend. * Target calculation: 82 + ( 82 -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5448,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/13\/dollar-weak-gold-bugs-double-bottom-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":5676,"position":4},"title":"Dollar down-trend, gold and commodities rally","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 13, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index broke primary support at 81.00 and the rising trendline on the weekly chart, signaling reversal to a primary down-trend. Fall of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero strengthens the signal. Expect retracement to test the new resistance level at 81.00\/82.00. Respect is likely and would confirm the primary\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5963,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/31\/gold-and-dollar-test-support-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":5676,"position":5},"title":"Gold and dollar test support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 31, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index (daily chart) broke medium-term resistance at 80 before retracing to test the new support level. Penetration of the descending trendline indicates the correction has ended. A long tail on Wednesday indicates (short-term) buying pressure; respect of support would signal an advance to 81. But the primary trend\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5676"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5676\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}