{"id":5530,"date":"2012-09-19T22:45:35","date_gmt":"2012-09-20T02:45:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5530"},"modified":"2012-09-19T22:45:35","modified_gmt":"2012-09-20T02:45:35","slug":"forex-update-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/19\/forex-update-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex Update"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Euro is testing resistance at $1.32 and its descending trendline. Upward breakout would warn the primary down-trend is ending. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero indicates a primary up-trend. Breakout above the 2012 high of $1.35* would strengthen the signal, but only a higher trough of several weeks would confirm.<\/p>\n

\"Euro\/USD\"<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1.275 + ( 1.275 – 1.20 ) = 1.35<\/span><\/p>\n

Pound Sterling is correcting to support around \u20ac1.22 against the Euro. Breach of the rising trendline would warn the primary up-trend is ending, while retreat of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would suggest a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n

\"Pound<\/p>\n

Canada’s Loonie is testing the new support level against the greenback at $1.02.\u00a0 Respect of support would confirm the primary up-trend indicated by long-term bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum. Target for the advance is $1.08* but expect resistance at the 2011 highs of $1.06.<\/p>\n

\"Canadian<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1.02 +( 1.02 – 0.96 ) = 1.08<\/span><\/p>\n

The Aussie Dollar respected resistance at $1.06 against the greenback, retreating to test support at $1.04 on the daily chart. Respect of support is likely and follow-through above $1.05 would indicate another test of $1.06. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero signals a primary up-trend. Breakout above $1.06 would confirm.\u00a0 Expect resistance at $1.075\/$1.08, but target for an advance is $1.10*.<\/p>\n

\"Aussie<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1.06 + ( 1.06 – 1.02 ) = 1.10<\/span><\/p>\n

The Aussie Dollar is testing resistance at \u00a583.50 against the Japanese Yen. Recovery of 63-Day Twiggs Momentum above zero indicates a primary up-trend. Breakout would signal an advance to \u00a588*. Reversal below \u00a579.50 is unlikely but would re-test primary support at \u00a574.<\/p>\n

\"Aussie<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 84 + ( 84 – 80 ) = 88<\/span><\/p>\n

A few readers objected to my view that the RBA should intervene to prevent further appreciation of the Australian Dollar. One reason cited is that the RBA is not strong enough to stand up to global capital markets and would eventually be forced to capitulate. I disagree. If you are printing your own money you can take on all-comers. The SNB demonstrated this by preventing depreciation of the euro against the Swiss Franc, pegging the rate at 1.20 CHF for the last year.<\/p>\n

\"Euro\/Swiss<\/p>\n

The second argument was that “the market knows best” and any interference would cause more problems than it solves. My answer to that is that capital markets are subject to huge ebbs and flows, some determined by trade fluctuations but primarily caused by speculative flows and deliberate strategies by other central banks. If the RBA fails to act, local industry exposed to international competition may be irreparably damaged by loss of international markets and being under-cut in local markets by cheap imports. When the tide eventually turns, and the dollar weakens, it would be difficult to restore those industries if key capital equipment and skilled jobs have been lost.<\/p>\n

The US is a perfect example: China and Japan hold more than $2 trillion in US treasury investments which helped to suppress appreciation of their currencies against the greenback, maintaining a trade advantage which cost the US millions of manufacturing jobs. It will be difficult to restore those industries lost even if the imbalance is corrected.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Euro is testing resistance at $1.32 and its descending trendline. Upward breakout would warn the primary down-trend is ending. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero indicates a primary up-trend. Breakout above the 2012 high of $1.35* would strengthen the signal, but only a higher trough of several weeks would confirm. * Target calculation: … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Forex Update”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[38,40,7,33,34],"tags":[287,560,1292,1935,2727,3313],"class_list":["post-5530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-africa-south-america","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-forex","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-aussie-dollar","tag-canadian-loonie","tag-euro","tag-japanese-yen","tag-pound-sterling","tag-swiss-franc"],"yoast_head":"\nForex Update - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forex Update - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Euro is testing resistance at $1.32 and its descending trendline. Upward breakout would warn the primary down-trend is ending. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero indicates a primary up-trend. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1rc","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5747,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/12\/forex-euro-recovers-aussie-sterling-test-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":5530,"position":0},"title":"Forex: Euro recovers, Aussie & Sterling weaken","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 12, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro is headed for another re-test of resistance at $1.32 and its descending trendline. Breakout would signal a primary up-trend. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero strengthens the signal. Reversal below $1.26 is unlikely but would warn of another test of primary support at $1.20. * Target calculation:\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Africa & South America"","block_context":{"text":"Africa & South America","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/africa-south-america\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5471,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/14\/forex-euro-pound-sterling-canadian-loonie-australian-dollar-and-japanese-yen-5\/","url_meta":{"origin":5530,"position":1},"title":"Forex: Euro, Pound Sterling, Canadian Loonie, Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 14, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro broke out above its trend channel and resistance at $1.2750 on the daily chart to signal a primary up-trend. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero confirms. Target for the advance is the 2012 high of $1.35*. * Target calculation: 1.275 + ( 1.275 - 1.20 ) =\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Africa & South America"","block_context":{"text":"Africa & South America","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/africa-south-america\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5840,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/25\/forex-aussie-dollar-euro-pound-sterling-and-canadas-loonie\/","url_meta":{"origin":5530,"position":2},"title":"Forex: Aussie Dollar, Euro, Pound Sterling and Canada's Loonie","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 25, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Aussie Dollar (daily chart) is headed for another test of resistance at $1.04 against the greenback. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero suggests a primary up-trend. Breakout above $1.04 would offer a target of $1.06*. * Target calculation: 1.04 + ( 1.04 - 1.02 ) = 1.06 The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Africa & South America"","block_context":{"text":"Africa & South America","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/africa-south-america\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5409,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/07\/forex-euro-pound-sterling-canadian-loonie-australian-dollar-and-japanese-yen-4\/","url_meta":{"origin":5530,"position":3},"title":"Forex: Euro, Pound Sterling, Canadian Loonie, Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 7, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro is headed for $1.275, unaffected so far by the announcement that the ECB will purchase government bonds in the secondary market. Expect strong\u00a0resistance at $1.275, reversal below the lower trend channel would warn of a correction. Pound Sterling is weakening against the euro, with a descending triangle testing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Africa & South America"","block_context":{"text":"Africa & South America","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/africa-south-america\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6032,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/06\/forex-euro-pound-sterling-australian-dollar-and-canadian-loonie-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":5530,"position":4},"title":"Forex: Euro, Pound Sterling, Australian Dollar and Canadian Loonie","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 6, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro is testing support at $1.28. Breakout would respect the primary down-trend, warning of another test of primary support at the 2010 low at $1.19\/1.20. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal. Recovery above $1.32 is less likely but would indicate an advance to $1.35\/$1.36*.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4723,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/28\/forex-euro-pound-sterling-australian-dollar-and-canadian-loonie\/","url_meta":{"origin":5530,"position":5},"title":"Forex: Euro, Pound Sterling, Australian Dollar and Canadian Loonie","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 28, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro retreated below support at $1.26, indicating a test of the 2010 low at $1.19\/1.20. Breach of the rising trendline on 63-day Twiggs Momentum would strengthen the bear signal. Pound Sterling is testing resistance at $1.58 against the greenback. Respect would indicate\u00a0 another test of primary support at $1.52.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5530"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5530\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}