{"id":548,"date":"2011-08-31T07:11:40","date_gmt":"2011-08-31T11:11:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=548"},"modified":"2011-08-31T07:11:40","modified_gmt":"2011-08-31T11:11:40","slug":"one-number-says-it-all-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/31\/one-number-says-it-all-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\/","title":{"rendered":"One Number Says it All &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p><span style=\"color:#008080;\">The number is 0.2%. It is the average annualized growth of US consumer spending over the past 14 quarters \u2013 calculated in inflation-adjusted terms from the first quarter of 2008 to the second quarter of 2011. Never before in the post-World War II era have American consumers been so weak for so long. This one number encapsulates much of what is wrong today in the US \u2013 and in the global economy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#008080;\">&#8230;&#8230;With retrenchment and balance-sheet repair only in its early stages, the zombie-like behavior of American consumers should persist. The 2.1% consumption growth trend realized during the anemic recovery of the past two years could well be indicative of what lies ahead for years to come.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/roach8\/English\">One Number Says it All &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The number is 0.2%. It is the average annualized growth of US consumer spending over the past 14 quarters \u2013 calculated in inflation-adjusted terms from the first quarter of 2008 to the second quarter of 2011. Never before in the post-World War II era have American consumers been so weak for so long. This one &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/31\/one-number-says-it-all-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;One Number Says it All &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[335,800,801,3551],"class_list":["post-548","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-balance-sheet-repair","tag-consumption","tag-consumption-growth","tag-us"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>One Number Says it All - Stephen S. Roach - Project Syndicate - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"One Number Says it All - Stephen S. Roach - Project Syndicate - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The number is 0.2%. It is the average annualized growth of US consumer spending over the past 14 quarters \u2013 calculated in inflation-adjusted terms from the first quarter of 2008 to the second quarter of 2011. Never before in the post-World War II era have American consumers been so weak for so long. This one &hellip; Continue reading &quot;One Number Says it All &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/31\/one-number-says-it-all-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-08-31T11:11:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/08\\\/31\\\/one-number-says-it-all-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2011\\\/08\\\/31\\\/one-number-says-it-all-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"One Number Says it All &#8211; Stephen S. 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But unlike China, the downshift is more pronounced \u2013 GDP growth fell through the 7% threshold in the third calendar-year\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;India &amp; Singapore&quot;","block_context":{"text":"India &amp; Singapore","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/india-singapore-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5012,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/31\/stephen-roach-america-cant-keep-relying-on-spending-to-drive-the-economy-business-insider\/","url_meta":{"origin":548,"position":1},"title":"STEPHEN ROACH: America Can&#039;t Keep Relying On Spending To Drive The Economy &#8211; Business Insider","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 31, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"STEPHEN ROACH highlights the importance of capital investment in any US recovery: Over the last 18 quarters, annualized growth in real consumer demand has averaged a mere 0.7%, compared to a 3.6% growth trend in the decade before the crisis erupted...... Consumption typically accounts for 70% of GDP (71% in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26535,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/06\/26\/sp-500-and-the-fed-taper\/","url_meta":{"origin":548,"position":2},"title":"S&#038;P 500 and the Fed taper","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 26, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"S&P 500 earnings forecasts show a sizable jump in the March quarter (97.3% reported) followed by a weaker June quarter as the economy struggles with supply chain interruptions and labor shortages. Record operating margins of 13.0% estimated for the first quarter (March '21) are unlikely to be repeated. 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