{"id":5396,"date":"2012-09-06T00:11:15","date_gmt":"2012-09-06T04:11:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5396"},"modified":"2012-09-06T00:11:15","modified_gmt":"2012-09-06T04:11:15","slug":"chinas-overinvestment-the-problem-of-having-too-much","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/06\/chinas-overinvestment-the-problem-of-having-too-much\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s overinvestment: the problem of having too much"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Zarathustra:<\/p>\n

How is it that an economy grows at 7.6% yoy is squeezing corporate profitability so hard? How is it that an economy growing at 7.6% yoy feel like there is not enough demand for all the goods and services being produced?…..The answer, to our mind, is quite simply that China has been investing in too much productive capacity…… The return on investments might be good before the financial crisis, yet the collapse of external demand after the financial crisis and more recently in the persistent Euro Crisis have cut external demand significantly. Meanwhile, domestic demand is not growing quite enough to pick up the slack created by collapse of external demand. Worse still, it is rather clear that domestic demand has been sustained by none other than investment itself. Thus, it should come as very little surprise that IMF\u2019s estimate put China\u2019s capacity utilisation at just about 60%.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

via China\u2019s overinvestment: the problem of having too much<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Hat tip to Macrobusiness.com.au<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Zarathustra: How is it that an economy grows at 7.6% yoy is squeezing corporate profitability so hard? How is it that an economy growing at 7.6% yoy feel like there is not enough demand for all the goods and services being produced?…..The answer, to our mind, is quite simply that China has been investing … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “China\u2019s overinvestment: the problem of having too much”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,5],"tags":[566,663,1079,1330,2597],"class_list":["post-5396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-economy","tag-capacity-utilization","tag-china","tag-domestic-demand","tag-external-demand","tag-overinvestment"],"yoast_head":"\nChina\u2019s overinvestment: the problem of having too much - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China\u2019s overinvestment: the problem of having too much - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Zarathustra: How is it that an economy grows at 7.6% yoy is squeezing corporate profitability so hard? 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At the end of 2007, trade surplus accounted for more than 7.5% of GDP. Currently, the same number is at its low single\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":63383,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/16\/china-threatens-a-global-recession\/","url_meta":{"origin":5396,"position":1},"title":"China threatens a global recession","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 16, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Falling crude oil prices warn of a global economic contraction. Shrinking industrial output in China is a significant contributor. China's growing reliance on exports, as domestic demand slows, makes it vulnerable to increased trade barriers. Declining demand for crude oil warns that the global economy is slowing. Brent\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-15-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-15-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-15-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":12826,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/01\/25\/chinas-commodity-demand-has-barely-begun-its-fall-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":5396,"position":2},"title":"China’s commodity demand has barely begun its fall – MacroBusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 25, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"These four charts, posted from Investing in Chinese Stocks by David Llewellyn-Smith, illustrate China's failure to rebalance their economy and the challenge that economies reliant on Chinese real estate and infrastructure investment, like Australia, face. ....China now accounts for fully a third of global industrial production (up from only 5%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20638,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/06\/02\/china-recovery-stalls\/","url_meta":{"origin":5396,"position":3},"title":"China: Recovery stalls","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 2, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The Trivium National Business Activity Index shows that China's recovery from the COVID19 shutdown is sticking stubbornly below 90%. They conclude with the following observations: Get smart: The now glacial rate of work resumption is highly concerning. Get smarter: It looks increasingly unlikely that China will end the year with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20051,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/05\/16\/chinas-pique\/","url_meta":{"origin":5396,"position":4},"title":"China’s Pique","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 16, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The title is from George Magnus' excellent summary of the threats facing China in the near future \"From peak China to China pique.\" China has grown increasingly belligerent in recent months as it tries to cover up its role in the COVID19 pandemic. In doing so it has compounded the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6133,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/12\/japan-economy-shrinks-as-china-dispute-takes-toll\/","url_meta":{"origin":5396,"position":5},"title":"Japan economy shrinks as China dispute takes toll","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 12, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Elaine Kurtenbach at USA Today writes: Japan's economy contracted in the latest quarter, signaling that like Europe it may already be in recession, further weighing down world growth. On an annualized basis, the world's No. 3 economy shrank 3.5% in the July-September quarter, the government reported Monday. It was in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5396\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}