{"id":5390,"date":"2012-09-04T22:12:35","date_gmt":"2012-09-05T02:12:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5390"},"modified":"2012-09-04T22:12:35","modified_gmt":"2012-09-05T02:12:35","slug":"dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/","title":{"rendered":"Don&#039;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By William R. Emmons:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The recession itself could be described as a period in which consumer spending contracted sharply, while other sources of private demand were unable to offset the shortfall. The subsequent recovery, such as it is, largely has been the result of massive government interventions in the form of financial rescues, unprecedented monetary stimulus and record-breaking government budget deficits. We&#8217;re left with extremely low short-term and long-term interest rates, as well as historically large budget deficits\u2014all of which must reverse at some point.<br \/>\n&#8230;..To assure strong, sustainable growth in the long term, the U.S. economy needs to include a larger role for business investment and exports than has been the case in recent decades.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.stlouisfed.org\/publications\/re\/articles\/?id=2201&amp;utm_source=Twitter&amp;utm_medium=SM&amp;utm_campaign=Twitter\">Don&#8217;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By William R. Emmons: The recession itself could be described as a period in which consumer spending contracted sharply, while other sources of private demand were unable to offset the shortfall. The subsequent recovery, such as it is, largely has been the result of massive government interventions in the form of financial rescues, unprecedented monetary &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Don&#039;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[800,1328,1882],"class_list":["post-5390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-consumption","tag-exports","tag-investment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Don&#039;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Don&#039;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By William R. Emmons: The recession itself could be described as a period in which consumer spending contracted sharply, while other sources of private demand were unable to offset the shortfall. The subsequent recovery, such as it is, largely has been the result of massive government interventions in the form of financial rescues, unprecedented monetary &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Don&#039;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-09-05T02:12:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Don&#039;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-09-05T02:12:35+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/\"},\"wordCount\":148,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"consumption\",\"Exports\",\"Investment\"],\"articleSection\":[\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/\",\"name\":\"Don&#039;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2012-09-05T02:12:35+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/04\/dont-expect-consumer-spending-to-be-the-engine-of-economic-growth-it-once-was\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Don&#039;t Expect Consumer Spending To Be the Engine of Economic Growth It Once Was\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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There is a lot of \"noise\" in the market at present -- due to COVID-19 easing, government stimulus, RBA rate cuts and political turmoil in the USA -- so we are wary\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":61687,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/17\/the-elephant-in-the-room-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":5390,"position":1},"title":"The elephant in the room","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 17, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The elephant in the room is $37 trillion of US fiscal debt Rising long-term interest rates reflect bond market concerns that the Fed will sacrifice price stability to support an unstable Treasury market A year ago, we wrote: The elephant in the room is Government debt which is growing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CBO Projections of Debt Held by the Public as a Percentage of GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-16-cbo-debt-public.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-16-cbo-debt-public.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-16-cbo-debt-public.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-16-cbo-debt-public.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":45254,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/11\/08\/long-term-outlook-how-does-it-all-end\/","url_meta":{"origin":5390,"position":2},"title":"Long-term outlook: How does it all end?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 8, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"What economic path are the US and major allies likely to take over the next decade? Here is my take on how this is likely to pan out. First, let's start with a template of what a healthy, growing economy looks like. A Virtuous Cycle Growth is dependent on two\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;UK &amp; Europe&quot;","block_context":{"text":"UK &amp; Europe","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/uk-europe-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Private Investment\/GDP & Real GDP\/Total Non-farm Payroll","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-14-gpdi-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-14-gpdi-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-14-gpdi-gdp.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31926,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/04\/07\/the-big-picture\/","url_meta":{"origin":5390,"position":3},"title":"The Big Picture","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 7, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Investors are constantly bombarded with information about financial markets and global risks from all sides and it is sometimes difficult to separate the wood from the trees. We wrote this macroeconomic outlook for a client but think it could be a useful summary for readers. Macroeconomic Outlook Financial markets are\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Big Picture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Big Picture","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/the-big-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":54068,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/07\/australian-outlook-chris-joye\/","url_meta":{"origin":5390,"position":4},"title":"Australian Outlook | Chris Joye","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 7, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/QTKmPptmOes?si=UdsJVYNsO8c9KBQb Central banks are too much under the sway of government and not doing enough to contain inflation. None worse than the RBA which is holding rates lower than they should be. The last time that we had inflation at 4.0% in 2008, the cash rate was 7.25%. Now the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/QTKmPptmOes\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":12900,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/02\/chinas-problems\/","url_meta":{"origin":5390,"position":5},"title":"China\u2019s problems","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 2, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"China's problems in a nutshell, From Niels C. Jensen's Absolute Return newsletter: China\u2019s problems..... It is faced with a decapitated banking industry, which has been far too willing to lend to all kinds of investment projects \u2013 good and bad. At the same time, the Chinese growth model has been\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5390"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5390\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}