{"id":53,"date":"2011-08-07T11:25:39","date_gmt":"2011-08-07T11:25:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=53"},"modified":"2011-08-07T11:25:39","modified_gmt":"2011-08-07T11:25:39","slug":"the-stampede","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/07\/the-stampede\/","title":{"rendered":"US stampede"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A friend at golf yesterday, who still holds a number of stocks, asked if they are likely to fall any further. My answer was that holding on to stocks in this market is like standing in front of a stampeding herd in the hope that it will stop before it reaches you. There may be a short retracement early in the week, but strong selling is expected to overwhelm buying support. On <a href=\"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/2011\/08\/07\/tipping-point\/\" target=\"_blank\">August 3rd<\/a> I gave the probability of a down-turn as 75 percent. The odds are now about as close to 100 percent as you can get.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/2011-08-07-spx.png?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"54\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/07\/the-stampede\/2011-08-07-spx\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/2011-08-07-spx.png?fit=665%2C405&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"665,405\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"S&amp;#038;P 500 Index\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/2011-08-07-spx.png?fit=300%2C183&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/2011-08-07-spx.png?fit=525%2C320&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-54\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/2011-08-07-spx.png?resize=525%2C320&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"320\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/2011-08-07-spx.png?w=665&amp;ssl=1 665w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/2011-08-07-spx.png?resize=300%2C183&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 followed through below support at 1250, confirming the primary down-trend. Friday&#8217;s brief rally was swamped by further sell orders. The herd has started to move. We are beyond the tipping point.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A friend at golf yesterday, who still holds a number of stocks, asked if they are likely to fall any further. My answer was that holding on to stocks in this market is like standing in front of a stampeding herd in the hope that it will stop before it reaches you. There may be &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/07\/the-stampede\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;US stampede&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US stampede - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US stampede - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A friend at golf yesterday, who still holds a number of stocks, asked if they are likely to fall any further. My answer was that holding on to stocks in this market is like standing in front of a stampeding herd in the hope that it will stop before it reaches you. 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Declining 63-day Twiggs Momentum warns of further easing. * Target calculation: 1.70 - ( 2.40 - 1.70 ) = 1.0","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12830,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/02\/04\/gold-rallies-but-how-long\/","url_meta":{"origin":53,"position":1},"title":"Gold rallies but how long?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 4, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"We are witnessing a flight to safety as money flows out of stocks and into bonds, driving 10-year Treasury yields as low as 1.88 percent. Breach of support at 2.0 percent suggests that another test of primary support at 1.5 percent lies ahead. What makes this even more significant is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-02-04-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-02-04-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-02-04-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4790,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/07\/falling-treasury-yields-money-is-flowing-out-of-stocks\/","url_meta":{"origin":53,"position":2},"title":"Falling Treasury yields: Money is flowing out of stocks","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 7, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields broke medium-term support at 1.55 percent, indicating another decline. Breach of support at 1.45 percent would confirm, offering a target of 1.20 percent*. Latest stats from the Fed show holdings of Treasury notes and bonds fell over the last week, so the fall is not due to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4858,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/16\/treasury-yields-continue-to-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":53,"position":3},"title":"Treasury yields continue to fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 16, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields are testing support at 1.45 percent. Breach would offer a target of 1.20 percent*. Declining yields suggest that money is flowing out of stocks and into bonds. Recovery above 1.70 percent is unlikely but would suggest another stock market rally. * Target calculation: 1.45 - ( 1.70\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4927,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/24\/falling-treasury-yields-money-is-flowing-out-of-stocks-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":53,"position":4},"title":"Falling Treasury yields: Money is flowing out of stocks","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 24, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Retracement of 10-Year Treasury yields respected the new resistance level after breaking support at 1.45 percent, signaling a decline to 1.20 percent*. There has been little change in Fed holdings over the past week that could distort bond flows. Declining yields reflect investors leaving stocks for the safety of bonds\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13439,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/06\/08\/gold-strengthens-as-dollar-weakens\/","url_meta":{"origin":53,"position":5},"title":"Gold strengthens as Dollar weakens","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 8, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Long-term interest rates continue their decline, with 10-year Treasury yields testing support at 1.65 to 1.70 percent. Breach would signal a test of the all-time (July 2012) low of 1.40 percent. Gold rallied in response, breaking initial resistance at $1250\/ounce to signal a test of $1300. The Chinese appear to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-year Treasury yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-09-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-09-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-06-09-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}