{"id":5247,"date":"2012-08-14T00:29:09","date_gmt":"2012-08-14T04:29:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5247"},"modified":"2012-08-14T00:29:09","modified_gmt":"2012-08-14T04:29:09","slug":"asia-india-recovers-but-china-japan-bearish","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/14\/asia-india-recovers-but-china-japan-bearish\/","title":{"rendered":"Asia: India recovers but China &#038; Japan bearish"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>India&#8217;s Sensex broke resistance at 17500, signaling a primary up-trend. Expect an advance to 18500*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow &#8212; above zero &#8212; indicates strong buying pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-08-14-bse.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Sensex Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 17.5 + ( 17.5 &#8211; 16.5 ) = 18.5<\/span><\/p>\n<p>NSE Nifty is testing resistance at 5350. Breakout would confirm the Sensex primary up-trend. Rising 63-Day Twiggs Momentum is promising but we need a trough above zero to signal a strong up-trend. Target for the breakout would be 5650*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-08-14-nsx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"NSE Nifty Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 5350 + ( 5350 &#8211; 5050 ) = 5650<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"background-color:#ffcc99;\"><p><strong>Understanding Momentum<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Momentum is an oscillator, so you would expect equal peaks if the trend is constant. If oscillating above zero, it would be a constant up-trend; below zero, a constant down-trend; with zero at the mid-point, a ranging market. Divergence should ideally show a clear transition from one to the other or at least a sharp difference in the height of peaks or troughs. A trendline drawn under rising momentum will indicate that momentum is accelerating; a trendline break would indicate slowing acceleration \u2014 not necessarily a reversal.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 index is testing resistance at 9000 but 13-week Twiggs Money Flow continues to warn of strong selling pressure, with a peak below zero. Breakout above 9000 is unlikely, but would signal an advance to 10000. Failure of support at 8200 would indicate another test of the 2008\/2009 lows at 7000*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-08-14-n225.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 8000 &#8211; ( 9000 &#8211; 8000 ) = 7000<\/span><\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index retreated below support at 2150; follow-through below 2100 would indicate a decline to 2000*. Declining 63-day Twiggs Momentum continues to signal a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-08-14-ssec.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2250 &#8211; ( 2500 &#8211; 2250 ) = 2000<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng Index is more bullish, consolidating above resistance at 20000. Follow-through would indicate an advance to 22000*.\u00a0 Recovery of 63-Day Twiggs Momentum above zero would suggest a primary up-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-08-14-hsi.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Hang Seng Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 20 + ( 20 &#8211; 18 ) = 22<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Singapore&#8217;s Straits Times Index is similarly consolidating above former resistance at 3040. Rising 63-day Twiggs Momentum &#8212; above zero &#8212; indicates the primary up-trend is intact. Calculated target is 3300* but the trend channel suggests resistance at 3200.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-08-14-sti.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Singapore Straits Times Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 3000 + ( 3000 &#8211; 2700 ) = 3300<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>India&#8217;s Sensex broke resistance at 17500, signaling a primary up-trend. Expect an advance to 18500*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow &#8212; above zero &#8212; indicates strong buying pressure. * Target calculation: 17.5 + ( 17.5 &#8211; 16.5 ) = 18.5 NSE Nifty is testing resistance at 5350. Breakout would confirm the Sensex primary up-trend. Rising &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/14\/asia-india-recovers-but-china-japan-bearish\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Asia: India recovers but China &#038; Japan bearish&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,12,17,57],"tags":[1644,2479,2511,3084,3100,3110,3134],"class_list":["post-5247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-india-singapore-countries-regions","category-japan-korea","category-stock-markets","tag-hang-seng-index","tag-nikkei-225-index","tag-nsesp-nifty-index","tag-sensex-index","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-shenzhen-composite-index","tag-singapore-straits-times-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Asia: India recovers but China &#038; Japan bearish - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Asia: India recovers but China &#038; Japan bearish - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"India&#8217;s Sensex broke resistance at 17500, signaling a primary up-trend. Expect an advance to 18500*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow &#8212; above zero &#8212; indicates strong buying pressure. * Target calculation: 17.5 + ( 17.5 &#8211; 16.5 ) = 18.5 NSE Nifty is testing resistance at 5350. Breakout would confirm the Sensex primary up-trend. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1mD","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5137,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/08\/asia-india-recovering-but-china-japan-bearish\/","url_meta":{"origin":5247,"position":0},"title":"Asia: India recovering but China &#038; Japan bearish","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 8, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite Index is testing its upper trend channel at 2160. Follow-through would indicate a rally to 2250, while reversal would indicate a decline to 2040*. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum continues to signal a strong primary down-trend. * Target calculation: 2100 - ( 2160 - 2100 ) = 2040 Hong\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5378,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/03\/asia-china-japan-bearish-india-hesitant\/","url_meta":{"origin":5247,"position":1},"title":"Asia: China &#038; Japan bearish, India hesitant","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 3, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's official manufacturing PMI fell to a nine-month low in August, below 50 at 49.2; steel prices are at their lowest level since 2009 and rail cargo volumes have experienced their sharpest fall since 2008. In the circumstances, stocks have held up surprisingly well, with a gradual rather than vertical\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5315,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/21\/asia-india-and-japan-rise-but-china-remains-bearish\/","url_meta":{"origin":5247,"position":2},"title":"Asia: India and Japan rise but China remains bearish","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 21, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"India's Sensex followed through after breaking resistance at 17500, confirming a primary advance to 18500*. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would indicate strong buying pressure. * Target calculation: 17.5 + ( 17.5 - 16.5 ) = 18.5 Singapore's Straits Times Index, also in a primary up-trend, is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5558,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/24\/asia-india-strong-but-china-japan-weaken\/","url_meta":{"origin":5247,"position":3},"title":"Asia: India strong but China, Japan weaken","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 24, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite Index followed through below recent support at 2050. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow, below zero, indicates selling pressure. Target for the decline is 1800*. * Target calculation: 2150 - ( 2500 - 2150 ) = 1800 South Korea's Seoul Composite Index is headed for a test of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5414,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/10\/asia-china-japan-bearish-india-hesitant-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":5247,"position":4},"title":"Asia: Markets bouyed by stimulus measures","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 10, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Markets jumped Friday on announcement by the ECB of government bond purchases and China unveiling further stimulus measures. The Shanghai Composite is testing\u00a0 the first line of resistance at 2150. Respect of 2250 would warn of another down-swing, while penetration of the (secondary) descending trendline would indicate the primary\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5509,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/18\/asia-update\/","url_meta":{"origin":5247,"position":5},"title":"Asia Update","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 18, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones China index is retracing to test primary support at 245. Declining 63-day Twiggs Momentum, below zero, continues to indicate a primary down-trend. Failure of support would offer a target of 200*. * Target calculation: 250 - ( 300 - 250 ) = 200 Hong Kong's Hang Seng penetrated\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5247"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5247\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}