{"id":5021,"date":"2012-07-31T22:59:15","date_gmt":"2012-08-01T02:59:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5021"},"modified":"2012-07-31T22:59:15","modified_gmt":"2012-08-01T02:59:15","slug":"asia-china-japan-bearish-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/31\/asia-china-japan-bearish-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Asia: China, Japan bearish"},"content":{"rendered":"

There are conflicting reports about whether China is head for a hard or soft landing. China has the reserves and the capacity to implement further infrastructure programs if the economy cools too rapidly. And while its long-term goal is to deflate the speculative real estate bubble, the PBOC has shown itself prepared to kick that can down the road until export markets recover from the euro-zone crisis. The downside to manufacturing a soft landing, as we have already discovered post-GFC, is that the recovery takes longer. So a sharp recovery of Chinese markets is also unlikely.<\/p>\n

China’s Shanghai Composite Index broke its 2011 low at 2150 on the weekly chart, indicating a decline to 1800*. Reversal of\u00a013-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of rising selling pressure. Recovery above 2250 remains unlikely, but would suggest another attempt at 2500.<\/p>\n

\"Shanghai<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 2150 – ( 2500 – 2150 ) = 1800<\/span><\/p>\n

The Shenzhen Composite Index broke support at 880 to confirm the Shanghai signal. The peak below zero on 63-Day Twiggs Momentum also indicates a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n

\"Shenzhen<\/p>\n

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is more resilient, testing resistance at 20000 on the weekly chart. Breakout would indicate an advance to 22000* — strengthened if 63-Day Twiggs Momentum recovers above zero. Reversal below 19000 is less likely but would warn of a decline to 16000 — confirmed if support at 18000 is broken.<\/p>\n

\"Hang<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 20 + ( 20 – 18 ) = 22<\/span><\/p>\n

Japan’s Nikkei 225 index is headed for another test of resistance at 9000 on the weekly chart, but a peak below zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of strong selling pressure. Failure of support would signal another test of the 2008\/2009 lows at 7000, while breakout above 9000 would signal an advance to 10000.<\/p>\n

\"Nikkei<\/p>\n

India’s Sensex found support around 17000 on the weekly chart and is headed for another attempt at 17500. Breakout is likely and would indicate an advance to 18500. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would strengthen the recovery signal.<\/p>\n

\"Sensex<\/p>\n

Singapore’s Straits Times Index continues to test resistance at 3040. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero suggests that the primary up-trend is intact, and breakout would signal an advance to 3300*. Narrow oscillation around zero, however would warn of a ranging market.<\/p>\n

\"Singapore<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 3000 + ( 3000 – 2700 ) = 3300<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

There are conflicting reports about whether China is head for a hard or soft landing. China has the reserves and the capacity to implement further infrastructure programs if the economy cools too rapidly. And while its long-term goal is to deflate the speculative real estate bubble, the PBOC has shown itself prepared to kick that … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Asia: China, Japan bearish”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,12,17,57],"tags":[1644,2479,3084,3100,3110,3134],"class_list":["post-5021","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-india-singapore-countries-regions","category-japan-korea","category-stock-markets","tag-hang-seng-index","tag-nikkei-225-index","tag-sensex-index","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-shenzhen-composite-index","tag-singapore-straits-times-index"],"yoast_head":"\nAsia: China, Japan bearish - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Asia: China, Japan bearish - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"There are conflicting reports about whether China is head for a hard or soft landing. 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India's Sensex displays a primary advance, since breaking resistance at 21000, offering a long-term target of 26000*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow troughs above zero indicate strong buying pressure. Correction to test the rising trendline and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Sensex","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4751,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/03\/asian-markets-india-bullish-while-china-weakens\/","url_meta":{"origin":5021,"position":1},"title":"Asian markets: India bullish while China weakens","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 3, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Japan's Nikkei 225 index is testing medium-term resistance at 9000\/9100. Breakout would test 10000. Troughs below zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicate weakness. China's Shanghai Composite Index is retracing to test resistance at 2250. Respect would confirm a primary down-trend -- already signaled by 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4914,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/23\/asia-china-japan-bearish\/","url_meta":{"origin":5021,"position":2},"title":"Asia: China, Japan bearish","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 23, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Japan's Nikkei 225 index is headed for another test of long-term support at 8000\/8200 on the monthly chart. The latest peak below zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of strong selling pressure. Failure of support would signal another test of the 2008\/2009 lows at 7000. China's Shanghai Composite Index\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4879,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/17\/asia-india-bullish-while-china-japan-bearish\/","url_meta":{"origin":5021,"position":3},"title":"Asia: India bullish while China, Japan bearish","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 17, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Japan's Nikkei 225 index formed a peak below zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow, indicating strong selling pressure. Failure of primary support at 8200 would signal another test of the 2008\/2009 lows at 7000. China's Shanghai Composite Index is testing its 2011 low of 2150 after breaking\u00a0 primary support at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5414,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/10\/asia-china-japan-bearish-india-hesitant-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":5021,"position":4},"title":"Asia: Markets bouyed by stimulus measures","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 10, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 Markets jumped Friday on announcement by the ECB of government bond purchases and China unveiling further stimulus measures. The Shanghai Composite is testing\u00a0 the first line of resistance at 2150. Respect of 2250 would warn of another down-swing, while penetration of the (secondary) descending trendline would indicate the primary\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3627,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/02\/27\/chinas-soft-landing\/","url_meta":{"origin":5021,"position":5},"title":"China’s soft landing","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 27, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Hang Seng Index is approaching its target of 22,000. Expect retracement to test the new support level at 20,000. Respect would confirm a strong primary up-trend. * Target calculation: 20000 + ( 20000 - 18000 ) = 22000 A monthly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index reflects China's soft\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5021","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5021"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5021\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5021"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5021"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}