{"id":5012,"date":"2012-07-31T19:48:29","date_gmt":"2012-07-31T23:48:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5012"},"modified":"2012-07-31T19:48:29","modified_gmt":"2012-07-31T23:48:29","slug":"stephen-roach-america-cant-keep-relying-on-spending-to-drive-the-economy-business-insider","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/31\/stephen-roach-america-cant-keep-relying-on-spending-to-drive-the-economy-business-insider\/","title":{"rendered":"STEPHEN ROACH: America Can&#039;t Keep Relying On Spending To Drive The Economy &#8211; Business Insider"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>STEPHEN ROACH highlights the importance of capital investment in any US recovery:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Over the last 18 quarters, annualized growth in real consumer demand has averaged a mere 0.7%, compared to a 3.6% growth trend in the decade before the crisis erupted&#8230;&#8230; Consumption typically accounts for 70% of GDP (71% in the second quarter, to be precise). But the 70% is barely growing, and is unlikely to expand strongly at any point in the foreseeable future. That puts an enormous burden on the other 30% of the US economy to generate any sort of recovery.<\/p>\n<p>Capital spending and exports, which together account for about 24% of GDP, hold the key to this shift. At just over 10% of GDP, the share of capital spending is well below the peak of nearly 13% in 2000. But capital spending must exceed that peak if US businesses are to be equipped with state-of-the-art capacity, technology, and private infrastructure that will enable them to recapture market share at home and abroad. Only then could export growth, impressive since mid-2009, sustain further increases. And only then could the US stem the rising tide of import penetration by foreign producers.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>via <a href='http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/stephen-roach-america-cant-keep-replying-on-spending-to-drive-the-economy-2012-7'>STEPHEN ROACH: America Can&#039;t Keep Relying On Spending To Drive The Economy &#8211; Business Insider<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>STEPHEN ROACH highlights the importance of capital investment in any US recovery: Over the last 18 quarters, annualized growth in real consumer demand has averaged a mere 0.7%, compared to a 3.6% growth trend in the decade before the crisis erupted&#8230;&#8230; Consumption typically accounts for 70% of GDP (71% in the second quarter, to be &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/31\/stephen-roach-america-cant-keep-relying-on-spending-to-drive-the-economy-business-insider\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;STEPHEN ROACH: America Can&#039;t Keep Relying On Spending To Drive The Economy &#8211; Business Insider&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,34],"tags":[586,800,2436],"class_list":["post-5012","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-capital-investment","tag-consumption","tag-net-exports"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>STEPHEN ROACH: America Can&#039;t Keep Relying On Spending To Drive The Economy - Business Insider - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"STEPHEN ROACH: America Can&#039;t Keep Relying On Spending To Drive The Economy - Business Insider - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"STEPHEN ROACH highlights the importance of capital investment in any US recovery: Over the last 18 quarters, annualized growth in real consumer demand has averaged a mere 0.7%, compared to a 3.6% growth trend in the decade before the crisis erupted&#8230;&#8230; Consumption typically accounts for 70% of GDP (71% in the second quarter, to be &hellip; Continue reading &quot;STEPHEN ROACH: America Can&#039;t Keep Relying On Spending To Drive The Economy &#8211; Business Insider&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/31\/stephen-roach-america-cant-keep-relying-on-spending-to-drive-the-economy-business-insider\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-07-31T23:48:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/07\\\/31\\\/stephen-roach-america-cant-keep-relying-on-spending-to-drive-the-economy-business-insider\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/07\\\/31\\\/stephen-roach-america-cant-keep-relying-on-spending-to-drive-the-economy-business-insider\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"STEPHEN ROACH: America Can&#039;t Keep Relying On Spending To Drive The Economy &#8211; 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Wages growth is slowing, with the Wage Price Index falling sharply. Falling growth in disposable income is holding back consumption (e.g. retail spending) and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":548,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/31\/one-number-says-it-all-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\/","url_meta":{"origin":5012,"position":1},"title":"One Number Says it All &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 31, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The number is 0.2%. It is the average annualized growth of US consumer spending over the past 14 quarters \u2013 calculated in inflation-adjusted terms from the first quarter of 2008 to the second quarter of 2011. Never before in the post-World War II era have American consumers been so weak\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;US &amp; Canada&quot;","block_context":{"text":"US &amp; Canada","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/us-canada-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":40639,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/01\/30\/michael-pettis-the-china-shock-is-coming\/","url_meta":{"origin":5012,"position":2},"title":"Michael Pettis: The China Shock is Coming","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 30, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/QcdPMOMS7N8 Michael Pettis is a professor of finance at Peking University in Beijing and one of the foremost Western experts on China, having lived there for almost two decades. He explains the Chinese growth model, why it no longer works, and the hard choices ahead. China's Growth Model China's growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Non-Financial Credit\/GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6282,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/27\/economonitor-the-u-s-is-sliding-down-an-investment-slope\/","url_meta":{"origin":5012,"position":3},"title":"EconoMonitor \u00bb The U.S. is sliding down an investment slope","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 27, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Thomas Grennes & Andris Strazds highlight the contraction in US private investment since the GFC: Recent evidence.......suggests that while U.S. GDP growth has surpassed its pre-crisis level, investment has been declining. A comparison with China would not be appropriate due to differences in growth rates and the level of economic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":23000,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/12\/02\/australia-q3-gdp\/","url_meta":{"origin":5012,"position":4},"title":"Australia Q3 GDP","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 2, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"From Andrew Hanlan at Westpac: Output increased by 3.3% in the quarter.....well above the market consensus (2.5%). Over the year, activity is still down by 3.8%, after the recession in the first half of 2020, which saw output fall by 0.3% in March and slump by 7.0% in June associated\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19880,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/03\/07\/australia-the-bear-case\/","url_meta":{"origin":5012,"position":5},"title":"Australia: The bear case","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 7, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The RBA cut the cash rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday this week, to a record low of 0.50%. This was necessary in order to limit the interest rate differential with the US and protect the currency. But it will not do much to help the economy. Household debt\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5012","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5012"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5012\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5012"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5012"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5012"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}