China: Why the Recovery Has Begun | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A bullish outlook on China from Citi Research: The key drivers of growth recovery are that de-stocking is near its end, the hard landing risk of the property sector is contained, and investment, consumption and exports had shown signs of improvement in June. In our view, given more policy supports in the near term, 3Q … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “China: Why the Recovery Has Begun | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,5],"tags":[663,1842,2802],"class_list":["post-5010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-economy","tag-china","tag-infrastructure-spending","tag-property-sector"],"yoast_head":"\nChina: Why the Recovery Has Begun | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China: Why the Recovery Has Begun | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A bullish outlook on China from Citi Research: The key drivers of growth recovery are that de-stocking is near its end, the hard landing risk of the property sector is contained, and investment, consumption and exports had shown signs of improvement in June. 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They held a video discussion with BHP who confirmed their production remained strong, with no major weather interruptions to operations. Atilla Widnell, managing director\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":28304,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/10\/12\/deconstructing-evergrandes-effect-on-china\/","url_meta":{"origin":5010,"position":1},"title":"Deconstructing Evergrande’s effect on China","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 12, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Elliot Clarke at Westpac says that China will be able to withstand the shock of Evergrande's collapse and that power outages are a bigger threat. https:\/\/youtu.be\/z3wmpdiGRNQ We still think that the property sector contagion is part of a broader issue that China will struggle to overcome, as Michael Pettis succinctly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/z3wmpdiGRNQ\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":42439,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/06\/17\/china-recovery-falters\/","url_meta":{"origin":5010,"position":2},"title":"China recovery falters","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 17, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"China's exports plunged 7.5% year-on-year in May.... https:\/\/youtu.be\/sjegqSfcdWE Westpac tell a similar story: Reversing our perspective and moving a month forward in time to May, China\u2019s trade surplus narrowed to US$65.8bn as exports weakened and imports rose. Exports to the US have declined on a year ago basis every month\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Fixed Asset Investment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-15-china-fai_595x571.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-15-china-fai_595x571.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-15-china-fai_595x571.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26571,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/06\/30\/china-retail-sales-and-credit-contraction\/","url_meta":{"origin":5010,"position":3},"title":"China retail sales and credit contraction","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 30, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Chinese retail sales are falling as credit tightens. Leland Miller at China Beige Book: \"It is hard for people to understand how hard China is squeezing credit.....Parts of the economy are going well but for any durable recovery you need consumption to come back, you need retail and services back.....\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15665,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/08\/04\/china-holds-its-head-above-water\/","url_meta":{"origin":5010,"position":4},"title":"China holds its head above water","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 4, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"A quick snapshot from the latest RBA chart pack. Manufacturing is holding its head above water (50 on the PMI chart) and industrial production shows a small upturn but investment growth is falling, as in many global economies including the US and Australia. Retail sales growth has declined but remains\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8158,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/07\/23\/economonitor-beijings-new-leaders-are-right-to-hold-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":5010,"position":5},"title":"EconoMonitor \u00bb Beijing\u2019s New Leaders Are Right to Hold Back","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 23, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Michael Pettis argues that China cannot stimulate its economy out of trouble: There are still bulls out there who insist that China is out of the woods and making a strong recovery, for example former Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Stephen Grenville, who argues in his article\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5010"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5010\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}