{"id":4933,"date":"2012-07-24T19:05:13","date_gmt":"2012-07-24T23:05:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=4933"},"modified":"2012-07-24T19:05:13","modified_gmt":"2012-07-24T23:05:13","slug":"christian-noyer-public-and-private-debt-imbalances-of-global-savings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/24\/christian-noyer-public-and-private-debt-imbalances-of-global-savings\/","title":{"rendered":"Christian Noyer: Public and private debt &#8211; imbalances of global savings"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Christian Noyer, Governor of the Bank of France and Chairman of the Board of Directors of the BIS<\/em>: My first remark&#8230;.. In advanced countries, the average public debt to GNP ratio is 100%. In emerging countries, the figure is 30%. This is a very wide gap, and it represents one of the global economy\u2019s largest imbalances. And one of the least mentioned. It also represents a complete reversal of the situation compared with just over twenty years ago&#8230;..<br \/>\nSecond remark, global demand is still fairly concentrated on the advanced countries. Not only is their debt higher, but their savings (as a ratio of GNP) are lower. The G7 countries alone still account for 56% of global consumption. The problem is clear. How can we hope to raise our level of consumption if we need to reduce our level of debt and increase our savings? And if the advanced countries\u2019 consumption stops growing, what will happen to global economic growth and particularly that of emerging countries with entirely export-oriented economies?<\/p>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bis.org\/review\/r120724b.pdf\">Christian Noyer: Public and private debt &#8211; imbalances of global savings<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Christian Noyer, Governor of the Bank of France and Chairman of the Board of Directors of the BIS: My first remark&#8230;.. In advanced countries, the average public debt to GNP ratio is 100%. In emerging countries, the figure is 30%. This is a very wide gap, and it represents one of the global economy\u2019s largest &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/24\/christian-noyer-public-and-private-debt-imbalances-of-global-savings\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Christian Noyer: Public and private debt &#8211; imbalances of global savings&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[443,683,800,1573],"class_list":["post-4933","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","tag-bis","tag-christian-noyer","tag-consumption","tag-global-savings"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Christian Noyer: Public and private debt - imbalances of global savings - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Christian Noyer: Public and private debt - imbalances of global savings - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Christian Noyer, Governor of the Bank of France and Chairman of the Board of Directors of the BIS: My first remark&#8230;.. In advanced countries, the average public debt to GNP ratio is 100%. In emerging countries, the figure is 30%. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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They have done so for reasons relating to immediate macroeconomic stabilisation... to go beyond the zero-interest rate limit. The Eurosystem as well\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":59481,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/26\/tariffs-trade-wars-and-the-triffin-dilemma\/","url_meta":{"origin":4933,"position":1},"title":"Tariffs, trade wars, and the Triffin dilemma","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 26, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Free markets and global trade are great as long as everyone follows the rules and shares the surplus created. However, history shows that there are always actors who are prepared to further their interests at the expense of others. Many countries have employed beggar-thy-neighbor trade strategies to boost their manufacturing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"US Manufacturing Jobs","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-25-mnfg-jobs.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-25-mnfg-jobs.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-25-mnfg-jobs.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":29381,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/11\/26\/massive-savings-glut-will-support-stocks-and-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":4933,"position":2},"title":"Massive savings glut will support stocks and inflation","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 26, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Personal saving has fallen to below pre-pandemic levels. The massive spike in government transfers during the pandemic helped to lift accumulated savings to record highs. Remaining government transfers are more targeted at low-income families and likely to be consumed rather than saved. Personal consumption is rising relative to disposable personal\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Debt Levels&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Personal Saving & Government Transfers","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-25-personalsaving-transfers.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-25-personalsaving-transfers.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-25-personalsaving-transfers.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-11-25-personalsaving-transfers.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":40639,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/01\/30\/michael-pettis-the-china-shock-is-coming\/","url_meta":{"origin":4933,"position":3},"title":"Michael Pettis: The China Shock is Coming","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 30, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/QcdPMOMS7N8 Michael Pettis is a professor of finance at Peking University in Beijing and one of the foremost Western experts on China, having lived there for almost two decades. 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China's Growth Model China's growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Non-Financial Credit\/GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14739,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/01\/30\/bis-high-household-debt-kills-growth-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":4933,"position":4},"title":"BIS: High household debt kills growth | Macrobusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 30, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"From Leith van Onselen, reproduced with kind permission from Macrobusiness: Last month I showed how Australia\u2019s ratio of household debt to GDP had hit 123% of GDP \u2013 the third highest in the world \u2013 according to data released by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS): Martin North also compiled\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ScreenHunter_16670 Dec. 13 07.13","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/ScreenHunter_16670-Dec.-13-07.13-240x660.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1870,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/11\/economonitor-economonitor-europe-begins-its-endgame-watch-and-learn-for-europes-problems-are-the-worlds\/","url_meta":{"origin":4933,"position":5},"title":"EconoMonitor : EconoMonitor \u00bb Europe Begins Its Endgame. Watch and Learn, for Europe\u2019s Problems Are the World\u2019s.","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 11, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The current structure of Europe cracks under the slowly rising stress of vendor financing: export-based prosperity for some, debt-financed consumption by others. Unless reformed, this can only end badly. The global economy has similar imbalances. 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