The Threat From a Recession | News | News and Events | ECRI<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Economic Cycle Research Institute, which claims a perfect recession-forecasting record, says an economic contraction is imminent. “We have not seen a slowdown where year-over-year payroll job growth has dropped this low without a recession,” ECRI states in a May report. If, or when, the U.S. (and\/or the global) economy does start to contract, commodity … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “The Threat From a Recession | ECRI”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,8,34],"tags":[423,747,1186,2880,2965,3551],"class_list":["post-4781","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-gold-commodities","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-bhp","tag-commodities-2","tag-ecri","tag-recession","tag-rio","tag-us"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Threat From a Recession | ECRI - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Threat From a Recession | ECRI - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Economic Cycle Research Institute, which claims a perfect recession-forecasting record, says an economic contraction is imminent. “We have not seen a slowdown where year-over-year payroll job growth has dropped this low without a recession,” ECRI states in a May report. 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Reviewing the indicators used to officially decide U.S. recession dates, it looks like the recession began around July 2012.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15121,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/04\/07\/jobs-inflation-the-fed-ecri\/","url_meta":{"origin":4781,"position":2},"title":"Jobs, Inflation & the Fed | ECRI","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 7, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"From Lakshman Achuthan at ECRI: Headline jobs growth came in well below expectations, and weather played some part in suppressing job growth, both in construction and retail. But the jobless rate dropped to 4.5%, its lowest reading since 2007, so the Fed\u2019s \u201cfull-employment\u201d mandate has been met. Their other mandate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Inflation"","block_context":{"text":"Inflation","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/inflation-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3661,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/02\/29\/contrarian-view-ecris-lakshman-achuthan-says-economy-is-slowing\/","url_meta":{"origin":4781,"position":3},"title":"Contrarian view: ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan says economy is slowing","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 29, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan says the economy is slowing: [gigya src=\"http:\/\/i.cdn.turner.com\/money\/.element\/apps\/cvp\/4.0\/swf\/cnn_money_384x216_embed.swf\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" bgcolor=\"#000000\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" width=\"384\" wmode=\"transparent\" height=\"356\" flashVars=\"context=embed&videoId=\/video\/news\/2012\/02\/29\/n_ecri_lak_recession_jobs.cnnmoney\"]","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3878,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/19\/economonitor-nouriel-roubinis-global-economonitor-scary-oil\/","url_meta":{"origin":4781,"position":4},"title":"Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor \u00bb Scary Oil","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 19, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Nouriel Roubini: The last three global recessions (prior to 2008) were each caused by a geopolitical shock in the Middle East that led to a sharp spike in oil prices. The 1973 Yom Kippur War between Israel and the Arab states led to global stagflation (recession and inflation) in 1974-1975.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":972,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/24\/copper-warns-of-global-recession\/","url_meta":{"origin":4781,"position":5},"title":"Copper warns of global recession","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 24, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Copper has in the past proved a reliable indicator of the state of the global economy. Now it has gapped through primary support at 8500 and below its trend channel (drawn at 2 standard deviations around a linear regression line)\u00a0on the weekly chart -- warning of a global recession. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4781","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4781"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4781\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4781"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4781"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4781"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}