AHEAD OF THE TAPE: Stocks Out of Fashion Amid a Bonding With Bonds – WSJ.com<\/a>.<\/p>\nComment:~ Low bond yields and higher risk premiums on stocks (stock earnings yield minus bond yield) highlight investors flight to safety. But this is no guarantee that bonds will continue to out-perform stocks. Bond yields must be close to hitting a “floor” and, with no further capital gains, investor returns will be meagre — while stocks grow increasingly attractive.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Since the start of 2007, a cumulative $350 billion has flowed out of stock funds and a little over $1 trillion has moved into bond funds….. In 2011, 45% was in stock funds and 25% in bonds; in 2005, the mix was 55% for stocks and 15% in bonds….. via AHEAD OF THE TAPE: Stocks … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “Stocks Out of Fashion Amid a Bonding With Bonds – WSJ.com”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,57,34],"tags":[474,1159,2750,3262],"class_list":["post-4730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fixed-income","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-bond-yields","tag-earnings-yield","tag-price-earnings-ratio","tag-stocks"],"yoast_head":"\nStocks Out of Fashion Amid a Bonding With Bonds - WSJ.com - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stocks Out of Fashion Amid a Bonding With Bonds - WSJ.com - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Since the start of 2007, a cumulative $350 billion has flowed out of stock funds and a little over $1 trillion has moved into bond funds….. 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The long-term chart shows how breakout would complete a double bottom reversal, after a 3-decade-long secular bull market in bonds\/down-trend in yields. While most major stock market down-turns are caused by falling earnings expectations rather\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Earnings & Dividends"","block_context":{"text":"Earnings & Dividends","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/earnings-dividends\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17081,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/22\/how-will-a-bond-bear-market-affect-stocks\/","url_meta":{"origin":4730,"position":1},"title":"How will a bond bear market affect stocks?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 22, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields broke out of their triangular consolidation at 3.00%, while the Trend Index recovered above zero signaling a fresh advance. Importance of resistance at 3.00% is best illustrated on a long-term monthly chart. Yields declined for more than three decades (since 1981) in a bond bull market but\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5995,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/04\/on-investment-time-horizons-seeking-alpha\/","url_meta":{"origin":4730,"position":2},"title":"On Investment Time Horizons – Seeking Alpha","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 4, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"David Merkel observes that Shiller's CAPE10 ratio and Tobin's Q-ratio both \"indicate that stocks are not likely to return a lot over the next 10 years\". The CAPE10 ratio is a long-term, smoothed PE-ratio first popularized by Yale Professor Robert Shiller in his book Irrational Exuberance. CAPE10 compares the current\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Earnings & Dividends"","block_context":{"text":"Earnings & Dividends","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/earnings-dividends\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":32328,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/04\/29\/stocks-winter-is-coming\/","url_meta":{"origin":4730,"position":3},"title":"Stocks: Winter is coming","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 29, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"GDP grew by a solid 10.64% for the 12 months ended March '22 but that is in nominal terms. GDP for the quarter slowed to 1.58%, while real GDP fell to -0.36%. Not only is growth slowing but inflation is taking a bigger bite. The implicit price deflator climbed to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-29-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-29-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-29-gdp.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-29-gdp.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":43671,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/08\/27\/rising-long-term-yields-impact-on-financial-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":4730,"position":4},"title":"Rising long-term yields impact on financial markets","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 27, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"It is uncertain whether we are going to see a soft landing or a hard landing in the next 12 months. Some investors are even betting on no landing at all. While outcomes may be uncertain, there are two things we can count on. First, is that the Fed will\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Active Investing"","block_context":{"text":"Active Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/active-investing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-25-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-25-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4927,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/24\/falling-treasury-yields-money-is-flowing-out-of-stocks-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":4730,"position":5},"title":"Falling Treasury yields: Money is flowing out of stocks","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 24, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Retracement of 10-Year Treasury yields respected the new resistance level after breaking support at 1.45 percent, signaling a decline to 1.20 percent*. There has been little change in Fed holdings over the past week that could distort bond flows. Declining yields reflect investors leaving stocks for the safety of bonds\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Fixed Income"","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4730","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4730"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4730\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}