{"id":4658,"date":"2012-06-20T01:02:57","date_gmt":"2012-06-20T05:02:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=4658"},"modified":"2012-06-20T01:02:57","modified_gmt":"2012-06-20T05:02:57","slug":"china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/","title":{"rendered":"China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Zarathustra<\/strong>: [Chinese] over-investment over the past many years, and particularly in the years after the financial crisis, has created massive over-capacity across the economy that no one is really able to quantify. We have already got over-building in the real estate sector which resulted in massive number of empty apartments and empty shopping malls&#8230;. We are also aware of the over-capacity and inventory build-up in various sectors like coal and steel&#8230;.. steel industry profits have fallen by 96.7% in the first four months of the year compared to the same period a year ago&#8230;.. actual CPI figures are already in negative territory on a month-on-month basis. In short, deflation is already here for China&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>via <a href='http:\/\/www.alsosprachanalyst.com\/economy\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs.html'>China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zarathustra: [Chinese] over-investment over the past many years, and particularly in the years after the financial crisis, has created massive over-capacity across the economy that no one is really able to quantify. We have already got over-building in the real estate sector which resulted in massive number of empty apartments and empty shopping malls&#8230;. We &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,5],"tags":[663,974],"class_list":["post-4658","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-economy","tag-china","tag-debt-deflation"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Zarathustra: [Chinese] over-investment over the past many years, and particularly in the years after the financial crisis, has created massive over-capacity across the economy that no one is really able to quantify. We have already got over-building in the real estate sector which resulted in massive number of empty apartments and empty shopping malls&#8230;. We &hellip; Continue reading &quot;China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-06-20T05:02:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-06-20T05:02:57+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/\"},\"wordCount\":136,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"China\",\"debt-deflation\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China &amp; HK\",\"Economy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/\",\"name\":\"China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2012-06-20T05:02:57+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/china-in-deflation-and-how-to-reflate-it-at-all-costs\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"China in deflation, and how to reflate it at all costs\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1d8","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":4828,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/09\/is-china-sliding-towards-deflation-beyondbrics\/","url_meta":{"origin":4658,"position":0},"title":"Is China sliding towards deflation? &#124; beyondbrics","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 9, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Robert Cookson: Chinese policy makers spend a lot of their time worrying about inflation. But the growing risk now appears to be deflation.... The PPI index has already turned negative [and] year-on-year growth in money supply has plunged to a level that in the past been consistent with CPI of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":28522,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/10\/26\/inflation-stagflation-and-deflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":4658,"position":1},"title":"Inflation, Stagflation or Deflation","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 26, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Case for Stagflation We now have an explosive mix of fiscal and monetary excess coupled with very long years of declining capital spending in primary resource industries that could surprisingly unleash a combination of high inflation and negative real economic growth at levels in the US that we have\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9912,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/26\/china-isnt-just-slowing-down-its-contracting-business-insider\/","url_meta":{"origin":4658,"position":2},"title":"China Isn&#8217;t Just Slowing Down \u2014 It&#8217;s Contracting | Business Insider","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 26, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Kyle Bass, founder and principal of Hayman Capital Management, on China's debt bubble: China\u2019s banking assets have grown to over 100% of its GDP in the last three years, according to Bass. If the U.S. had engaged in similar policies \u2013 which he said would translate to $17 trillion in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12347,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/09\/23\/deflation-supercycle-is-over-as-world-runs-out-of-workers-telegraph\/","url_meta":{"origin":4658,"position":3},"title":"Deflation supercycle is over as world runs out of workers | Telegraph","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 23, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"....The world fertility rate has steadily declined to 2.43 births per woman from 4.85 in 1970 , with a precipitous collapse over the past 20 years in east Asia. The latest estimates are: India (2.5), France (2.1), US (2.0), UK (1.9), Brazil (1.8), Russia and Canada (1.6), China (1.55), Spain\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1325,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/13\/roubini-moving-from-the-post-bubble-post-bust-economy-to-growth-credit-writedowns\/","url_meta":{"origin":4658,"position":4},"title":"Roubini: Moving From the Post-Bubble, Post-Bust Economy to Growth | Credit Writedowns","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 13, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"It is not only the U.S. economy that is in peril right now. \u2026Europe is struggling to prevent the sovereign debt problems of its peripheral Euro-zone economies from spiraling into a full-fledged banking crisis\u2026 Meanwhile, China and other large emerging economies\u2026 are beginning to experience slowdowns\u2026Nor is renewed recession the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12275,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/08\/29\/chinas-conundrum-capital-flight-or-deflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":4658,"position":5},"title":"China&#8217;s conundrum: Capital flight or deflation","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 29, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"China's conundrum: Selling FX reserves to support the yuan threatens deflation. But falling yuan fuels capital flight http:\/\/t.co\/XGz6S4HPz6\u2014 Colin Twiggs (@Colin_Twiggs) August 29, 2015 AND capital flight causes collapsing stock and real estate prices, which could lead to...... deflation.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4658","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4658"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4658\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4658"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4658"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4658"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}