{"id":4190,"date":"2012-04-23T19:18:04","date_gmt":"2012-04-23T23:18:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=4190"},"modified":"2012-04-23T19:18:04","modified_gmt":"2012-04-23T23:18:04","slug":"watch-out-is-the-fed-pushing-us-into-another-bubble-the-term-sheet-fortunes-deals-blog-term-sheet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/23\/watch-out-is-the-fed-pushing-us-into-another-bubble-the-term-sheet-fortunes-deals-blog-term-sheet\/","title":{"rendered":"Watch out! Is the Fed pushing us into another bubble? &#8211; Fortune&#039;s deals blog Term Sheet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Fed&#8217;s actions have kept Treasury bond prices high (while keeping the government&#8217;s interest costs low), but the fundamentals do not support the high valuations, given the fiscal mess we are in. Sooner or later, the bond bubble will burst. History has shown that a structurally weak economy combined with a fiscally irresponsible government propped up by accommodative central-bank lending always ends badly.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;.The biggest beneficiaries of loose money, are our profligate elected officials who refuse to come to grips with budget deficits and an exemption-laden tax code. As long as Treasury can borrow cheaply to paper over the real problems, politicians can demagogue about overspending (GOP) or undertaxing (Democrats) while dodging <a href=\"http:\/\/finance.fortune.cnn.com\/2012\/03\/30\/middle-class-fix-politicians\/\">their responsibility to work together<\/a> to fix our problems.<\/p>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/finance.fortune.cnn.com\/2012\/04\/23\/federal-reserve-rates-bubble\/\">Watch out! Is the Fed pushing us into another bubble? &#8211; The Term Sheet: Fortune&#8217;s deals blog Term Sheet<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Fed&#8217;s actions have kept Treasury bond prices high (while keeping the government&#8217;s interest costs low), but the fundamentals do not support the high valuations, given the fiscal mess we are in. Sooner or later, the bond bubble will burst. History has shown that a structurally weak economy combined with a fiscally irresponsible government propped &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/23\/watch-out-is-the-fed-pushing-us-into-another-bubble-the-term-sheet-fortunes-deals-blog-term-sheet\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Watch out! Is the Fed pushing us into another bubble? &#8211; Fortune&#039;s deals blog Term Sheet&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,6,34],"tags":[465,513,3334,3475],"class_list":["post-4190","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-fixed-income","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-bond-bubble","tag-budget-deficits","tag-tax-code","tag-treasury-bonds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Watch out! Is the Fed pushing us into another bubble? - Fortune&#039;s deals blog Term Sheet - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Watch out! Is the Fed pushing us into another bubble? - Fortune&#039;s deals blog Term Sheet - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Fed&#8217;s actions have kept Treasury bond prices high (while keeping the government&#8217;s interest costs low), but the fundamentals do not support the high valuations, given the fiscal mess we are in. Sooner or later, the bond bubble will burst. History has shown that a structurally weak economy combined with a fiscally irresponsible government propped &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Watch out! Is the Fed pushing us into another bubble? &#8211; Fortune&#039;s deals blog Term Sheet&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/23\/watch-out-is-the-fed-pushing-us-into-another-bubble-the-term-sheet-fortunes-deals-blog-term-sheet\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-04-23T23:18:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/23\/watch-out-is-the-fed-pushing-us-into-another-bubble-the-term-sheet-fortunes-deals-blog-term-sheet\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/23\/watch-out-is-the-fed-pushing-us-into-another-bubble-the-term-sheet-fortunes-deals-blog-term-sheet\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Watch out! 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor\",\"https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Watch out! 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-15A","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":43480,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/08\/17\/the-elephant-in-the-room\/","url_meta":{"origin":4190,"position":0},"title":"The Elephant in the Room","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 17, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The 10-Year Treasury yield broke through resistance at 4.25%, signaling a fresh advance. Target for the advance is 5.25% (4.25% plus 1.0%) but first expect retracement to test the new support level. Respect would confirm the breakout. The Russell 2000 Small Caps ETF broke support at 190, warning of a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-16-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-16-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-16-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":42375,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/06\/02\/senate-approves-debt-ceiling-increase\/","url_meta":{"origin":4190,"position":1},"title":"Senate approves debt ceiling increase","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 2, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The Senate passed the Biden-McCarthy debt ceiling compromise bill which will now go to the President for signature. It's ironic to see grandstanding by members of the House who would not support McCarty's efforts to find a bipartisan solution to the debt-ceiling impasse. They need to be reminded that Congress\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Senate Passes Debt Ceiling","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-01-debtceiling.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-01-debtceiling.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-01-debtceiling.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61894,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/04\/everyone-should-fear-the-bond-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":4190,"position":2},"title":"Everyone should fear the bond market","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 4, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The bond market has \"cracked\" before There are no \"new eras\" Markets eventually revert to the mean There are no new saviors Gold is the best indicator of a bond market revolt Yesterday, we covered JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's warning that we will see \"a crack in the bond\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year US Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-03-10y-nixondefault.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-03-10y-nixondefault.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-03-10y-nixondefault.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61744,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/22\/big-beautiful-bill-threatens-bond-market-blowout\/","url_meta":{"origin":4190,"position":3},"title":"Big Beautiful Bill threatens bond market blowout","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 22, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The bond market reacted to the record tax and spending bill in Congress that extends tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy The bipartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates the bill would add between $3.3 trillion and $5.2 trillion to the US federal debt, depending on whether\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-22-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-22-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-22-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":58791,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/10\/29\/strong-liquidity-but-rising-uncertainty\/","url_meta":{"origin":4190,"position":4},"title":"Strong liquidity but rising uncertainty","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 29, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Bitcoin signals strong financial market liquidity, supporting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq uptrends. However, rising 10-year Treasury yields indicate concern over the sustainability of fiscal deficits, which has boosted demand for the safety of precious metals. Stocks The S&P 500 continues to test support at 5800, with lower Trend Index\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-10-28-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-10-28-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-10-28-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24841,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/27\/decline-of-the-us-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":4190,"position":5},"title":"Decline of the US Dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 27, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"In 1971 Richard Nixon took the US Dollar off the gold standard, creating the first reserve currency based on fiat. He had no choice. After LBJ's big-spending guns and butter program of the '60s, the US did not have enough gold reserves to cover its foreign debt. So the US\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Debt Levels&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4190","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4190"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4190\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4190"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4190"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4190"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}