{"id":4159,"date":"2012-04-22T22:38:43","date_gmt":"2012-04-23T02:38:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=4159"},"modified":"2012-04-22T22:38:43","modified_gmt":"2012-04-23T02:38:43","slug":"warwick-mckibbin-on-australian-interest-rates-and-the-fate-of-manufacturing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/22\/warwick-mckibbin-on-australian-interest-rates-and-the-fate-of-manufacturing\/","title":{"rendered":"Warwick McKibbin on Australian interest rates and the fate of manufacturing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Professor Warwick McKibbin from ANU on the Australian economy, interest rates, the RBA and the fate of manufacturing:<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"525\" height=\"296\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/OOzJWCDZ8zg?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Hat tip to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/author\/david\/\" title=\"Macrobusiness: Houses and Holes\" target=\"_blank\">Houses and Holes<\/a> at Macrobusiness.com.au.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Professor Warwick McKibbin from ANU on the Australian economy, interest rates, the RBA and the fate of manufacturing: Hat tip to Houses and Holes at Macrobusiness.com.au.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,5],"tags":[1858,2204,2860,3646],"class_list":["post-4159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-economy","tag-interest-rates","tag-manufacturing-2","tag-rba","tag-warwick-mckibbin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Warwick McKibbin on Australian interest rates and the fate of manufacturing - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Warwick McKibbin on Australian interest rates and the fate of manufacturing - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Professor Warwick McKibbin from ANU on the Australian economy, interest rates, the RBA and the fate of manufacturing: Hat tip to Houses and Holes at Macrobusiness.com.au.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/22\/warwick-mckibbin-on-australian-interest-rates-and-the-fate-of-manufacturing\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-04-23T02:38:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/04\\\/22\\\/warwick-mckibbin-on-australian-interest-rates-and-the-fate-of-manufacturing\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/04\\\/22\\\/warwick-mckibbin-on-australian-interest-rates-and-the-fate-of-manufacturing\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Warwick McKibbin on Australian interest rates and the fate of manufacturing\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-04-23T02:38:43+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/04\\\/22\\\/warwick-mckibbin-on-australian-interest-rates-and-the-fate-of-manufacturing\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":44,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"interest rates\",\"manufacturing\",\"RBA\",\"Warwick McKibbin\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. 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Professor Warwick McKibbin told The Australian Financial Review: When a portfolio shift into Australian currency is observed, the exchange rate change should be completely offset so the shock only affects the money markets\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":48012,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/02\/australian-cpi-falls-but-no-rate-cuts-in-sight\/","url_meta":{"origin":4159,"position":1},"title":"Australian CPI falls but no rate cuts in sight","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 2, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Quarterly CPI fell to 4.1% for the 12 months to December, while the trimmed mean is not far behind at 4.2%. Household rent increases remain strong, however, boosted by a surge in immigration. Conclusion Inflation, apart from rents is generally falling as the economy slows. But the RBA is unlikely\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"CPI & Trimmed Mean","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-02-aus-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-02-aus-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-02-aus-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-02-aus-cpi.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13444,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/06\/08\/how-the-rba-killed-australian-wages-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":4159,"position":2},"title":"How the RBA killed Australian wages | MacroBusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 8, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Good summary of Australia's predicament from David Llewellyn-Smith: .....A lot of this is to be expected in a post-mining boom environment. I mean, we seriously overdid it: This is why I obsess over lowering the dollar. It absorbs an huge amount of the deflationary pain in repairing one\u2019s competitiveness rather\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10264,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/09\/aussie-dollar-should-rba-lean-against-the-wind\/","url_meta":{"origin":4159,"position":3},"title":"Aussie Dollar: Should RBA &#8216;lean against the wind&#8217;?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 9, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro rallied to resistance at $1.37 after testing primary support at $1.35 and the rising long-term trendline. Recovery above $1.37 would suggest a rally to $1.39\/$1.40, but descending 13-week Twiggs Momentum remains below zero, warning of weakness. Breach of $1.35 is equally likely and would signal a decline to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7386,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/01\/has-australia-hit-the-floor-with-interest-rates\/","url_meta":{"origin":4159,"position":4},"title":"Has Australia hit the floor with interest rates?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 1, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Izabella Kaminska made a strong argument on FT Alphaville last year for the RBA to lower interest rates and weaken the Australian Dollar to protect manufacturing and export industries: Australia\u2019s current account deficit coupled with a deeply negative net external debt position both provide strong fundamental impetus for currency weakening.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8315,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/23\/the-road-not-taken-macrobusiness-com-au\/","url_meta":{"origin":4159,"position":5},"title":"The road not taken | Macrobusiness.com.au","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 23, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"By Houses & Holes at Macrobusiness.com.au So, with our Federal election mostly over, at least enough to get a good sense of where we\u2019re going, I think it\u2019s fair to conclude that we are not going to get out in front of the primary economic issues of our time. On\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"The Road Not Taken","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/paths06-300x155.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4159"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4159\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}