Real Recovery: America\u2019s Debt is on the Decline<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"[A new report from the McKinsey Global Institute] estimated that home equity loans and cash-out refinancing increased consumer spending by a percentage point to 3 percent growth a year during the housing bubble years. But with that source of debt financing gone, retailers are more likely to see 2 percent annual growth over the next … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “Real Recovery: America\u2019s Debt is on the Decline”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,34],"tags":[799,956],"class_list":["post-3835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-debt-levels","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-consumer-spending","tag-debt"],"yoast_head":"\nReal Recovery: America\u2019s Debt is on the Decline - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Real Recovery: America\u2019s Debt is on the Decline - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[A new report from the McKinsey Global Institute] estimated that home equity loans and cash-out refinancing increased consumer spending by a percentage point to 3 percent growth a year during the housing bubble years. 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Almost all experts agree that a combination of reduced spending and increased tax revenues is needed. Cuts in spending and increases in tax revenues equal to about 5 percent of GDP are required to prevent an increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "US & Canada"","block_context":{"text":"US & Canada","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/us-canada-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38132,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/10\/15\/bond-market-no-place-to-hide\/","url_meta":{"origin":3835,"position":1},"title":"Bond market: No place to hide","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 15, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Advance retail sales were flat in September, reflecting slowing growth, but remain well above their pre-pandemic trend. So far, Fed rate hikes have failed to make a dent in consumer spending. Even adjusted for inflation, real retail sales are well above the pre-pandemic trend. The culprit is M2 money supply.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Advance Retail Sales","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-10-15-retail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-10-15-retail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-10-15-retail.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3188,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/20\/the-path-to-recovery-how-to-bring-the-debt-binge-under-control\/","url_meta":{"origin":3835,"position":2},"title":"The path to recovery: how to bring the debt binge under control","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 20, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The debt binge since 1975, fueled by an easy-money policy from the Fed, has landed the US economy in serious difficulties. Wall Street no doubt lobbied hard for debt expansion, because of the boost to interest margins, with little thought as to their own vulnerability. There can be no justification\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Debt Levels"","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":30600,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/01\/25\/dr-lacey-hunt-hoisington-asset-management-the-debt-trap\/","url_meta":{"origin":3835,"position":3},"title":"Dr Lacy Hunt, Hoisington Investment Management | The debt trap","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 25, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"From Dr Lacy Hunt at Hoisington Investment Management on the declining velocity of money: The Fed is able to increase money supply growth but the ongoing decline in velocity (V) means that the new liquidity is trapped in the financial markets rather than advancing the standard of living by moving\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"M2 Velocity","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-28-m2-velocity.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-28-m2-velocity.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-28-m2-velocity.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-01-28-m2-velocity.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13635,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/07\/31\/the-real-problem-private-investment\/","url_meta":{"origin":3835,"position":4},"title":"The real problem: Private Investment","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 31, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Want to know the real cause of low GDP growth? Look no further than Private Investment. Private Investment ran with peaks around 10 percent of GDP and troughs around 4 percent throughout the 1960s, 70s and most of the 80s. Since then Private Investment has declined to the point that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Debt Levels"","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":42078,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/05\/17\/strong-retail-sales-and-improving-consumer-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":3835,"position":5},"title":"Strong retail sales and improving consumer outlook","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 17, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Strong real retail sales in the US, with inflation-adjusted monthly sales holding above the pre-pandemic trend (dotted line). Household finances are improving, with the NY Fed Survey showing an April decline to 30.5% in respondents who considered that they were \"somewhat worse off\" than a year ago, compared to 38.6%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Deficit Spending & Employment"","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending & Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real Retail & Food Services Sales","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-05-16-real-retail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-05-16-real-retail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-05-16-real-retail.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3835"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3835\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}