{"id":3726,"date":"2012-03-05T15:32:43","date_gmt":"2012-03-05T20:32:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=3726"},"modified":"2012-03-05T15:32:43","modified_gmt":"2012-03-05T20:32:43","slug":"chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s growth model running out of steam – FT.com"},"content":{"rendered":"

For the first time in eight years, the Chinese government\u2019s annual growth target has been lowered, to 7.5 per cent GDP growth for all of 2012…..<\/p>\n

The new number represents Beijing\u2019s recognition that the investment-driven, export-dependent growth model that has propelled it from an impoverished backwater to the world\u2019s second-largest economy in just three decades is running out of steam……<\/p>\n

The goal is to shift growth away from investment in polluting, energy-intensive, unsustainable industries and towards domestic consumption, particularly of services and \u201cgreen goods\u201d, such as energy-efficient vehicles and environmentally friendly building materials.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe will move faster to set up a permanent mechanism for boosting consumption,\u201d Wen Jiabao, the premier, said at the opening session of China\u2019s rubber stamp parliament on Monday. \u201cWe will vigorously adjust income distribution, increase the incomes of low- and middle-income groups and enhance people\u2019s ability to consume.\u201d<\/p>\n

via China\u2019s growth model running out of steam – FT.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Comment:~ The trap China faces is that raising wages in order to promote domestic consumption will reduce competitiveness in export markets and harm its current export-driven growth model. Not only are exports likely to fall but, with a high propensity to save, there is no guarantee that Chinese consumption will rise as fast as wages.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

For the first time in eight years, the Chinese government\u2019s annual growth target has been lowered, to 7.5 per cent GDP growth for all of 2012….. The new number represents Beijing\u2019s recognition that the investment-driven, export-dependent growth model that has propelled it from an impoverished backwater to the world\u2019s second-largest economy in just three decades … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “China\u2019s growth model running out of steam – FT.com”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41],"tags":[663,800,1527,3625],"class_list":["post-3726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","tag-china","tag-consumption","tag-gdp-growth","tag-wage-levels"],"yoast_head":"\nChina\u2019s growth model running out of steam - FT.com - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China\u2019s growth model running out of steam - FT.com - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"For the first time in eight years, the Chinese government\u2019s annual growth target has been lowered, to 7.5 per cent GDP growth for all of 2012….. The new number represents Beijing\u2019s recognition that the investment-driven, export-dependent growth model that has propelled it from an impoverished backwater to the world\u2019s second-largest economy in just three decades … Continue reading "China\u2019s growth model running out of steam – FT.com"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-03-05T20:32:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"China\u2019s growth model running out of steam – FT.com\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-03-05T20:32:43+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/\"},\"wordCount\":223,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"China\",\"consumption\",\"GDP growth\",\"wage levels\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China & HK\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/\",\"name\":\"China\u2019s growth model running out of steam - FT.com - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2012-03-05T20:32:43+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/05\/chinas-growth-model-running-out-of-steam-ft-com\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"China\u2019s growth model running out of steam – FT.com\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He explains the Chinese growth model, why it no longer works, and the hard choices ahead. China's Growth Model China's growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Non-Financial Credit\/GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":18830,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/09\/06\/australia-the-elephant-in-the-room\/","url_meta":{"origin":3726,"position":1},"title":"Australia: The elephant in the room","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 6, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"June quarter real GDP growth slowed to an annual 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC). Major contributors to growth are household consumption, public demand and exports; while the biggest handbrake is investment. A quick look at the RBA chart shows that consumption is slowing but at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":42439,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/06\/17\/china-recovery-falters\/","url_meta":{"origin":3726,"position":2},"title":"China recovery falters","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 17, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"China's exports plunged 7.5% year-on-year in May.... https:\/\/youtu.be\/sjegqSfcdWE Westpac tell a similar story: Reversing our perspective and moving a month forward in time to May, China\u2019s trade surplus narrowed to US$65.8bn as exports weakened and imports rose. Exports to the US have declined on a year ago basis every month\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Fixed Asset Investment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-15-china-fai_595x571.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-15-china-fai_595x571.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-06-15-china-fai_595x571.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4610,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/13\/the-china-driven-commodities-super-cycle-debate-nomura-edition\/","url_meta":{"origin":3726,"position":3},"title":"The China-driven commodities super-cycle debate: Nomura edition","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 13, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Nomura: We have performed a detailed analysis of metal intensity of GDP for steel, copper and aluminium in the following pages, which we believe clearly outlines our view that China\u2019s economy is not large enough (in GDP terms) to support a continuation of the rapid growth in metal consumption seen\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6282,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/27\/economonitor-the-u-s-is-sliding-down-an-investment-slope\/","url_meta":{"origin":3726,"position":4},"title":"EconoMonitor \u00bb The U.S. is sliding down an investment slope","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 27, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Thomas Grennes & Andris Strazds highlight the contraction in US private investment since the GFC: Recent evidence.......suggests that while U.S. GDP growth has surpassed its pre-crisis level, investment has been declining. A comparison with China would not be appropriate due to differences in growth rates and the level of economic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":47634,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/01\/24\/the-shell-game\/","url_meta":{"origin":3726,"position":5},"title":"The shell game","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 24, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"An interesting discussion with Prof. Percy Allan from University of Technology, Sydney regarding what caused declining economic growth in recent decades. The chart below shows how real GDP growth in the US declined over the past sixty years -- from a 10-year average above 4.0% to a low of 2.2%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real GDP Growth","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-01-24-realgdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-01-24-realgdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-01-24-realgdp.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-01-24-realgdp.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3726","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3726"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3726\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3726"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3726"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3726"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}