{"id":32674,"date":"2022-05-10T03:29:36","date_gmt":"2022-05-10T03:29:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=32674"},"modified":"2022-05-10T03:31:11","modified_gmt":"2022-05-10T03:31:11","slug":"its-a-bear-market-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/05\/10\/its-a-bear-market-2\/","title":{"rendered":"It&#8217;s a bear market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 broke primary support at 4170 to confirm a bear market. A Trend Index peak at zero warns of strong selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-spx.png?resize=525%2C375&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" width=\"525\" height=\"375\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Nasdaq 100 similarly broke support at 13K, confirming the bear market.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-ndx.png?resize=525%2C375&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Nasdaq 100\" width=\"525\" height=\"375\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Dow Jones Industrial Average, already in a primary down-trend, confirmed the bear market with a break below 32.5K.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-dow.png?resize=525%2C375&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\" width=\"525\" height=\"375\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Transportation Average lags slightly, testing primary support at 14.5K. Follow-through below 14K would be the final nail in the coffin.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-djt.png?resize=525%2C375&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dow Jones Transportation Average\" width=\"525\" height=\"375\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A plunging Freightwaves National Truckload Index warns that we should not have long to wait.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-freightwaves.png?resize=525%2C304&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Freightwaves Truckload Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"304\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>All major US stock market indices now warn of a bear market. Weak retracement, to test new resistance levels, should not be confused with a buy-the-dip opportunity.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/hedgeye.png?resize=525%2C328&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" width=\"525\" height=\"328\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 broke primary support at 4170 to confirm a bear market. A Trend Index peak at zero warns of strong selling pressure. The Nasdaq 100 similarly broke support at 13K, confirming the bear market. Dow Jones Industrial Average, already in a primary down-trend, confirmed the bear market with a break below 32.5K. The &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/05\/10\/its-a-bear-market-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;It&#8217;s a bear market&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,34],"tags":[398,1113,1124,5461,2401,3010],"class_list":["post-32674","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-bear-market","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-dow-jones-transportation-average","tag-freightwaves-national-truckload-index","tag-nasdaq-100","tag-sp-500"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>It&#039;s a bear market - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"It&#039;s a bear market - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The S&amp;P 500 broke primary support at 4170 to confirm a bear market. A Trend Index peak at zero warns of strong selling pressure. The Nasdaq 100 similarly broke support at 13K, confirming the bear market. Dow Jones Industrial Average, already in a primary down-trend, confirmed the bear market with a break below 32.5K. The &hellip; Continue reading &quot;It&#8217;s a bear market&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/05\/10\/its-a-bear-market-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-05-10T03:29:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-05-10T03:31:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-spx.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"It&#8217;s a bear market\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-10T03:29:36+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-10T03:31:11+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":121,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2022\\\/2022-05-09-spx.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Bear Market\",\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\",\"Dow Jones Transportation Average\",\"Freightwaves National Truckload Index\",\"NASDAQ 100\",\"S&amp;P 500\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Stock Markets\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"It's a bear market - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2022\\\/2022-05-09-spx.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-10T03:29:36+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-10T03:31:11+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2022\\\/2022-05-09-spx.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2022\\\/2022-05-09-spx.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/10\\\/its-a-bear-market-2\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"It&#8217;s a bear market\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. 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This confirms a bear market in terms of Dow Theory. Confirmation comes after an earlier bear signal, breaching primary support on the Transportation Average below. The S&P 500 also signals a primary downtrend after\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Industrial Average","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-11-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-11-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-11-dow.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61320,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/05\/sp-and-dow-threaten-a-bear-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":32674,"position":1},"title":"S&#038;P and Dow threaten a bear market","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 5, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 is testing primary support at 5750, shown on the weekly chart below. A breach would signal a primary downtrend. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is similarly headed for a test of primary support at 42K. The Transportation Index is already in a primary downtrend signaled by breach\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;GDP and Activity&quot;","block_context":{"text":"GDP and Activity","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/gdp-and-activity\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-04-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-04-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-04-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":33138,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/05\/19\/bear-market-and-recession\/","url_meta":{"origin":32674,"position":2},"title":"Bear market and recession","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 19, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Industrial Average broke support at 32K, strengthening the primary down-trend. Dow Jones Transportation Average broke primary support at 14K, confirming a bear market in terms of classic Dow Theory. The S&P 500 closed below primary support at 4000, providing further confirmation. The Nasdaq 100 likewise broke primary support\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;UK &amp; Europe&quot;","block_context":{"text":"UK &amp; Europe","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/uk-europe-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Industrial Average","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-18-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-18-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-18-dow.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-18-dow.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61334,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/07\/loaded-for-bear\/","url_meta":{"origin":32674,"position":3},"title":"Loaded for bear","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 7, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Donald Trump's on-again-off-again trade war with Canada and Mexico has ramped up uncertainty, causing a violent swing to risk-off in financial markets. Canada is in no mood to back down. Foreign Minister Melanie Joly responded to the latest twist in the tariff saga: \"That's enough! Canadians have had enough. We\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-06-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-06-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-06-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2406,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/28\/2406\/","url_meta":{"origin":32674,"position":4},"title":"S&#038;P 500 breaks 1200","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 28, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 index broke medium-term support at 1200 and is headed for a test of the primary level at 1100. Failure would offer a target of 900*. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero warns of a primary down-trend. * Target calculation: 1100 - ( 1300 - 1100 )\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":31217,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/02\/26\/global-markets-rally\/","url_meta":{"origin":32674,"position":5},"title":"Global markets rally","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 26, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Volatility is elevated and markets have, understandably, gone into risk-off mode. Bitcoin (BTC) found support at 34K, before retracing to test short-term resistance at 40K, but remains in a strong down-trend. Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied strongly to test former primary resistance at 34K. Respect would confirm the primary down-trend.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin (BTC)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-25-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-25-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-25-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-02-25-btc.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32674","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32674"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32674\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32675,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32674\/revisions\/32675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32674"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32674"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32674"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}