{"id":3208,"date":"2011-12-29T18:44:29","date_gmt":"2011-12-29T23:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=3208"},"modified":"2011-12-29T18:44:29","modified_gmt":"2011-12-29T23:44:29","slug":"why-india-is-riskier-than-china-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/29\/why-india-is-riskier-than-china-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\/","title":{"rendered":"Why India is Riskier than China &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>India is more problematic. As the only economy in Asia with a current-account deficit, its external funding problems can hardly be taken lightly. Like China, India\u2019s economic-growth momentum is ebbing. But unlike China, the downshift is more pronounced \u2013 GDP growth fell through the 7% threshold in the third calendar-year quarter of 2011, and annual industrial output actually fell by 5.1% in October.<\/p>\n<p>But the real problem is that, in contrast to China, Indian authorities have far less policy leeway. For starters, the rupee is in near free-fall. That means that the Reserve Bank of India \u2013 which has hiked its benchmark policy rate 13 times since the start of 2010 to deal with a still-serious inflation problem \u2013 can ill afford to ease monetary policy. Moreover, an outsize consolidated government budget deficit of around 9% of GDP limits India\u2019s fiscal-policy discretion.<\/p>\n<p>via <a href='http:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/roach12\/English'>Why India is Riskier than China &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>India is more problematic. As the only economy in Asia with a current-account deficit, its external funding problems can hardly be taken lightly. Like China, India\u2019s economic-growth momentum is ebbing. But unlike China, the downshift is more pronounced \u2013 GDP growth fell through the 7% threshold in the third calendar-year quarter of 2011, and annual &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/29\/why-india-is-riskier-than-china-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Why India is Riskier than China &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3208","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-india-singapore-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why India is Riskier than China - Stephen S. Roach - Project Syndicate - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why India is Riskier than China - Stephen S. Roach - Project Syndicate - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"India is more problematic. As the only economy in Asia with a current-account deficit, its external funding problems can hardly be taken lightly. Like China, India\u2019s economic-growth momentum is ebbing. But unlike China, the downshift is more pronounced \u2013 GDP growth fell through the 7% threshold in the third calendar-year quarter of 2011, and annual &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Why India is Riskier than China &#8211; Stephen S. 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Jewellery normally accounts for roughly 50% of total gold sales but this fell to 37.5% in 2020, leaving a sizable hole in demand. But quarterly sales show that jewellery demand started to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1660,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/31\/the-end-of-population-growth-sanjeev-sanyal-project-syndicate\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":1},"title":"The End of Population Growth &#8211; Sanjeev Sanyal &#8211; Project Syndicate","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 31, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"What demographers call the Total Fertility Rate is the average number of live births per woman over her lifetime. In the long run, a population is said to be stable if the TFR is at the replacement rate, which is a little above 2.3 for the world as a whole,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Other&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Other","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/other\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8158,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/07\/23\/economonitor-beijings-new-leaders-are-right-to-hold-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":2},"title":"EconoMonitor \u00bb Beijing\u2019s New Leaders Are Right to Hold Back","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 23, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Michael Pettis argues that China cannot stimulate its economy out of trouble: There are still bulls out there who insist that China is out of the woods and making a strong recovery, for example former Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Stephen Grenville, who argues in his article\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5245,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/13\/slower-growth-in-asia-brings-down-stocks-nytimes-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":3},"title":"Slower Growth in Asia Brings Down Stocks &#8211; NYTimes.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 13, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS Published: August 13, 2012 Stocks fell Monday as evidence piled up that the global economic slowdown was hurting Asia. Japan\u2019s economy grew in the second quarter at a 1.4 percent annual rate, slower than many analysts had expected. Last week, China released dismal figures on retail\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6690,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/11\/oecd-leading-indicators-point-to-divergence-wsj-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":4},"title":"OECD Leading Indicators Point to Divergence &#124; WSJ.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 11, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"PAUL HANNON at WSJ writes: The world's largest economies are set to diverge in coming months with few signs that a broad-based recovery in growth is imminent, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's composite leading indicators.The leading indicators for December, released Monday, point to a pickup in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4670,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/westpac-china-credit-supply-outstrips-demand\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":5},"title":"Westpac: China credit supply outstrips demand","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 20, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Phat Dragon is placing the most value on new information regarding credit demand and supply. It is credit growth that tells us more about the shape of activity later this year than any other macro indicator......the supply side of the credit equation is moving decisively higher (greater policy emphasis, increased\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3208","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3208"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3208\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3208"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3208"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3208"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}