{"id":3208,"date":"2011-12-29T18:44:29","date_gmt":"2011-12-29T23:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=3208"},"modified":"2011-12-29T18:44:29","modified_gmt":"2011-12-29T23:44:29","slug":"why-india-is-riskier-than-china-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/29\/why-india-is-riskier-than-china-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\/","title":{"rendered":"Why India is Riskier than China &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>India is more problematic. As the only economy in Asia with a current-account deficit, its external funding problems can hardly be taken lightly. Like China, India\u2019s economic-growth momentum is ebbing. But unlike China, the downshift is more pronounced \u2013 GDP growth fell through the 7% threshold in the third calendar-year quarter of 2011, and annual industrial output actually fell by 5.1% in October.<\/p>\n<p>But the real problem is that, in contrast to China, Indian authorities have far less policy leeway. For starters, the rupee is in near free-fall. That means that the Reserve Bank of India \u2013 which has hiked its benchmark policy rate 13 times since the start of 2010 to deal with a still-serious inflation problem \u2013 can ill afford to ease monetary policy. Moreover, an outsize consolidated government budget deficit of around 9% of GDP limits India\u2019s fiscal-policy discretion.<\/p>\n<p>via <a href='http:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/roach12\/English'>Why India is Riskier than China &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>India is more problematic. As the only economy in Asia with a current-account deficit, its external funding problems can hardly be taken lightly. Like China, India\u2019s economic-growth momentum is ebbing. But unlike China, the downshift is more pronounced \u2013 GDP growth fell through the 7% threshold in the third calendar-year quarter of 2011, and annual &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/29\/why-india-is-riskier-than-china-stephen-s-roach-project-syndicate\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Why India is Riskier than China &#8211; Stephen S. Roach &#8211; Project Syndicate&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3208","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-india-singapore-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why India is Riskier than China - Stephen S. Roach - Project Syndicate - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why India is Riskier than China - Stephen S. Roach - Project Syndicate - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"India is more problematic. As the only economy in Asia with a current-account deficit, its external funding problems can hardly be taken lightly. Like China, India\u2019s economic-growth momentum is ebbing. But unlike China, the downshift is more pronounced \u2013 GDP growth fell through the 7% threshold in the third calendar-year quarter of 2011, and annual &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Why India is Riskier than China &#8211; Stephen S. 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Jewellery normally accounts for roughly 50% of total gold sales but this fell to 37.5% in 2020, leaving a sizable hole in demand. But quarterly sales show that jewellery demand started to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1660,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/31\/the-end-of-population-growth-sanjeev-sanyal-project-syndicate\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":1},"title":"The End of Population Growth &#8211; Sanjeev Sanyal &#8211; Project Syndicate","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 31, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"What demographers call the Total Fertility Rate is the average number of live births per woman over her lifetime. In the long run, a population is said to be stable if the TFR is at the replacement rate, which is a little above 2.3 for the world as a whole,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Other&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Other","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/other\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5245,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/13\/slower-growth-in-asia-brings-down-stocks-nytimes-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":2},"title":"Slower Growth in Asia Brings Down Stocks &#8211; NYTimes.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 13, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS Published: August 13, 2012 Stocks fell Monday as evidence piled up that the global economic slowdown was hurting Asia. Japan\u2019s economy grew in the second quarter at a 1.4 percent annual rate, slower than many analysts had expected. Last week, China released dismal figures on retail\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8158,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/07\/23\/economonitor-beijings-new-leaders-are-right-to-hold-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":3},"title":"EconoMonitor \u00bb Beijing\u2019s New Leaders Are Right to Hold Back","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 23, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Michael Pettis argues that China cannot stimulate its economy out of trouble: There are still bulls out there who insist that China is out of the woods and making a strong recovery, for example former Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Stephen Grenville, who argues in his article\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":57745,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/09\/25\/currency-wars-on-the-horizon\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":4},"title":"Currency wars are bullish for gold","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 25, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Dollar broke long-term support at 7.06 against the Chinese Yuan last week after the Fed confirmed it was cutting interest rates. Follow-through below 7.00 against the Yuan would confirm a Dollar bear market. Within days, China announced new measures to support its economy: - Lowering rates on existing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Chinese Yuan","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-24-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-24-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-24-cny.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6690,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/11\/oecd-leading-indicators-point-to-divergence-wsj-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":3208,"position":5},"title":"OECD Leading Indicators Point to Divergence &#124; WSJ.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 11, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"PAUL HANNON at WSJ writes: The world's largest economies are set to diverge in coming months with few signs that a broad-based recovery in growth is imminent, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's composite leading indicators.The leading indicators for December, released Monday, point to a pickup in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3208","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3208"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3208\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3208"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3208"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3208"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}