{"id":3196,"date":"2011-12-24T01:56:03","date_gmt":"2011-12-24T06:56:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=3196"},"modified":"2011-12-24T01:56:03","modified_gmt":"2011-12-24T06:56:03","slug":"santa-rally-or-grinch-in-disguise-the-big-picture","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/24\/santa-rally-or-grinch-in-disguise-the-big-picture\/","title":{"rendered":"Santa Rally or Grinch in Disguise? | The Big Picture"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>If the crisis is resolved and the rally is real, then why is it that:<\/p>\n<p>1) Treasury yields in the U.S. are still at panic levels and NOT confirming the collapse in the VIX?<\/p>\n<p>2) Bear sectors (Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Healthcare) are have not significantly underperformed?<\/p>\n<p>3) Bullish Sectors (Technology, Consumer Discretionary) have underperformed?<\/p>\n<p>4) European long bonds yields have NOT budged, with Italy\u2019s 10 year-yield reaching 7% again?<\/p>\n<p>5) Emerging Markets have FAILED to rally in a convincing way<\/p>\n<p>6) Gold and Silver are NOT rallying on a reflation trade<\/p>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ritholtz.com\/blog\/2011\/12\/santa-rally-or-grinch-in-disguise\/?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheBigPicture+%28The+Big+Picture%29\">Santa Rally or Grinch in Disguise? | The Big Picture<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If the crisis is resolved and the rally is real, then why is it that: 1) Treasury yields in the U.S. are still at panic levels and NOT confirming the collapse in the VIX? 2) Bear sectors (Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Healthcare) are have not significantly underperformed? 3) Bullish Sectors (Technology, Consumer Discretionary) have underperformed? &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/24\/santa-rally-or-grinch-in-disguise-the-big-picture\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Santa Rally or Grinch in Disguise? | The Big Picture&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,33,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","category-us-canada-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Santa Rally or Grinch in Disguise? | The Big Picture - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Santa Rally or Grinch in Disguise? | The Big Picture - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"If the crisis is resolved and the rally is real, then why is it that: 1) Treasury yields in the U.S. are still at panic levels and NOT confirming the collapse in the VIX? 2) Bear sectors (Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Healthcare) are have not significantly underperformed? 3) Bullish Sectors (Technology, Consumer Discretionary) have underperformed? &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Santa Rally or Grinch in Disguise? | The Big Picture&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/24\/santa-rally-or-grinch-in-disguise-the-big-picture\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-12-24T06:56:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/24\/santa-rally-or-grinch-in-disguise-the-big-picture\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/24\/santa-rally-or-grinch-in-disguise-the-big-picture\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Santa Rally or Grinch in Disguise? 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From Jim Grant: As Bianco Research eponym Jim Bianco relays, that\u2019s by far the largest upside lurch to begin the eight easing cycles seen over the past four decades, with 10-year yields remaining\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-20-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-20-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-20-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4742,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/02\/treasury-yields-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":3196,"position":1},"title":"Treasury yields fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 2, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields are testing support at 1.55 percent. Falling yields suggest that the current stock market rally is likely to fail: money is flowing into bonds -- not stocks. Failure of support would strengthen the warning. Recovery above 1.70 percent is less likely but would bolster the stock market\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4790,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/07\/falling-treasury-yields-money-is-flowing-out-of-stocks\/","url_meta":{"origin":3196,"position":2},"title":"Falling Treasury yields: Money is flowing out of stocks","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 7, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields broke medium-term support at 1.55 percent, indicating another decline. Breach of support at 1.45 percent would confirm, offering a target of 1.20 percent*. Latest stats from the Fed show holdings of Treasury notes and bonds fell over the last week, so the fall is not due to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":61556,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/27\/a-bear-rally-but-capital-outflows-likely-to-continue\/","url_meta":{"origin":3196,"position":3},"title":"A bear rally, but capital outflows likely to continue","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 27, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have rallied but remain below their 50-week weighted MA, indicating a bear market 10-year Treasury yields eased slightly, but the declining dollar continues to warn of capital outflows from US financial markets Plunging consumer sentiment warns of recession Gold continues in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-25-spx-w.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-25-spx-w.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-25-spx-w.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":46672,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/12\/23\/santa-rally-monetary-easing-offsets-china-woes\/","url_meta":{"origin":3196,"position":4},"title":"Santa rally: Monetary easing offsets China woes","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 23, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"China's economy is struggling despite injection of moderate stimulus and efforts to support a collapsing real estate sector. Shrinking demand from China threatens a global economic contraction. G7 central banks have responded with monetary easing, causing a broad rally in stocks. This is most likely a bear market rally, with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Shanghai Composite","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-12-22-ssec.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-12-22-ssec.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-12-22-ssec.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":20665,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/06\/06\/asx-relief-rally\/","url_meta":{"origin":3196,"position":5},"title":"ASX relief rally","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 6, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 200 reached 6000, another milestone in the bear market rally. Trend Index is rising but a peak at zero would be a strong bear signal. Even the Banks Index is making progress, with an impressive rally by the big four in the past two weeks. The REITs Index\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3196","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3196"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3196\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}