{"id":31712,"date":"2022-03-28T01:39:01","date_gmt":"2022-03-28T01:39:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=31712"},"modified":"2022-03-28T01:39:01","modified_gmt":"2022-03-28T01:39:01","slug":"consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/","title":{"rendered":"Consumer sentiment warns of recession"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>University of Michigan&#8217;s consumer sentiment index fell to 62.8 for February. Levels below 70 are normally associated with recession.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png?resize=525%2C328&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"University of Michigan: Consumer Sentiment Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"328\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>University of Michigan&#8217;s consumer sentiment index fell to 62.8 for February. Levels below 70 are normally associated with recession.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3761,34],"tags":[5439,5438],"class_list":["post-31712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gdp-and-activity","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-consumer-sentiment-index","tag-university-of-michigan"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Consumer sentiment warns of recession - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Consumer sentiment warns of recession - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"University of Michigan&#8217;s consumer sentiment index fell to 62.8 for February. Levels below 70 are normally associated with recession.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-03-28T01:39:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Consumer sentiment warns of recession\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-03-28T01:39:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/\"},\"wordCount\":22,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Consumer Sentiment Index\",\"University of Michigan\"],\"articleSection\":[\"GDP and Activity\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/\",\"name\":\"Consumer sentiment warns of recession - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-03-28T01:39:01+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/28\/consumer-sentiment-warns-of-recession\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Consumer sentiment warns of recession\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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The pessimism that has dominated the consumer mood for nearly two years now is still showing few signs of lifting. The latest Index read is well below the \u2018neutral\u2019 level of 100, meaning\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Consumer Sentiment Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-09-aus-sentiment.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-09-aus-sentiment.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-09-aus-sentiment.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63040,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/08\/consumer-sentiment-plunges-as-economic-activity-contracts\/","url_meta":{"origin":31712,"position":1},"title":"Consumer sentiment plunges as economic activity contracts","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 8, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The University of Michigan's Current Economic Conditions Index plunged to a record low of 52.3, and the Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.3. These are some of the lowest readings recorded in the University of Michigan survey's 65-year history. The University of Michigan's Current Economic Conditions Index plunged\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;GDP and Activity&quot;","block_context":{"text":"GDP and Activity","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/gdp-and-activity\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"University of Michigan Current Economic Conditions Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-07-uom-conditions.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-07-uom-conditions.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-07-uom-conditions.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":52851,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/14\/us-consumer-credit-card-rates\/","url_meta":{"origin":31712,"position":2},"title":"US consumers &#8211; credit cards &#038; gas prices","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 14, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Yesterday, we observed that consumer loans for credit cards and other revolving debt are no higher, relative to disposable personal income, than pre-pandemic levels in 2019. But Liz Ann Sonders at Schwab released a report today which highlights how higher interest rates are affecting consumers. First, credit card interest rates\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Credit Card Interest Rates","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-13-creditcardrates-ezgif.com-avif-to-gif-converter%282%29.gif?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-13-creditcardrates-ezgif.com-avif-to-gif-converter%282%29.gif?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-13-creditcardrates-ezgif.com-avif-to-gif-converter%282%29.gif?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-13-creditcardrates-ezgif.com-avif-to-gif-converter%282%29.gif?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31893,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/04\/06\/the-best-predictor-of-a-us-recession-gives-all-clear\/","url_meta":{"origin":31712,"position":3},"title":"The best predictor of US recessions still all clear","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 6, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Some 81% of adults said they think the U.S. economy is likely to experience a recession in 2022, according to the CNBC + Acorns Invest in You survey, conducted by Momentive. The online survey of nearly 4,000 adults was conducted from March 23 to 24. (CNBC) The above result ties\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Consumer Sentiment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-28-uom-sentiment.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":45625,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/11\/23\/sp-500-rallies-while-consumer-sentiment-falls\/","url_meta":{"origin":31712,"position":4},"title":"S&#038;P 500 rallies while consumer sentiment falls","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 23, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment declined to 61.3 for November. Levels below 70 in the past have signaled a recession. Consumer sentiment is in sharp contrast to robust personal consumption expenditures which at 93% of disposable personal income are well above pre-pandemic levels. Mortgage rates above 7.0%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-23-consumer-sentiment.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-23-consumer-sentiment.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-11-23-consumer-sentiment.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":44018,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/09\/09\/confirmation-bias\/","url_meta":{"origin":31712,"position":5},"title":"More delay until recession","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 9, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"We have been barraged lately with opinions from respected market commentators -- like David Rosenberg and Steph Pomboy (Macro Mavens) -- warning of an imminent recession. But the data tells us otherwise. Weekly initial claims are still falling. Continued claims for unemployment are also trending lower. The Coincident Index refuses\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Initial Claims","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-09-08-initialclaims.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-09-08-initialclaims.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-09-08-initialclaims.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31712"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31712\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31713,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31712\/revisions\/31713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}