{"id":28320,"date":"2021-10-12T23:51:34","date_gmt":"2021-10-12T23:51:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=28320"},"modified":"2021-10-13T02:54:46","modified_gmt":"2021-10-13T02:54:46","slug":"job-openings-flag-upward-pressure-on-wages","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/10\/12\/job-openings-flag-upward-pressure-on-wages\/","title":{"rendered":"Job openings flag upward pressure on wages"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Job openings fell by 660k in August, from 11.10 million to 10.44 million. Unemployment fell by less, from 8.70 million to 8.38 million (-320k), as absentees return to the workforce. Unemployment declined steeply (-710k) to 7.67 million in September and we expect an even larger decline in job openings as more return to the workforce.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-10-13-jolts-wages.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Job Openings &amp; Average Hourly Wage Rates\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>Job openings in August exceed unemployment by 2.06 million. While this is expected to reduce over the next few months, as stragglers return to the workforce, the persistent gap is likely to add upward pressure to wages. Average hourly earnings growth, currently at 4.6% YoY, is expected to rise in the months ahead.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Callum_Thomas\/status\/1448004445644550151\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-10-13-ath.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Small Business - Difficulty in Finding Workers\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The number of people who quit jobs voluntarily \u2013 to work for another company that offered higher wages and benefits and a signing bonus; to change careers entirely; to stay home and take care of the kids; to spend more time with their money; or whatever \u2013 spiked by another 242,000 people to a record of 4.27 million in August, up 19% from August 2019&#8230;&#8230;.This enormous number of quits is the hallmark of a tight and competitive labor market that encourages workers to switch jobs to seek the greener grass on the other side of the fence. (<a href=\"https:\/\/wolfstreet.com\/2021\/10\/12\/what-the-record-spike-in-quits-says-about-the-job-market-inflation-and-how-labor-gained-pricing-power\/\">Wolf Richter<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-10-12-quits.png?w=515&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Job Quits\"  \/><\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>The economy is recovering but the persistent gap between job openings and unemployment suggests that upward pressure on wages is likely to continue into next year. Rising wage rates add pressure on prices of consumer goods and services, adding to the inflationary spiral.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Job openings fell by 660k in August, from 11.10 million to 10.44 million. Unemployment fell by less, from 8.70 million to 8.38 million (-320k), as absentees return to the workforce. Unemployment declined steeply (-710k) to 7.67 million in September and we expect an even larger decline in job openings as more return to the workforce. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/10\/12\/job-openings-flag-upward-pressure-on-wages\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Job openings flag upward pressure on wages&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46,13,34],"tags":[314,4874,5212,5213,3531],"class_list":["post-28320","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-deficit-spending-employment","category-inflation-economy","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-average-hourly-earnings","tag-job-openings","tag-jolts","tag-u3","tag-unemployment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Job openings flag upward pressure on wages - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Job openings flag upward pressure on wages - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Job openings fell by 660k in August, from 11.10 million to 10.44 million. Unemployment fell by less, from 8.70 million to 8.38 million (-320k), as absentees return to the workforce. Unemployment declined steeply (-710k) to 7.67 million in September and we expect an even larger decline in job openings as more return to the workforce. &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Job openings flag upward pressure on wages&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/10\/12\/job-openings-flag-upward-pressure-on-wages\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-10-12T23:51:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-13T02:54:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-10-13-jolts-wages.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2021\\\/10\\\/12\\\/job-openings-flag-upward-pressure-on-wages\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2021\\\/10\\\/12\\\/job-openings-flag-upward-pressure-on-wages\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Job openings flag upward pressure on wages\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-10-12T23:51:34+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-13T02:54:46+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2021\\\/10\\\/12\\\/job-openings-flag-upward-pressure-on-wages\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":248,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2021\\\/10\\\/12\\\/job-openings-flag-upward-pressure-on-wages\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2021\\\/2021-10-13-jolts-wages.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Average Hourly Earnings\",\"Job Openings\",\"JOLTS\",\"U3\",\"Unemployment\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Deficit Spending &amp; 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Unemployment fell to 5.75 million, from 6.01 million in August, signaling a halt in the influx of new workers to the workforce. 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The shortfall of workers is expected to maintain upward pressure on wages for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Average Hourly Earnings","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-01-wages.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-01-wages.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-01-wages.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-04-01-wages.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":36972,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/09\/03\/more-us-jobs-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":28320,"position":2},"title":"More US jobs growth","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 3, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The US economy added 315K new jobs in August, but the rate of growth is clearly slowing. Unemployment also rose, by 340K, suggesting a 655K increase in the workforce as rising prices and declining stock values reduce the allure of early retirement. But job openings still exceed unemployment by more\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Employment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-09-02-jobs.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-09-02-jobs.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-09-02-jobs.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":35565,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/07\/07\/inflation-and-wages-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":28320,"position":3},"title":"Inflation and wages outlook","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 7, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Job openings declined slightly to 11.25 million for May but this far exceeds unemployment of 5.95 million, leaving a shortfall of 5.3 million workers. Hourly earnings growth was 6.5% for the 12 months ended May. We expect a down-turn for June, as recession fears grow, but the shortage of workers\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Job Openings & Unemployment (U3)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-07-07-jolts-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-07-07-jolts-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-07-07-jolts-u3.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-07-07-jolts-u3.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":27227,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/08\/07\/rising-wages-inflation-but-4-6m-missing-services-jobs\/","url_meta":{"origin":28320,"position":4},"title":"Rising wages inflation but 4.6m missing services jobs","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 7, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Total employment increased by a healthy 943,000 in July. But total employment is still 5.7 million below its February '20 high. Unusually high job openings reflect the slow return to the workforce -- encouraged by the extra $300 per week in unemployment benefits -- and account for 2 million of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38458,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/11\/02\/economy-slows-but-labor-market-remains-tight\/","url_meta":{"origin":28320,"position":5},"title":"Economy slows but labor market remains tight","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 2, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"An unexpected rise in job openings, to 10.7 million for September, warns that the labor market is still tight. The gap between job openings and unemployment widened to 4.9 million. Upward pressure on wage rates is expected to continue, with annual growth in both employment cost (ECI) and average hourly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Job Openings & Unemployment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-11-01-jolts-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-11-01-jolts-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-11-01-jolts-u3.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28320","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28320"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28320\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28329,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28320\/revisions\/28329"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28320"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28320"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28320"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}