{"id":248,"date":"2011-08-15T19:39:46","date_gmt":"2011-08-15T23:39:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=248"},"modified":"2011-08-15T19:39:46","modified_gmt":"2011-08-15T23:39:46","slug":"what-a-real-bounce-looks-like","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/what-a-real-bounce-looks-like\/","title":{"rendered":"What a real bounce looks like"},"content":{"rendered":"

Question from Flint:<\/p>\n

If this is an example of a dead cat bounce then what would we look for in a real bounce… .<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The best example I can find is the mini-crash of October 1997. The Dow gapped down sharply following a fall in Asian markets, but met with strong buying support the next day. The total correction of 12% did not reach the 6400 level from start of the year. The long-term rising trendline was not tested and 63-Day Twiggs Momentum declined but failed to break below zero. Volume doubled in the week following the crash, confirming buying support.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n

The 2011 crash is not specific to one region as with the 1997 Asian crisis. The index had not made much progress for the year and the fall of 17% broke well below the starting level of 11500. The long-term rising trendline was breached and 63-Day Twiggs Momentum dropped sharply below zero. Volume doubled in the week following the crash, as in 1997, but this is a completely different scenario: it would take similar volume for 4\/5 successive weeks to stop the bear market in its tracks.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Question from Flint: If this is an example of a dead cat bounce then what would we look for in a real bounce… . The best example I can find is the mini-crash of October 1997. The Dow gapped down sharply following a fall in Asian markets, but met with strong buying support the next … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “What a real bounce looks like”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-248","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat a real bounce looks like - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What a real bounce looks like - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Question from Flint: If this is an example of a dead cat bounce then what would we look for in a real bounce… . 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Follow-through above the descending trendline indicates the correction is over and a test of 81.50 likely. Upward breakout would signal continuation of the primary up-trend. Reversal below 73.50 is unlikely, but would warn of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5908,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/asia-china-japan-weak-india-hk-bullish\/","url_meta":{"origin":248,"position":1},"title":"Asia: China & Japan weak, India & HK bullish","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 29, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite Index respected resistance at 2150 and the descending trendline, indicating another down-swing. Breach of support at 2000 would confirm. 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The primary trend remains upward, with support a long way off at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5822,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/23\/asian-market-update\/","url_meta":{"origin":248,"position":3},"title":"Asian market update","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 23, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite Index is testing medium-term resistance at 2150. Breach of the descending trendline would suggest that a bottom is forming. Bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum also indicates that the down-trend is weakening. * Target calculation: 2150 - ( 2500 - 2150 ) = 1800 India's Sensex continues\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3765,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/08\/forex-euro-and-yen-weaken-while-rand-recovers\/","url_meta":{"origin":248,"position":4},"title":"Forex: Euro and Yen weaken while Rand recovers","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 8, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro is retreating to test medium-term support at $1.30 on the weekly chart. Failure would mean a fall to primary support at $1.25\/$1.26. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum holding below zero reinforces the primary down-trend. * Target calculation: 1.25 - ( 1.35 - 1.25 ) = 1.15 Pound Sterling is ranging\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Africa & South America"","block_context":{"text":"Africa & South America","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/africa-south-america\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":221,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/","url_meta":{"origin":248,"position":5},"title":"Dead cat bounce","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 15, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"We have a clear bear market signal across a wide range of indexes and current behavior is typical of the early \"Denial\" stage. 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