{"id":221,"date":"2011-08-15T01:15:49","date_gmt":"2011-08-15T05:15:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=221"},"modified":"2024-04-18T06:09:18","modified_gmt":"2024-04-18T06:09:18","slug":"dead-cat-bounce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/","title":{"rendered":"Dead cat bounce"},"content":{"rendered":"

We have a clear bear market signal across a wide range of indexes and current behavior is typical of the early “Denial” stage. If we look at 2008, the Dow broke primary support at 12800 in January, falling sharply before encountering strong buying support at 12000, signaled by weekly volume over 1.5 billion [1]. The rally failed, but buyers again snapped up bargains, with weekly volumes [2] above 1.5 billion. A third rally even penetrated resistance, but buyers soon lost interest and the next down-swing [3] led to a strong bear market over the next year.<\/p>\n

Current buying support, with weekly volume close to 2 billion [4] is typical of the first stage of a bear market . Expect a rally to test 12000 followed by another test of\u00a0 support between 10600 and 10800.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 10800 – (11800 – 10800 ) = 9800<\/span><\/p>\n

Friday’s doji candlestick<\/a> on the S&P 500 Index indicates hesitancy, and 21-Day Twiggs Money Flow<\/a> below zero warns of selling pressure. Breakout above 1200 would indicate a similar rally to test 1260, but reversal below 1100 would signal another down-swing.<\/p>\n

\"S&P500<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1125 – ( 1250 – 1125 ) = 1000<\/span><\/p>\n

The Nasdaq 100 Index displays stronger buying support, as evidenced by the long tail<\/a> and small bullish divergence<\/a> on the weekly chart. Expect penetration of resistance at 2200, but the primary trend remains downward and reversal below 2200 would confirm.<\/p>\n

\"Nasdaq<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 2200 – ( 2400 – 2200 ) = 2000<\/span><\/p>\n

For those who follow classic Dow Theory, the Transport Index broke below 5000, confirming the bear market. 63-Day Momentum<\/a> further strengthened the signal with a strong fall below zero.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 5000 – ( 5600 – 5000 ) = 4400<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We have a clear bear market signal across a wide range of indexes and current behavior is typical of the early “Denial” stage. If we look at 2008, the Dow broke primary support at 12800 in January, falling sharply before encountering strong buying support at 12000, signaled by weekly volume over 1.5 billion [1]. The … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Dead cat bounce”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"\nDead cat bounce - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We have a clear bear market signal across a wide range of indexes and current behavior is typical of the early "Denial" stage\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dead cat bounce - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We have a clear bear market signal across a wide range of indexes and current behavior is typical of the early "Denial" stage\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-08-15T05:15:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-04-18T06:09:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-08-12-dow.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Dead cat bounce\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-08-15T05:15:49+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-04-18T06:09:18+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/\"},\"wordCount\":242,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2011\/2011-08-12-dow.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Stock Markets\",\"US & Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/15\/dead-cat-bounce\/\",\"name\":\"Dead cat bounce - 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Low volumes indicate a lack of interest from buyers rather than large numbers of sellers. Expect a test of support at 10600 to 10800. A strong surge in volume would indicate buying support, but failure is more likely and would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":697,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/07\/denial-is-not-a-river-in-egypt\/","url_meta":{"origin":221,"position":1},"title":"Denial is not a river in Egypt","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 7, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied, suggesting a second higher low above primary support at 10600\/10800.\u00a0 Expect a test of 11900\/12000, but this does not mean the bear market is about to reverse. We are still in the early \"denial stage\" of the bear market, identified by sporadic bargain-hunting, high volatility\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":836,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/19\/bear-rally-and-triple-witching\/","url_meta":{"origin":221,"position":2},"title":"Bear rally and triple-witching","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 19, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"A narrow range with large volume often acts like a compressed spring -- absorbing buying pressure before launching a sharp move in the opposite direction. The spike in volume [W] on Dow Jones Industrial Average was due to triple-witching hour on Friday, but we should nevertheless be wary of a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":364,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/21\/nasdaq-breaks-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":221,"position":3},"title":"Nasdaq breaks support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 21, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The Nasdaq 100 broke support at 2050, warning of a down-swing to 1900*. Follow-through below last week's low of 2040 would confirm. The latest peak on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow, barely breaking the zero line, indicates strong medium-term selling pressure. * Target calculation: 2050 - ( 2200 - 2050 )\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2481,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/30\/dow-in-strong-bear-rally\/","url_meta":{"origin":221,"position":4},"title":"Dow in strong bear rally","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 30, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied strongly in response to news of a European rescue by major central banks. Sharp rallies are typical of shorts covering in a bear market. Strong volume indicates resistance -- if you look back over the last few months (ignore triple-witching at [W]) volume above 200\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":742,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/09\/dow-acid-test\/","url_meta":{"origin":221,"position":5},"title":"Dow acid-test","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 9, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dow is headed for the band of support between 10600 and 10800 -- a real acid-test. Support is likely to fail unless we see a substantial increase in volume, indicating buying support. Breach of 10600 would confirm another down-swing with a target of 10000*. * Target calculation: 11000 -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=221"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51420,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221\/revisions\/51420"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}