{"id":19645,"date":"2020-01-18T04:36:04","date_gmt":"2020-01-18T04:36:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=19645"},"modified":"2020-01-18T05:00:25","modified_gmt":"2020-01-18T05:00:25","slug":"gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold testing resistance despite Dollar rise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Signing of the US-China phase one trade deal did little to quell demand for Gold, with the precious metal continuing to test resistance at $1560\/ounce. But a strengthening Dollar makes another test of primary support at $1450 likely.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-gold.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Gold (USD\/ounce)\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Silver is similarly testing resistance at $18 to $18.50, but declining Trend Index peaks below zero warn of stronger selling pressure. Expect another test of support at $16.50.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-silver.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Silver (USD\/ounce)\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Dollar Index rallied off support at 96.50. Breakout above 98 would offer a medium-term target of 99.50.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-dxy.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s Yuan, on the other hand, is strengthening against the Greenback, with rising Trend Index troughs indicating buying pressure. Expect retracement to test support at 14.35 US cents, but the outlook for the Yuan against the Dollar is bullish and respect of support would offer a target of 15 US cents.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-cny.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"CNYUSD\" \/><\/p>\n<p>10-Year Treasury yields are ranging between support at 1.70% and resistance at 2.00%. A rising Yuan is bullish for yields and may cause another test of resistance at 2.0%. Breakout would offer a target of 2.50%. But increased <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BradHuston\/status\/1218171486923476993\">use of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) as collateral in Fed repo operations<\/a> may help to suppress long-term yields.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-tnx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In summary:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A rising US Dollar is bearish for Gold.<\/li>\n<li>Rising treasury yields increase the opportunity cost of holding precious metals and are bearish for Gold.<\/li>\n<li>Geo-political instability (e.g. ongoing US-China\/US-Iran tensions) is bullish for Gold.<\/li>\n<li>Low oil prices and low inflation are bullish for the Dollar and bearish for Gold.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-crude.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Nymex Light Crude\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Australia<\/h2>\n<p>Australia&#8217;s All Ordinaries Gold Index is testing resistance at 7200 after a brief retracement to 6800. Breakout from the trend channel is bullish for Gold stocks. Follow-through above 7200 would strengthen the signal.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-xgd.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"All Ordinaries Gold Index\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Patience<\/h3>\n<p>Gold is in a long-term up-trend and the current correction may offer an attractive entry point. We have a breakout from the downward trend channel but could still experience a re-test of support at 6000. Proceed with caution.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Signing of the US-China phase one trade deal did little to quell demand for Gold, with the precious metal continuing to test resistance at $1560\/ounce. But a strengthening Dollar makes another test of primary support at $1450 likely. Silver is similarly testing resistance at $18 to $18.50, but declining Trend Index peaks below zero warn &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold testing resistance despite Dollar rise&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[42,9,35],"tags":[70,678,1073,3204,3206],"class_list":["post-19645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chinese-yuan","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-chinese-yuan","tag-dollar-index","tag-spot-gold","tag-spot-silver"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold testing resistance despite Dollar rise - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold testing resistance despite Dollar rise - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Signing of the US-China phase one trade deal did little to quell demand for Gold, with the precious metal continuing to test resistance at $1560\/ounce. But a strengthening Dollar makes another test of primary support at $1450 likely. Silver is similarly testing resistance at $18 to $18.50, but declining Trend Index peaks below zero warn &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Gold testing resistance despite Dollar rise&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-01-18T04:36:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-01-18T05:00:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-gold.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Gold testing resistance despite Dollar rise\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-01-18T04:36:04+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-01-18T05:00:25+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/\"},\"wordCount\":305,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-gold.png\",\"keywords\":[\"10-Year Treasury Yields\",\"Chinese Yuan\",\"Dollar Index\",\"Spot Gold\",\"Spot Silver\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Chinese Yuan\",\"Gold &amp; Precious Metals\",\"US Dollar Index\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/\",\"name\":\"Gold testing resistance despite Dollar rise - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-gold.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-01-18T04:36:04+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-01-18T05:00:25+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-gold.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2020-01-17-gold.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/18\/gold-testing-resistance-despite-dollar-rise\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Gold testing resistance despite Dollar rise\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-56R","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":19598,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/02\/gold-rallies-as-the-dollar-weakens-but-rising-yields-may-counteract\/","url_meta":{"origin":19645,"position":0},"title":"Gold rallies as the Dollar weakens but rising yields may counteract","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 2, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold rallied off support at $1450, testing resistance at $1500\/$1520. Lower Trend Index peaks continue to warn of long-term selling pressure and another test of support at $1450 is likely. Silver is similarly\u00a0 testing resistance at $18.00\/ounce, while declining Trend Index peaks warn of LT selling pressure.\u00a0 Expect another test\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Chinese Yuan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Chinese Yuan","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/chinese-yuan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17197,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/10\/20\/gold-bear-rally-boosts-aussie-miners\/","url_meta":{"origin":19645,"position":1},"title":"Gold bear rally boosts Aussie miners","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 20, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Yuan broke support at 14.50, warning of another decline. A weaker Yuan is likely to lead to Dollar strength. The Dollar Index respected support at 94 and follow-through above 96 would confirm another advance. A strengthening Dollar would weaken demand for Gold. Gold broke resistance at $1210\/ounce, commencing a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":25325,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/04\/17\/gold-rallies-as-treasury-yields-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":19645,"position":2},"title":"Gold rallies as Treasury yields fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 17, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot Gold broke resistance at $1750\/ounce completing a small double bottom reversal with a target of $1825. Breakout above the trend channel would signal that a bottom is forming. But expect retracement to first test support at $1750. The rally is driven by falling Treasury yields, with the 10-year TIPS\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20959,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/07\/11\/dollar-weakness-gold-strength\/","url_meta":{"origin":19645,"position":3},"title":"Dollar weakness, Gold strength","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 11, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The 10-year TIPS yield fell to -0.77% on Thursday (-0.68% last Wednesday). Treasuries are growing increasingly unattractive (as an investment) as real interest rates decline. Demand for Gold is expected to rise as the opportunity cost diminishes. Lower real interest rates weaken the Dollar as net investment in US Treasuries\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26274,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/06\/12\/gold-silver-dip-despite-falling-treasury-yields\/","url_meta":{"origin":19645,"position":4},"title":"Gold dips despite falling Treasury yields","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 12, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The 10-Year Treasury yield fell to 1.454% on Friday. Expect retracement to test new resistance at 1.50% but respect would confirm a correction with a target of 1.0%. Fed total assets rose to $7.95 trillion and the TIPS yield fell to -0.90% on the back of lower nominal rates. This\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-06-11-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":17057,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/15\/silver-warns-of-further-gold-weakness\/","url_meta":{"origin":19645,"position":5},"title":"Silver warns of further Gold weakness","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 15, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Precious metals tend to trend or consolidate together, driven by similar investor motives. Spot silver is testing primary support at $14 per ounce, while a Trend Index peak at zero warns of selling pressure. Breach of support would signal a primary down-trend. Gold is still testing support at $1200\/ounce but\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19645","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19645"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19645\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19650,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19645\/revisions\/19650"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19645"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19645"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19645"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}