{"id":19572,"date":"2019-12-14T02:10:20","date_gmt":"2019-12-14T02:10:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=19572"},"modified":"2019-12-14T02:10:50","modified_gmt":"2019-12-14T02:10:50","slug":"trade-deal-announced","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade deal announced"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trumps latest tweets on a trade deal with China:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/i\/events\/1205522823248089089\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-12-13-tradedeal.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Twitter\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Trinhnomics\/status\/1205274750479552512\">Trish Nguyen<\/a> predicted, Trump was never going to introduce the Dec15 tariffs as they directly impact on US consumers, not producers as in earlier rounds of tariffs.<\/p>\n<p>Prof Aaron Friedberg (Princeton) gives an interesting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ambassadorsbrief.com\/posts\/epmJjqnnrHZyPMAgx\">summary of the impact this deal will have<\/a>. The bottom line is that China will not change its ways:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<blockquote><p>CCP-ruled China has long exploited advanced industrial economies \u2013 by pursuing a variety of predatory and market-distorting policies<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<blockquote><p>The CCP is exceptionally unlikely to offer any fundamental concessions on these policies \u2013 they are deeply embedded in China\u2019s economic system and the CCP views them as essential to its hold on power<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<blockquote><p>Even if CCP-ruled China were to modify some of its more objectionable economic practices, so long as its domestic political regime remains unchanged, it will continue to pose a serious geopolitical and ideological challenge to the U.S.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<blockquote><p>In light of these realities, the U.S. should pursue a four-part strategy for defending U.S. prosperity and security, by moving toward a posture of partial economic disengagement from China.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>De-coupling will continue.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trumps latest tweets on a trade deal with China: As Trish Nguyen predicted, Trump was never going to introduce the Dec15 tariffs as they directly impact on US consumers, not producers as in earlier rounds of tariffs. Prof Aaron Friedberg (Princeton) gives an interesting summary of the impact this deal will have. The bottom &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Trade deal announced&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,3778,34],"tags":[3449],"class_list":["post-19572","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-international-trade","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-trade-deal"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trade deal announced - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trade deal announced - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Donald Trumps latest tweets on a trade deal with China: As Trish Nguyen predicted, Trump was never going to introduce the Dec15 tariffs as they directly impact on US consumers, not producers as in earlier rounds of tariffs. Prof Aaron Friedberg (Princeton) gives an interesting summary of the impact this deal will have. The bottom &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Trade deal announced&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-12-14T02:10:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-12-14T02:10:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-12-13-tradedeal.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Trade deal announced\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-12-14T02:10:20+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-12-14T02:10:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/\"},\"wordCount\":191,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-12-13-tradedeal.png\",\"keywords\":[\"trade deal\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China &amp; HK\",\"International Trade\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/\",\"name\":\"Trade deal announced - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-12-13-tradedeal.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-12-14T02:10:20+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-12-14T02:10:50+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-12-13-tradedeal.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-12-13-tradedeal.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-announced\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Trade deal announced\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454","name":"Colin Twiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Colin Twiggs"},"description":"Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-55G","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":18287,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/29\/market-uncertainty-is-likely-to-persist-as-u-s-china-negations-stall-bob-doll\/","url_meta":{"origin":19572,"position":0},"title":"Market uncertainty is likely to persist as US-China negotiations stall | Bob Doll","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 29, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"From Bob Doll at Nuveen: \"There have been several risk-off phases this decade, triggered by economic threats due to politically induced setbacks. However, the current sluggish global economy and weak trade, coupled with escalating trade tariffs and non-tariff barriers, is a worrisome combination. This is especially true because once protectionism\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":61503,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/08\/trade-war-threat-to-markets\/","url_meta":{"origin":19572,"position":1},"title":"Trade war threatens markets","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 8, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary Rising 10-year Treasury yields warn of a capital outflow from Treasury markets Donald Trump's threat to levy further tariffs on China risks an all-out trade war The Chinese yuan has weakened against the dollar The bear market continues I will be traveling over the next few days, and my\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;US &amp; Canada&quot;","block_context":{"text":"US &amp; Canada","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/us-canada-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-08-10y.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-08-10y.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-08-10y.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":18403,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/06\/13\/no-us-china-trade-deal\/","url_meta":{"origin":19572,"position":2},"title":"No US-China trade deal","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 13, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\"On Monday, US President Trump told reporters that he would impose tariffs on an additional USD 300 billion of Chinese goods if Xi Jinping doesn\u2019t meet with him in Japan.\" ~ Trivium China, June 12, 2019 Trump is doing his best to kill any chance of a trade deal. He\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18268,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/25\/sp-500-and-the-trade-war\/","url_meta":{"origin":19572,"position":3},"title":"S&#038;P 500 and the trade war","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 25, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"We are now headed for a full-blown trade war. Donald Trump may have highlighted the issue but this is not a conflict between him and Xi -- it should have been addressed years ago -- nor even between China and the West. Accusations of racism are misguided. This is a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19052,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/10\/12\/trade-talks-extend-and-pretend\/","url_meta":{"origin":19572,"position":4},"title":"Trade talks: &#8216;Extend and pretend&#8217;","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 12, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Donald Trump has been weakened by the impeachment process, with more than half the respondents in a recent Fox News poll wanting the troubled President impeached: \"A new high of 51 percent wants Trump impeached and removed from office, another 4 percent want him impeached but not removed, and 40\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18373,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/06\/11\/if-earnings-undershoot-stocks-will-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":19572,"position":5},"title":"If earnings undershoot, stocks will fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 11, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Annual employment growth is falling while average hourly earnings growth remains high. This is typical. Ahead of the last two recessions (gray bars below), average hourly earnings growth (green) held steady while employment growth (blue) declined. 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