{"id":18561,"date":"2019-07-20T00:48:13","date_gmt":"2019-07-20T00:48:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=18561"},"modified":"2019-07-20T01:00:02","modified_gmt":"2019-07-20T01:00:02","slug":"asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\/","title":{"rendered":"ASX 200: Iron ore tailwinds continue"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The ASX continues to enjoy a massive tailwind, with iron ore spot prices holding above $120\/tonne. Prices are expected to moderate, with Brazilian exports recovering. Clyde Russell at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mining.com\/web\/iron-ore-market-regains-composure-futures-curve-may-be-too-pricey\/\">Mining.com<\/a> comments:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Even if Brazil\u2019s exports do remain slightly below normal, it may be the case that the iron ore forward curve is currently too optimistic. The Singapore Exchange front-month contract closed at $121.24 a tonne on Wednesday, while the six-month contract was at $100.52 and the 12-month at $89.52. This shows traders do expect prices to moderate&#8230;&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-tr.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Iron Ore\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Materials index continues to climb, with rising troughs on the Trend Index signaling buying pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-xmj.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 200 Materials\" \/><\/p>\n<p>REITs continue their strong up-trend, in expectation of lower interest rates. The <a href=\"https:\/\/api.vanguard.com\/rs\/gre\/gls\/1.3.0\/documents\/7635\/au\">equity (dividend) yield<\/a> on VAP\/ASX 300 REITs has fallen to 4.3%.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-xpj.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 200 REITs\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Financials are testing resistance at 6450 but face headwinds from declining house prices and construction work.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-xfj.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 200 Financials\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The ASX 200 is headed for a test of its 2007 high at 6830, with a rising Trend index indicating buying pressure. Penetration of the rising trendline on the index chart is not likely but would warn of a correction to test support at 6000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-xjo.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 200\" \/><\/p>\n<p>We continue to maintain a high level of cash in our Australian Growth portfolio.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The ASX continues to enjoy a massive tailwind, with iron ore spot prices holding above $120\/tonne. Prices are expected to moderate, with Brazilian exports recovering. Clyde Russell at Mining.com comments: &#8220;Even if Brazil\u2019s exports do remain slightly below normal, it may be the case that the iron ore forward curve is currently too optimistic. The &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;ASX 200: Iron ore tailwinds continue&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,43,57],"tags":[251,4074,1397,1902,2254,4031,4073],"class_list":["post-18561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-commodities-gold-commodities","category-stock-markets","tag-asx-200","tag-asx-300-reits","tag-financials","tag-iron-ore","tag-materials","tag-reits","tag-vap"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ASX 200: Iron ore tailwinds continue - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASX 200: Iron ore tailwinds continue - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The ASX continues to enjoy a massive tailwind, with iron ore spot prices holding above $120\/tonne. Prices are expected to moderate, with Brazilian exports recovering. Clyde Russell at Mining.com comments: &#8220;Even if Brazil\u2019s exports do remain slightly below normal, it may be the case that the iron ore forward curve is currently too optimistic. The &hellip; Continue reading &quot;ASX 200: Iron ore tailwinds continue&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-07-20T00:48:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-07-20T01:00:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-tr.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"ASX 200: Iron ore tailwinds continue\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-07-20T00:48:13+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-07-20T01:00:02+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":198,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2018\\\/2019-07-19-tr.png\",\"keywords\":[\"ASX 200\",\"ASX 300 REITs\",\"Financials\",\"Iron Ore\",\"Materials\",\"REITs\",\"VAP\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; NZ\",\"Commodities\",\"Stock Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/\",\"name\":\"ASX 200: Iron ore tailwinds continue - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2018\\\/2019-07-19-tr.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-07-20T00:48:13+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-07-20T01:00:02+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2018\\\/2019-07-19-tr.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2018\\\/2019-07-19-tr.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/07\\\/20\\\/asx-200-iron-ore-tailwinds-continue\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ASX 200: Iron ore tailwinds continue\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-4Pn","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":23207,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/12\/12\/asx-boosted-by-iron-ore\/","url_meta":{"origin":18561,"position":0},"title":"ASX boosted by iron ore","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 12, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Iron ore is trading at $152\/tonne, driven by surging demand from China and constrained supply from Brazil. The price jump will more than offset the Chinese trade embargo on a number of other Australian exports. But surging iron ore prices have also boosted the Australian Dollar, offsetting some of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":23055,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/12\/05\/asx-iron-ore-goes-ballistic\/","url_meta":{"origin":18561,"position":1},"title":"ASX: Iron ore goes ballistic","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 5, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 200 encountered mild resistance around 6600 but rising Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Retracement that respects support at 6200 would signal another advance to the Feb 2020 high at 7000. Financial REITs ran into resistance at 1500, with small, overlapping ranges indicating a loss of momentum. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":23815,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/01\/23\/asx-edges-higher\/","url_meta":{"origin":18561,"position":2},"title":"ASX faces iron ore risk","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 23, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Iron ore reached $170\/metric ton as record steel production in China lifted prices. But breach of the steep trendline would warn of a sharp correction (the steeper the trend, the harder they fall). Australian bulk exports remain strong, with December bulk exports down 3% from a record high in December\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":25560,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/05\/01\/asx-iron-ore-still-shooting-out-the-lights\/","url_meta":{"origin":18561,"position":3},"title":"ASX: Iron ore still shooting out the lights","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 1, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Iron ore is still shooting out the lights, flirting with $180\/metric ton. Compare that to last year's federal budget, based on $55\/ton. Interest rates remain low, with our three bond ETFs going sideways, signaling that long-term rates have stabilized. Financials (XFJ) are enjoying a purple patch as house prices soar,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20392,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/04\/25\/asx-iron-ore-defying-gravity\/","url_meta":{"origin":18561,"position":4},"title":"ASX: Iron ore defying gravity","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 25, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Warnings abound of a second wave of COVID19 infections in China. Housing sales are down 25%, compared to 2019 figures. Steel exports are expected to plunge as the global economy contracts. Demand for Brent Crude is a good barometer of the state of China's economy \u2014 the largest global oil\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18577,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/27\/iron-ore-tailwinds-lift-the-asx\/","url_meta":{"origin":18561,"position":5},"title":"Iron ore tailwinds lift the ASX","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 27, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Further increases in iron ore prices are predicted. Enrico de la Cruz at Mining.com reports: Singapore-based steel and iron ore data analytics firm Tivlon Technologies is keeping its price forecast of $150 a tonne by October. \u201cWe expect the launch of infrastructure projects in China to peak in the third\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18561"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18561\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18564,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18561\/revisions\/18564"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}