{"id":18559,"date":"2019-07-20T00:05:42","date_gmt":"2019-07-20T00:05:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=18559"},"modified":"2019-07-20T00:05:42","modified_gmt":"2019-07-20T00:05:42","slug":"gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold: Every cloud has a Silver lining"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Long-term interest rates are declining after more dovish speeches from the Fed, with 10-year Treasury yields re-testing support at 2.0%. The opportunity cost of holding gold is low.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-tnx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Dollar Index is likely to weaken, testing primary support at 95. A weakening Dollar boosts demand for Gold.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-dxy.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A big gain in Silver this week is likely to be followed by a similar move in Gold. The two precious metals tend to move in unison. Breakout above $16.00\/ounce signals an advance to $17.50.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-silver.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Silver in USD\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold is consolidating above short-term support at $1400 after a strong advance, indicating buying pressure. Another advance is likely, with a medium-term target of $1500\/ounce.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-gold.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold in USD\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Long-term interest rates are declining after more dovish speeches from the Fed, with 10-year Treasury yields re-testing support at 2.0%. The opportunity cost of holding gold is low. The Dollar Index is likely to weaken, testing primary support at 95. A weakening Dollar boosts demand for Gold. A big gain in Silver this week is &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold: Every cloud has a Silver lining&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,9,35],"tags":[70,1073,1578,3124],"class_list":["post-18559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fixed-income","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-dollar-index","tag-gold-2","tag-silver-2"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold: Every cloud has a Silver lining - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold: Every cloud has a Silver lining - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Long-term interest rates are declining after more dovish speeches from the Fed, with 10-year Treasury yields re-testing support at 2.0%. The opportunity cost of holding gold is low. The Dollar Index is likely to weaken, testing primary support at 95. A weakening Dollar boosts demand for Gold. A big gain in Silver this week is &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Gold: Every cloud has a Silver lining&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-07-20T00:05:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-tnx.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Gold: Every cloud has a Silver lining\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-07-20T00:05:42+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/\"},\"wordCount\":110,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-tnx.png\",\"keywords\":[\"10-Year Treasury Yields\",\"Dollar Index\",\"Gold\",\"silver\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Fixed Income\",\"Gold &amp; Precious Metals\",\"US Dollar Index\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/\",\"name\":\"Gold: Every cloud has a Silver lining - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-tnx.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-07-20T00:05:42+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-tnx.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-07-19-tnx.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/20\/gold-every-cloud-has-a-silver-lining\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Gold: Every cloud has a Silver lining\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-4Pl","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":19817,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/02\/22\/gold-soars-as-treasury-yields-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":18559,"position":0},"title":"Gold soars as Treasury yields fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 22, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year US Treasury yields broke long-term support at 1.50%, warning of another test of record 2016 lows at 1.33%. The yield curve can be expected to invert any day now, with the 10-year\/3-month differential headed for zero. The Dollar Index is testing resistance at 100. Breakout would signal a long-term\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19036,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/10\/10\/gold-low-interest-rates-and-volatile-currencies\/","url_meta":{"origin":18559,"position":1},"title":"Gold, low interest rates and volatile currencies","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 10, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold is in a primary up-trend, after ranging sideways for several years, fueled by low interest rates and volatile currency markets. The chart below highlights the inverse relationship between gold and 10-year Treasury yields. When LT interest rates fall, the gold price surges. At present, 10-year Treasury yields are close\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":22646,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/14\/gold-put-to-the-test\/","url_meta":{"origin":18559,"position":2},"title":"Gold put to the test","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 14, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury Yields retreated to 0.89%, below resistance at 0.90%. Follow-through below 0.75% would warn of another test of primary support at 0.50%. Breakout above 1.00% is now less likely but would complete a broad double-bottom, offering a target of 1.50%. The 10-year TIPS yield edged upwards to -0.83% on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":25943,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/05\/22\/gold-breaks-1850-per-ounce\/","url_meta":{"origin":18559,"position":3},"title":"Gold breaks $1850 per ounce","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 22, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields remain soft despite the recent CPI spike. The Fed is weighting purchases more to the long end of the yield curve. Breakout above 1.75% (green line) would signal a fresh advance. 10-Year TIPS yield sits at -0.78%, unaffected by the $369bn in overnight Fed reverse repurchase agreements\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18222,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/17\/gold-retreats-as-the-dollar-strengthens\/","url_meta":{"origin":18559,"position":4},"title":"Gold retreats as the Dollar strengthens","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 17, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Yuan fell sharply against the Dollar on imposition of tariffs by the US. Expect a test of primary support. The Dollar index strengthened. Follow-through above 98 would signal a fresh advance. The long-term target is 100. 10-Year Treasury yields are testing support at 2.40%. Breach would offer a target\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Chinese Yuan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Chinese Yuan","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/chinese-yuan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18272,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/25\/gold-at-a-watershed\/","url_meta":{"origin":18559,"position":5},"title":"Gold at a watershed","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 25, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Silver found short-term support at $14.50\/ounce but declining Trend Index peaks indicate selling pressure and a test of primary support at $14 is likely. Gold, by contrast, has found strong support at $1280\/ounce, refusing to give way despite concerted selling. Breach of 1280 would signal a test of primary support\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Gold &amp; Precious Metals&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Gold &amp; Precious Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/gold-precious-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18559","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18559"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18559\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18560,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18559\/revisions\/18560"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18559"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18559"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18559"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}