{"id":18282,"date":"2019-05-28T23:09:08","date_gmt":"2019-05-28T23:09:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=18282"},"modified":"2019-05-28T23:14:29","modified_gmt":"2019-05-28T23:14:29","slug":"westpacs-bill-evans-predicts-record-rate-cuts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/28\/westpacs-bill-evans-predicts-record-rate-cuts\/","title":{"rendered":"Westpac&#8217;s Bill Evans predicts record rate cuts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Westpac&#8217;s Bill Evans predicts that the RBA will cut the cash rate to as low as 0.75%.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"vimeo-player\" src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/338597378\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Cutting rates, especially from this low a base, is not a bullish sign. It will warn of RBA concern at the pace that the economy is contracting. Central banks are data-driven. They do not anticipate recessions, they react to them.<\/p>\n<p>My own thoughts:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The RBA needs to keep its powder dry. We are likely to face a severe contraction when China goes into recession because of the trade war.<\/li>\n<li>Household debt is still dangerously high and is impacting on economic growth.<\/li>\n<li>The bubble in housing prices threatens our already under-capitalized banks.<\/li>\n<li>Tax cuts will provide some stimulus but it&#8217;s time for Scott Morrison to step up to the plate and spend big on infrastructure.<\/li>\n<li>Infrastructure spending must be directed towards productive assets, else you end up with fiscal debt and no assets\/income to service it.<\/li>\n<li>Australia needs to abandon its <em>houses and holes<\/em> strategy and build a multi-faceted economy with a strong emphasis on technology and services.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Westpac&#8217;s Bill Evans predicts that the RBA will cut the cash rate to as low as 0.75%. Cutting rates, especially from this low a base, is not a bullish sign. It will warn of RBA concern at the pace that the economy is contracting. Central banks are data-driven. They do not anticipate recessions, they react &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/28\/westpacs-bill-evans-predicts-record-rate-cuts\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Westpac&#8217;s Bill Evans predicts record rate cuts&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,31,10,13],"tags":[290,4051,2853,2860],"class_list":["post-18282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-housing-economy","category-inflation-economy","tag-australia","tag-bill-evans","tag-rate-cuts","tag-rba","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Westpac&#039;s Bill Evans predicts record rate cuts - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Westpac&#039;s Bill Evans predicts record rate cuts - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Westpac&#8217;s Bill Evans predicts that the RBA will cut the cash rate to as low as 0.75%. Cutting rates, especially from this low a base, is not a bullish sign. It will warn of RBA concern at the pace that the economy is contracting. Central banks are data-driven. 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The strong rise prompted Westpac's Bill Evans to raise his forecast for the RBA cash rate to three more rate hikes of 25 basis points, peaking at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australia: Wages Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-26-aus-wages.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":13052,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/21\/apra-gives-the-rba-some-wiggle-room-business-spectator\/","url_meta":{"origin":18282,"position":1},"title":"APRA gives the RBA some wiggle room | Business Spectator","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 21, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Robert Gottliebsen predicts further rate cuts from the RBA: Given that Australian interest rates are higher than other countries of similar standing, money is now flowing Down Under which works to boost the currency and some are forecasting that the exchange rate could rise as high as US80c. Thanks to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1696,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/01\/westpac-rba-cuts-the-overnight-cash-rate-by-25bps\/","url_meta":{"origin":18282,"position":2},"title":"Westpac: RBA cuts the overnight cash rate by 25bps","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 1, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"RBA cuts the overnight cash rate by 25bps \u2013 first rate cut since April 2009 As we predicted the Reserve Bank Board decided to lower the cash rate by 25bps to 4.5%..... Undoubtedly the most important development in the Governor's statement is his observation that \"inflation is likely to be\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3461,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/02\/09\/westpac-rba-statement-on-monetary-policy\/","url_meta":{"origin":18282,"position":3},"title":"Westpac: RBA Statement on Monetary Policy","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 9, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"It appears that the objective of this Statement is to emphasise that without a significant deterioration in global financial conditions policy should remain unchanged. When you assess the various pieces of the Bank's description of the domestic economy \u2013 weak employment; rising unemployment rate; subdued retail spending; soft housing market;\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":28639,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/11\/02\/australia-inflation-coming\/","url_meta":{"origin":18282,"position":4},"title":"Australia: Inflation coming","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 2, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The latest Roy Morgan consumer survey shows Australians expect inflation of 4.8% annually over the next two years, up 0.3% points, and the highest in seven years. Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine: \"Inflation Expectations have increased rapidly over the last year and are now up 1.6% points since August 2020\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38388,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/10\/29\/australia-inflation-the-rba-cash-rate\/","url_meta":{"origin":18282,"position":5},"title":"Australia: Inflation &#038; the RBA cash rate","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 29, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The consumer price index grew at 7.3% for the 12 months to September, highlighting that Australia is not immune from the high inflation that has beset global economies. Bill Evans (Westpac) calls for a 50 basis point hike at the RBA's November 1st meeting: \"During this period of rising inflation\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18282","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18282"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18282\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18286,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18282\/revisions\/18286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18282"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18282"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18282"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}