{"id":18272,"date":"2019-05-25T03:56:12","date_gmt":"2019-05-25T03:56:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=18272"},"modified":"2019-05-25T03:56:12","modified_gmt":"2019-05-25T03:56:12","slug":"gold-at-a-watershed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/25\/gold-at-a-watershed\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold at a watershed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Silver found short-term support at $14.50\/ounce but declining Trend Index peaks indicate selling pressure and a test of primary support at $14 is likely.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-05-24-silver.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Silver in USD\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold, by contrast, has found strong support at $1280\/ounce, refusing to give way despite concerted selling. Breach of 1280 would signal a test of primary support at 1180 but recovery above 1300 becomes increasingly likely the longer that support holds.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-05-24-gold.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold in USD\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A rising Dollar would weaken demand for Gold but the Dollar Index has met strong resistance between 97 and 98. Follow-through above 98 would signal a fresh advance but a fall below 97 would be bullish for Gold.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-05-24-dxy.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>10-Year Treasury yields have also broken support at 2.4% offering a short-term target of 2.2%. Falling Treasury yields have a depressing effect on the Dollar and boost demand for Gold (by lowering the opportunity cost).<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2019-05-24-tnx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yield\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold is therefore at a watershed. Breach of strong support for Gold at $1280 would be a strong bear signal but respect would be a bullish sign, suggesting another advance. Probability is still favor of the bearish scenario but the bull case is strengthening.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Silver found short-term support at $14.50\/ounce but declining Trend Index peaks indicate selling pressure and a test of primary support at $14 is likely. Gold, by contrast, has found strong support at $1280\/ounce, refusing to give way despite concerted selling. Breach of 1280 would signal a test of primary support at 1180 but recovery above &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/25\/gold-at-a-watershed\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold at a watershed&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,35],"tags":[70,1073,3204,3206],"class_list":["post-18272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-dollar-index","tag-spot-gold","tag-spot-silver"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold at a watershed - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold at a watershed - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Silver found short-term support at $14.50\/ounce but declining Trend Index peaks indicate selling pressure and a test of primary support at $14 is likely. Gold, by contrast, has found strong support at $1280\/ounce, refusing to give way despite concerted selling. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-4KI","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":18222,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/17\/gold-retreats-as-the-dollar-strengthens\/","url_meta":{"origin":18272,"position":0},"title":"Gold retreats as the Dollar strengthens","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 17, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Yuan fell sharply against the Dollar on imposition of tariffs by the US. Expect a test of primary support. The Dollar index strengthened. Follow-through above 98 would signal a fresh advance. The long-term target is 100. 10-Year Treasury yields are testing support at 2.40%. Breach would offer a target\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Chinese Yuan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Chinese Yuan","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/chinese-yuan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9682,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/04\/14\/gold-and-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":18272,"position":1},"title":"Gold and inflation","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 14, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Inflation expectations are falling, as suggested by a weaker gold price and treasury yields. The Dollar, however, is also weakening in response to low interest rates and should provide some support for precious metal prices. Interest Rates and the Dollar The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes is falling, reflecting a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-04-14-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-04-14-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-04-14-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":18144,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/03\/gold-and-silver-break-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":18272,"position":2},"title":"Gold and Silver break support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 3, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar index retracement respected support at 97.50, confirming the advance. Follow-through above 98.00 would further strengthen the signal. Target for the advance is 100. 10-Year Treasury yields penetrated the descending trendline, signaling that a base is forming around 2.50%. Rising troughs on the Trend Index also indicate support. Higher\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9762,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/02\/gold-faces-conflicting-forces\/","url_meta":{"origin":18272,"position":3},"title":"Gold faces conflicting forces","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 2, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Treasury yields are falling The Dollar is weakening Inflation expectations are falling Gold and silver are testing support Interest Rates and the Dollar The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes closed below support at 2.60 percent, warning of another decline. Follow-through below 2.50 percent would signal a primary down-trend, with an\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-03-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-03-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-03-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22646,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/14\/gold-put-to-the-test\/","url_meta":{"origin":18272,"position":4},"title":"Gold put to the test","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 14, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury Yields retreated to 0.89%, below resistance at 0.90%. Follow-through below 0.75% would warn of another test of primary support at 0.50%. Breakout above 1.00% is now less likely but would complete a broad double-bottom, offering a target of 1.50%. The 10-year TIPS yield edged upwards to -0.83% on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26634,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/07\/03\/gold-and-the-dollar-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":18272,"position":5},"title":"Gold and the Dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 3, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The June labor report seems to please the bond market, with 10-year Treasury yields falling sharply. The Dollar Index continues to test resistance at 93 but low Treasury yields and high inflation are expected to increase selling pressure. Gold found support at $1750 per ounce. Breakout above $1800 is likely\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18272"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18272\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18273,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18272\/revisions\/18273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}