{"id":17955,"date":"2019-03-08T23:20:22","date_gmt":"2019-03-08T23:20:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=17955"},"modified":"2019-03-08T23:22:50","modified_gmt":"2019-03-08T23:22:50","slug":"asx-200-gravestone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/03\/08\/asx-200-gravestone\/","title":{"rendered":"ASX 200 gravestone"},"content":{"rendered":"

Australian housing prices are falling.<\/p>\n

\"Australia:<\/p>\n

Fueled by declining credit growth.<\/p>\n

\"Australia:<\/p>\n

With falling contribution to GDP growth from dwelling investment, and mining investment shrinking….<\/p>\n

\"Australia:<\/p>\n

GDP growth is expected to weaken further.<\/p>\n

\"Australia:<\/p>\n

The gravestone candlestick<\/a> on the ASX 200 weekly chart warns of selling pressure. The primary trend is down and the index unlikely to break through resistance at 6300. Expect a correction to test support at 5650; breach would warn of another decline.<\/p>\n

\"ASX<\/p>\n

I remain cautious on Australian stocks and hold more than 40% in cash and fixed interest in the Australian Growth<\/a> portfolio.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Australian housing prices are falling. Fueled by declining credit growth. With falling contribution to GDP growth from dwelling investment, and mining investment shrinking…. GDP growth is expected to weaken further. The gravestone candlestick on the ASX 200 weekly chart warns of selling pressure. The primary trend is down and the index unlikely to break through … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “ASX 200 gravestone”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,3761,10,57],"tags":[251,867,1524,1732,1882],"class_list":["post-17955","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-gdp-and-activity","category-housing-economy","category-stock-markets","tag-asx-200","tag-credit","tag-gdp","tag-housing","tag-investment"],"yoast_head":"\nASX 200 gravestone - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASX 200 gravestone - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Australian housing prices are falling. Fueled by declining credit growth. With falling contribution to GDP growth from dwelling investment, and mining investment shrinking…. GDP growth is expected to weaken further. The gravestone candlestick on the ASX 200 weekly chart warns of selling pressure. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-4FB","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":19282,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/10\/19\/asx-and-3-headwinds\/","url_meta":{"origin":17955,"position":0},"title":"ASX and 3 headwinds","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 19, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Despite recent strong performance, investor enthusiasm may be cooling, with the Australian economy facing three headwinds. Declining Household Spending Household income growth is faltering and weighing down consumption. Household spending would have fallen even further, dragging the economy into recession, if households were not digging into savings to maintain their\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":22504,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/07\/asx-and-the-long-run\/","url_meta":{"origin":17955,"position":1},"title":"ASX and the long run","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 7, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 200 is testing resistance at 6200 but declining Money Flow continues to warn of selling pressure. There is a lot of \"noise\" in the market at present -- due to COVID-19 easing, government stimulus, RBA rate cuts and political turmoil in the USA -- so we are wary\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17755,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/01\/19\/asx-200-rallies-but-lt-bearish\/","url_meta":{"origin":17955,"position":2},"title":"ASX 200 rallies but LT bearish","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 19, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The Australian economy is creaking. This is not a time for the Treasurer to concern himself with a balanced budget, laudable as that long-term (LT) goal may be. Household consumption is slowing, with falling car sales and international travel. Housing investment is about to go over a cliff. This time\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":59679,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/12\/05\/australia-rba-unlikely-to-play-santa\/","url_meta":{"origin":17955,"position":3},"title":"Australia: RBA unlikely to play Santa","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 5, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Despite the chorus of pleas from interest groups, the RBA is unlikely to deliver an early rate cut. Strong government spending prevents the slide into recession and increases upward pressure on prices. The ASX 200 also remains in a strong uptrend. ASX Stocks Australia's ASX 200 is testing resistance at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ASX 200 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-05-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-05-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-05-xjo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63335,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/03\/asx-selling-pressure-while-consumers-struggle\/","url_meta":{"origin":17955,"position":4},"title":"ASX selling pressure","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 3, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Real GDP growth slowed to 0.4% in the third quarter, but this masks negative growth for the consumer. The S&P Global composite PMI shows business is holding up well. However, the ASX 200 is signaling selling pressure. Real GDP growth slowed to 0.4% in the fourth quarter, while\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-02-aus-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-02-aus-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-02-aus-gdp.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-02-aus-gdp.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61935,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/10\/australia-cautiously-pessimistic\/","url_meta":{"origin":17955,"position":5},"title":"Australia: “cautiously pessimistic”","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 10, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The ASX 200 threatens a new high But consumer sentiment is low Business conditions are weak Commodity exports are slowing, and so is economic growth ASX 200 earnings are likely to follow The ASX 200 is testing resistance at 8600. Breakout would signal a fresh advance, but the earnings\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ASX 200 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-10-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-10-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-10-xjo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17955","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17955"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17955\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17958,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17955\/revisions\/17958"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17955"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17955"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17955"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}