China\u2019s leading indicators head south – macrobusiness.com.au | macrobusiness.com.au<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Take a look at the [Chinese] Leading Index\u2019s sharp deterioration recently \u2013 there has been a clear and material deterioration in the leading index over the past couple of months. This suggests to us a substantial further fall in Chinese GDP. The last release of a week or so ago showed Chinese GDP growing at … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “China\u2019s leading indicators head south – macrobusiness.com.au”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,41],"tags":[1527,1647,2076,2347],"class_list":["post-1728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-china-hk","tag-gdp-growth","tag-hard-landing","tag-leading-index","tag-monetary-tightening"],"yoast_head":"\nChina\u2019s leading indicators head south - macrobusiness.com.au - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China\u2019s leading indicators head south - macrobusiness.com.au - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Take a look at the [Chinese] Leading Index\u2019s sharp deterioration recently \u2013 there has been a clear and material deterioration in the leading index over the past couple of months. 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The headline PMI declined to 49, below consensus of 49.8. Looking into the components probably provides an even gloomier picture. New exports order declined further to 45.6 from 48.6, indicating continued deterioration\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":60888,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/11\/asx-bull-bear-market-indicator\/","url_meta":{"origin":1728,"position":1},"title":"ASX Bull-Bear market indicator","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 11, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"This is a quick introduction to our new bull-bear market indicator for the ASX stock market. It shows a reading of 64%, reflecting a mild bull market. The following six equal-weighted indicators comprise 60% of our composite leading indicator for the ASX. The other 40% is derived from the related\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ASX Bull-Bear Indicator","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-10-asx-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-10-asx-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-10-asx-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1026,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/28\/sp-warns-on-chinese-property-macrobusiness-com-au\/","url_meta":{"origin":1728,"position":2},"title":"S&P warns on Chinese property – macrobusiness.com.au","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 28, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Chinese developers face an \u201cincreasingly severe\u201d credit outlook, which may force them to cut prices and turn to costlier funding sources as sales weaken, Standard & Poor\u2019s said. A 30 percent decline in sales may leave many developers facing a liquidity squeeze, S&P said after conducting stress tests of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1626,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/27\/china-spoils-the-party-macrobusiness-com-au-macrobusiness-com-au\/","url_meta":{"origin":1728,"position":3},"title":"China spoils the party – macrobusiness.com.au","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 27, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"From the FT: Chinese metals companies, lynchpins in the global economy, are warning that Beijing\u2019s monetary tightening has gone too far, causing domestic customers to delay orders and raising the risk of payment default. In one of the clearest signs yet of deteriorating sentiment, Baosteel, China\u2019s second-largest steel producer, has\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6690,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/11\/oecd-leading-indicators-point-to-divergence-wsj-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":1728,"position":4},"title":"OECD Leading Indicators Point to Divergence | WSJ.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 11, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"PAUL HANNON at WSJ writes: The world's largest economies are set to diverge in coming months with few signs that a broad-based recovery in growth is imminent, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's composite leading indicators.The leading indicators for December, released Monday, point to a pickup in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":63571,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/07\/asx-market-snapshot-11\/","url_meta":{"origin":1728,"position":5},"title":"ASX Market Snapshot","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 7, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The gauge on the left indicates whether the market is in a bull or bear phase, while the one on the right reflects the current valuation of the stock market. 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