{"id":1698,"date":"2011-11-01T02:21:04","date_gmt":"2011-11-01T06:21:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=1698"},"modified":"2011-11-01T02:21:04","modified_gmt":"2011-11-01T06:21:04","slug":"say-what-in-30-year-race-bonds-beat-stocks-bloomberg","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/01\/say-what-in-30-year-race-bonds-beat-stocks-bloomberg\/","title":{"rendered":"Say What? In 30-Year Race, Bonds Beat Stocks &#8211; Bloomberg"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Long-term government bonds have gained 11.5 percent a year on average over the past three decades, beating the 10.8 percent increase in the S&amp;P 500, said Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research in Chicago.<\/p>\n<p>The combination of a core U.S. inflation rate that has averaged 1.5 percent this year, the Federal Reserve\u2019s decision to keep its target interest rate for overnight loans between banks near zero through 2013, slower economic growth and the highest savings rate since the global credit crisis have made bonds the best assets to own this year.<\/p>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2011-10-31\/bonds-beating-u-s-stocks-over-30-years-for-first-time-since-19th-century.html\">Say What? In 30-Year Race, Bonds Beat Stocks &#8211; Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Does this mean we should all rush out and buy 10-year Treasury Notes yielding less than 2.20 percent? I think not. The potential for further capital gains from lower yields is far outweighed by the risk of capital losses from future rate rises. And there are plenty of low-to-medium risk alternatives that will perform better than 2.20 percent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Long-term government bonds have gained 11.5 percent a year on average over the past three decades, beating the 10.8 percent increase in the S&amp;P 500, said Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research in Chicago. The combination of a core U.S. inflation rate that has averaged 1.5 percent this year, the Federal Reserve\u2019s decision to keep &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/01\/say-what-in-30-year-race-bonds-beat-stocks-bloomberg\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Say What? In 30-Year Race, Bonds Beat Stocks &#8211; Bloomberg&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[474,1828,3010,3473,3475,3480],"class_list":["post-1698","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fixed-income","tag-bond-yields","tag-inflation","tag-sp-500","tag-treasuries","tag-treasury-bonds","tag-treasury-notes"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Say What? In 30-Year Race, Bonds Beat Stocks - Bloomberg - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Say What? In 30-Year Race, Bonds Beat Stocks - Bloomberg - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Long-term government bonds have gained 11.5 percent a year on average over the past three decades, beating the 10.8 percent increase in the S&amp;P 500, said Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research in Chicago. The combination of a core U.S. inflation rate that has averaged 1.5 percent this year, the Federal Reserve\u2019s decision to keep &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Say What? In 30-Year Race, Bonds Beat Stocks &#8211; Bloomberg&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/01\/say-what-in-30-year-race-bonds-beat-stocks-bloomberg\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-11-01T06:21:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/01\/say-what-in-30-year-race-bonds-beat-stocks-bloomberg\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/01\/say-what-in-30-year-race-bonds-beat-stocks-bloomberg\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Say What? 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Breach of support at 1.45 percent would confirm, offering a target of 1.20 percent*. Latest stats from the Fed show holdings of Treasury notes and bonds fell over the last week, so the fall is not due to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4858,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/16\/treasury-yields-continue-to-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":1698,"position":1},"title":"Treasury yields continue to fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 16, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields are testing support at 1.45 percent. Breach would offer a target of 1.20 percent*. Declining yields suggest that money is flowing out of stocks and into bonds. Recovery above 1.70 percent is unlikely but would suggest another stock market rally. * Target calculation: 1.45 - ( 1.70\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":60031,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/12\/20\/treasury-grinch-spoils-christmas-rally\/","url_meta":{"origin":1698,"position":2},"title":"Treasury Grinch spoils Christmas rally","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 20, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Ten-year Treasury yields broke resistance at 4.5%, signaling an advance to 5.0% on the weekly chart below. From Jim Grant: As Bianco Research eponym Jim Bianco relays, that\u2019s by far the largest upside lurch to begin the eight easing cycles seen over the past four decades, with 10-year yields remaining\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-20-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-20-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-20-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3808,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/03\/14\/treasury-yields-surge\/","url_meta":{"origin":1698,"position":3},"title":"Treasury yields surge","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 14, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The yield on 10-year US Treasury Notes has surged to test resistance at 2.40 percent. Breakout would indicate a rally to the long-term trendline at 3.00 percent on the Monthly chart. Rising treasury yields signal that investors are migrating out of bonds and into stocks, especially when the Fed is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":59339,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/19\/the-last-guardrail\/","url_meta":{"origin":1698,"position":4},"title":"The last guardrail","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 19, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/qqEPiDE-Qqc?si=_dCfdgYoc2YaXLnf In the above ABC interview, Professor Nouriel Roubini said it would be interesting to watch Trump deal with financial markets: He said if Trump was \"really serious\" about 60 per cent tariffs on China, and 10 to 20 per cent tariffs on other trading partners, about sharply weakening the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"iShares 20+Year Treasury Bond ETF","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-18-tlt.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-18-tlt.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-18-tlt.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5304,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/20\/sp-500-and-nasdaq-test-key-resistance\/","url_meta":{"origin":1698,"position":5},"title":"S&#038;P 500 and Nasdaq test key resistance","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 20, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"On the monthly chart, the S&P 500 Index is testing resistance at 1420. A trough above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Breakout above 1420 would signal an advance to the 2007 high at 1560*. * Target calculation: 1420 + ( 1420 - 1280 ) = 1560\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1698","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1698"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1698\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1698"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1698"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1698"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}