{"id":16844,"date":"2018-08-18T01:07:24","date_gmt":"2018-08-18T01:07:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=16844"},"modified":"2018-08-18T01:07:24","modified_gmt":"2018-08-18T01:07:24","slug":"china-threatened-by-loss-of-us-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/08\/18\/china-threatened-by-loss-of-us-trade\/","title":{"rendered":"China threatened by loss of US trade"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The threat of a US-China trade war has rattled investors, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking primary support at 2700 to signal another decline. Trend Index peaks below zero warn of strong selling pressure. Long-term target is the 2012 to 2014 lows at 2000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-08-17-ssec.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng Index is also under the pump, breaking support at 28,000 to warn of another decline.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-08-17-hsi.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Hang Seng Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Copper prices, a good barometer of the Chinese economy, are also falling. Breach of $6,000 offers a target of $5,500\/tonne.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-08-17-copper.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Copper S1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Yuan has fallen almost 10 percent, testing support at 14.5 US cents. Failure of the PBOC to support the Yuan (by selling some of their $3 trillion of foreign reserves) may cushion the economic impact in the short-term but only invites further escalation from the Trump administration.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-08-17-cnyusd.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Chinese Yuan\/USD\" \/><\/p>\n<p>There is no easy way out. Trump clearly has the upper hand in trade negotiations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The threat of a US-China trade war has rattled investors, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking primary support at 2700 to signal another decline. Trend Index peaks below zero warn of strong selling pressure. Long-term target is the 2012 to 2014 lows at 2000. Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng Index is also under the pump, breaking &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/08\/18\/china-threatened-by-loss-of-us-trade\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China threatened by loss of US trade&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,42,43,57],"tags":[815,1644,3100,3457,3458,3731],"class_list":["post-16844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-chinese-yuan","category-commodities-gold-commodities","category-stock-markets","tag-copper","tag-hang-seng-index","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-trade-tariffs","tag-trade-war","tag-yuan"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China threatened by loss of US trade - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China threatened by loss of US trade - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The threat of a US-China trade war has rattled investors, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking primary support at 2700 to signal another decline. Trend Index peaks below zero warn of strong selling pressure. Long-term target is the 2012 to 2014 lows at 2000. 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Breach would warn of a decline to the 2014 low at 2000. Commodity prices are plunging in anticipation of falling demand from China. Chinese monthly iron ore imports\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14659,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/09\/china-hits-turbulence\/","url_meta":{"origin":16844,"position":1},"title":"China hits turbulence","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 9, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Shanghai Composite Index is retracing from its recent high at 3300. A test of support at 3100 is likely. Rising Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure but this may be distorted by state intervention in the stock market earlier this year. * Target medium-term: 3100 + ( 3100 -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6286,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/27\/china-shanghai-breaks-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":16844,"position":2},"title":"China: Shanghai breaks support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 27, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite Index followed the DJ Shanghai Index, breaking primary support at 2000 to warn of a down-swing to 1850*. Completion of another\u00a063-day Twiggs Momentum peak, this time deep below zero, would indicate a strong primary down-trend. Recovery above 2000 is unlikely but would suggest a bear trap. *\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15274,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/12\/shanghai-breaches-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":16844,"position":3},"title":"Shanghai breaches support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 12, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Copper is testing long-term support at 5400, suggesting weak demand from China. Breach would signal a primary down-trend. The Yuan has enjoyed a respite, consolidating in a narrow line for several weeks. But this is likely to prove temporary, with further advances of the Dollar against the Yuan eroding PBOC\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14681,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/14\/asia-japan-surges-while-china-ebbs\/","url_meta":{"origin":16844,"position":4},"title":"Asia: Japan surges while China ebbs","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 14, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Japan is surging ahead, with the Nikkei 225 index headed for a test of 20000* after its breakout above 17500 four weeks ago. * Target medium-term: 17500 + ( 17500 - 15000 ) = 20000 India's Sensex found support at 26000, but narrow consolidation and declining Twiggs Money Flow both\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14349,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/14\/china-hang-seng-retreats-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":16844,"position":5},"title":"China: Hang Seng retreats","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 14, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Steep decline on Twiggs Money Flow warns of strong selling pressure on Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index. Breach of support at 23000 would warn of a correction to test the long-term rising trendline. The Shanghai Composite Index continues to consolidate between 2800 and 3100.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16844","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16844"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16844\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16845,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16844\/revisions\/16845"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}