{"id":16656,"date":"2018-07-14T02:29:45","date_gmt":"2018-07-14T02:29:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=16656"},"modified":"2018-07-14T02:31:01","modified_gmt":"2018-07-14T02:31:01","slug":"trade-tariff-impact-on-china-australia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/07\/14\/trade-tariff-impact-on-china-australia\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade tariff impact on China &#038; Australia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The yuan is falling as threat of a tariff war rises.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-cny.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Yuan\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Shanghai Composite Index is testing its 2016 low at 2700. Breach would warn of a decline to the 2014 low at 2000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-ssec.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Commodity prices are plunging in anticipation of falling demand from China.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-dubs.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"DJ-UBS Commodity Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Chinese monthly iron ore <a href=\"https:\/\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/2018\/07\/chinese-trade-suggests-slowing-economy\/\">imports<\/a> are down at 83.24 mt, compared to earlier peaks of 100 mt earlier in 2017. Iron ore spot price is testing primary support $63\/tonne. A Trend Index peak below zero warns of selling pressure. Breach of support is likely and would warn of a decline to $58\/tonne.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-tr.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Iron Ore\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A falling Aussie Dollar may cushion local resources stocks from some of the impact.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-audusd.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Australian Dollar\" \/><\/p>\n<p>But ASX 300 Metals &amp; Mining index continues to test medium-term support at 3800. Breach of support is likely and would warn of a correction to test the rising trendline.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-xmm.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 300 Metals &amp; Mining\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Resources stocks remain in a primary up-trend but I am bearish on the medium-term outlook.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The yuan is falling as threat of a tariff war rises. The Shanghai Composite Index is testing its 2016 low at 2700. Breach would warn of a decline to the 2014 low at 2000. Commodity prices are plunging in anticipation of falling demand from China. Chinese monthly iron ore imports are down at 83.24 mt, &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/07\/14\/trade-tariff-impact-on-china-australia\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Trade tariff impact on China &#038; Australia&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[39,40,41,42,43],"tags":[262,292,678,1902,3100],"class_list":["post-16656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aussie-dollar","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-china-hk","category-chinese-yuan","category-commodities-gold-commodities","tag-asx-300-metals-mining","tag-australian-dollar","tag-chinese-yuan","tag-iron-ore","tag-shanghai-composite-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trade tariff impact on China &amp; Australia - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trade tariff impact on China &amp; Australia - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The yuan is falling as threat of a tariff war rises. The Shanghai Composite Index is testing its 2016 low at 2700. Breach would warn of a decline to the 2014 low at 2000. Commodity prices are plunging in anticipation of falling demand from China. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-4kE","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":16844,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/08\/18\/china-threatened-by-loss-of-us-trade\/","url_meta":{"origin":16656,"position":0},"title":"China threatened by loss of US trade","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 18, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The threat of a US-China trade war has rattled investors, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking primary support at 2700 to signal another decline. Trend Index peaks below zero warn of strong selling pressure. Long-term target is the 2012 to 2014 lows at 2000. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":46200,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/12\/07\/crude-and-base-metals-plunge-on-china-woes\/","url_meta":{"origin":16656,"position":1},"title":"Crude and base metals plunge on China woes","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 7, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite Index continues to lose altitude, headed for a test of primary support at 2900. A Trend Index peak close to zero warns of selling pressure. Breach of support would offer a target of 2400 but the state could intervene to support stock prices. Ratings agency Moody's on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Shanghai Composite Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-12-07-ssec.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-12-07-ssec.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-12-07-ssec.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":43530,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/08\/19\/asx-falls-as-china-slows\/","url_meta":{"origin":16656,"position":2},"title":"ASX falls as China slows","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 19, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 200 fell sharply this week and is headed for a test of primary support at 7000; breach would warn that the bear market is back. Rising selling pressure is caused by a bearish outlook for China. China Bearish sentiment on China is growing, with the Yuan testing primary\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ASX 200","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-18-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-18-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-08-18-xjo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23240,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/12\/15\/china-trade-tensions-and-the-australian-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":16656,"position":3},"title":"China trade tensions and the Australian Dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 15, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Tensions between Australia and China are growing increasingly strained. It started with Australia banning Huawei from supplying equipment for its 5G communication network but spiraled downwards after Australia led the call for an international investigation into the COVID-19 outbreak. More than 50 ships carrying Australian coal have been stranded off\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15274,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/12\/shanghai-breaches-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":16656,"position":4},"title":"Shanghai breaches support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 12, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Copper is testing long-term support at 5400, suggesting weak demand from China. Breach would signal a primary down-trend. The Yuan has enjoyed a respite, consolidating in a narrow line for several weeks. But this is likely to prove temporary, with further advances of the Dollar against the Yuan eroding PBOC\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20440,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/05\/02\/asx-falters\/","url_meta":{"origin":16656,"position":5},"title":"ASX falters","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 2, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The Baltic Dry Index is re-testing support at 600, below the 663 low from December 2008.\u00a0 A Trend Index peak below zero warns of selling pressure. Breach of 600 would warn of another test of the February record low at 400. Dry-bulk shipping rates reflect global (largely Chinese) demand for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16656","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16656"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16656\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16659,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16656\/revisions\/16659"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16656"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16656"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16656"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}