{"id":16654,"date":"2018-07-14T01:41:04","date_gmt":"2018-07-14T01:41:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=16654"},"modified":"2018-07-14T01:41:04","modified_gmt":"2018-07-14T01:41:04","slug":"gold-tests-support","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/07\/14\/gold-tests-support\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold tests support"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China continues to support the Yuan and we can expect consolidation around 15 US cents. Threat of trade tariffs is weakening the Yuan, forcing the PBOC to sell off foreign reserves to prevent a downward spiral as investors flee and borrowers hedge against the stronger Dollar.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-cny.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar\/Yuan\" \/><\/p>\n<p>PBOC sale of foreign reserves, mainly held in US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, would drive up yields and weaken the Dollar. The Dollar Index continues to test resistance at 95. Respect is likely and would warn of another correction. While unlikely, breakout above 95 would signal that the PBOC is sitting on its hands while the Dollar advances to an initial target of 100.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-dxy.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold is testing primary support at $1240\/ounce. A stronger Dollar would breach support, warning of a decline to $1150. Respect of primary support is more likely and would signal another rally.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-gold.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The price of gold in Australian Dollars has been edging up over the past few years as the Aussie Dollar weakens. But the monthly chart below shows that Gold (USD) has fallen faster than the Aussie Dollar over the last 3 months. Large bearish divergence on the Trend Index indicates selling pressure. Breach of support at $1650 (AUD) and the rising trendline would warn of a reversal.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-goldd.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Gold in Aussie Dollars\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The All Ordinaries Gold Index is a bit stronger, having broken through resistance at 5000. A correction that respects the rising trendline and new support level at 5000 would confirm the primary advance, with a target of 6000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-07-13-xgdm.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"All Ordinaries Gold Index\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China continues to support the Yuan and we can expect consolidation around 15 US cents. Threat of trade tariffs is weakening the Yuan, forcing the PBOC to sell off foreign reserves to prevent a downward spiral as investors flee and borrowers hedge against the stronger Dollar. PBOC sale of foreign reserves, mainly held in US &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/07\/14\/gold-tests-support\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold tests support&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,42,9,35],"tags":[166,678,1073,3835,3204],"class_list":["post-16654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-chinese-yuan","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-dollar-index","tag-all-ordinaries-gold-index","tag-chinese-yuan","tag-dollar-index","tag-gold-in-aud","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold tests support - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold tests support - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China continues to support the Yuan and we can expect consolidation around 15 US cents. Threat of trade tariffs is weakening the Yuan, forcing the PBOC to sell off foreign reserves to prevent a downward spiral as investors flee and borrowers hedge against the stronger Dollar. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-4kC","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":16888,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/08\/24\/support-for-the-yuan-lifts-gold\/","url_meta":{"origin":16654,"position":0},"title":"Support for the Yuan lifts Gold","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 24, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"China's PBOC stepped in with belated support for the Yuan, holding the line at 14.5 US cents. The Dollar retreated, with the Dollar Index testing support at 95. Respect of support would confirm another advance, with a long-term target of 103 \u2014 if central banks like the Fed and PBOC\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16524,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/07\/06\/gold-dollar-and-the-yuan\/","url_meta":{"origin":16654,"position":1},"title":"Gold, Dollar and the Yuan","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 6, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Yuan fell sharply over the last 3 weeks, with the threat of US trade tariffs. Risk of capital flight will force the PBOC to sell foreign reserves to support the Yuan. It took $1 trillion to stem the last fall, so expect a sizable sell-off in Chinese holdings of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12858,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/02\/18\/gold-pboc-makes-its-move\/","url_meta":{"origin":16654,"position":2},"title":"Gold: PBOC makes its move","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 18, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"China's PBOC made its move against the hedge funds on Monday, while many hedge fund managers were enjoying a long weekend in the Hamptons. With more than $3 Trillion of foreign reserves, this is a fight that the PBOC is likely to win, provided it stands firm. Hedge funds betting\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"USDCNY","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-02-18-usdcny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-02-18-usdcny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-02-18-usdcny.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14859,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/02\/24\/gold-breaks-through-1250\/","url_meta":{"origin":16654,"position":3},"title":"Gold breaks through $1250","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 24, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury Yields are testing support at 2.30%. Expect this to hold. Breach of the rising trendline would warn of a correction but this seems unlikely with the Fed intent on normalizing interest rates. Breakout above 2.50% would offer a target of 3.0%. The Dollar Index rally remains muted since\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":50386,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/25\/china-steps-in-to-support-yuan\/","url_meta":{"origin":16654,"position":4},"title":"China steps in to support Yuan","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 25, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"China\u2019s Yuan pared losses seen Friday after the central bank signaled its support for the managed currency via a stronger-than-expected daily reference rate. (Bloomberg) The PBOC set the Yuan\u2019s fixing at 7.0996 per dollar on Monday, from 7.104 on Friday. The much lower fixing than the expected 7.222 causing the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Chinese Yuan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Chinese Yuan","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/chinese-yuan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Chinese Yuan","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-25-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-25-cny.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-25-cny.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":17806,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/01\/29\/gold-and-the-dollar-direction\/","url_meta":{"origin":16654,"position":5},"title":"Gold and the Dollar direction","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 29, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Crude Oil (WTI Light Crude) respected support at $45\/barrel, with turmoil in Venezuela raising concerns over supply. Breakout above $55 would signal another rally but declining peaks on the Trend Index warn of selling pressure. Expect another test of $45. Breach of support would signal a decline to test the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Chinese Yuan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Chinese Yuan","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/chinese-yuan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16654","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16654"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16654\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16655,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16654\/revisions\/16655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}