{"id":16369,"date":"2018-06-23T05:19:17","date_gmt":"2018-06-23T05:19:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=16369"},"modified":"2018-06-23T05:19:17","modified_gmt":"2018-06-23T05:19:17","slug":"asx-200-bold-play-for-aussie-banks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/06\/23\/asx-200-bold-play-for-aussie-banks\/","title":{"rendered":"ASX 200: Bold play for Aussie Banks"},"content":{"rendered":"

The ASX 300 Banks Index jumped sharply this week as investors made a bold move into the big four banks. Banks have been under the pump for months, with plenty of negative publicity from the Royal Commission accompanied by media coverage of falling house prices. The Aussie Dollar<\/a> also rallied, suggesting the buyers were offshore.<\/p>\n

Have they got it right? Only time will tell. Trying to catch a falling knife is a hazardous endeavor. What looks cheap at the time often ends up being very expensive with the benefit of hindsight. <\/p>\n

Bulls would say that the banks are a dominant oligopoly, generating strong cash-flows and un-threatened by international competition. Bears would say they are under-capitalized, poorly managed and sitting atop the mother of all housing bubbles. Technical analysts would say that the Banks index remains in a primary down-trend and this is most likely nothing more than a secondary bear market rally.<\/p>\n

\"ASX<\/p>\n

But there are broader implications. The bank rally lifted the ASX 200 through resistance at 6150, signaling another primary advance. A Trend Index trough at the zero line flags buying pressure. Target for the advance is the October 2007 high at 6750.<\/p>\n

\"ASX<\/p>\n

This looks like a bold play by a long-term value investor, taking advantage of the weak Aussie Dollar and strong bearish sentiment towards banks. Where one leads, others are likely to follow.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The ASX 300 Banks Index jumped sharply this week as investors made a bold move into the big four banks. Banks have been under the pump for months, with plenty of negative publicity from the Royal Commission accompanied by media coverage of falling house prices. The Aussie Dollar also rallied, suggesting the buyers were offshore. … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “ASX 200: Bold play for Aussie Banks”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[39,40,57],"tags":[251,261],"class_list":["post-16369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aussie-dollar","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-stock-markets","tag-asx-200","tag-asx-300-banks-index"],"yoast_head":"\nASX 200: Bold play for Aussie Banks - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASX 200: Bold play for Aussie Banks - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The ASX 300 Banks Index jumped sharply this week as investors made a bold move into the big four banks. Banks have been under the pump for months, with plenty of negative publicity from the Royal Commission accompanied by media coverage of falling house prices. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-4g1","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":19713,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/02\/01\/asx-resources-and-aussie-dollar-take-a-beating\/","url_meta":{"origin":16369,"position":0},"title":"ASX Resources and Aussie Dollar take a beating","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 1, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 300 Metals & Mining index took a beating as concerns about coronavirus impact on Chinese imports soared. Breach of support at 4450 is likely and would warn of a test of primary support at 4100. Iron ore reaction is more muted but bulk commodities, especially iron ore and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Aussie dollar"","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16385,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/06\/28\/asx-200-china-threat\/","url_meta":{"origin":16369,"position":1},"title":"ASX 200: China threat","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 28, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"A rapidly falling Chinese Yuan highlights the threat of trade tariffs to the Chinese economy. Expect another sell-off of foreign reserves by China, as in 2015 to 2016, in attempt to stabilize the Yuan and head-off a major capital exodus. The sell-off would weaken the Dollar and Chinese exports. Significant\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Aussie dollar"","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15387,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/06\/02\/australia-asx-rallies\/","url_meta":{"origin":16369,"position":2},"title":"Australia: ASX rallies","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 2, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Iron ore is falling. And the broader DJ-UBS Commodity Index is testing support at 82. Breach would signal a decline to test the 2015 low at 74. But the Aussie Dollar rallied Friday, the large engulfing candle suggesting another test of resistance at 75 US cents. Miners finished strongly, with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Aussie dollar"","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15263,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/12\/asx-200-bearish-consolidation\/","url_meta":{"origin":16369,"position":3},"title":"ASX 200 bearish consolidation","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 12, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The big banks fell sharply on news of a new levy on bank liabilities in the latest budget. At this stage the ASX 300 Banks Index merely shows a secondary reaction. Breach of 8500, however, would signal a primary trend reversal, offering a medium-term target of 8000*. * Target: 8500\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Aussie dollar"","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19763,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/02\/08\/asx-hesitates-as-iron-ore-plunges\/","url_meta":{"origin":16369,"position":4},"title":"ASX hesitates as iron ore plunges","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 8, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Iron ore plunged $15\/tonne, finding support at $80, on fears that coronavirus would harm exports to China. A lot will depend on China's ability to contain the virus outbreak in the next two weeks, when factories re-open after the Lunar New Year and extended closures. Large parts of the country\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15228,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/05\/2-more-warning-signs-for-the-asx\/","url_meta":{"origin":16369,"position":5},"title":"2 More Warning Signs for the ASX","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 5, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The recent Iron ore rally has faded and the commodity is again testing support at $60. Twiggs Momentum (13-week) below zero indicates a primary down-trend. The ASX 300 Metals & Mining Index broke support at 2850, warning of a down-trend. A Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero flags strong selling\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16369","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16369"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16369\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16370,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16369\/revisions\/16370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}