{"id":1635,"date":"2011-10-28T21:45:07","date_gmt":"2011-10-29T01:45:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=1635"},"modified":"2011-10-28T21:45:07","modified_gmt":"2011-10-29T01:45:07","slug":"income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/","title":{"rendered":"Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again &#8211; Real Time Economics &#8211; WSJ"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Friday\u2019s Commerce Department report shows that personal income indicator has declined for three consecutive months \u2014 at a 2% annual rate. In the past, such steep drops in that category have been followed, three-quarters of the time, by a recession, according to Mr. Rosenberg\u2019s [<strong>David Rosenberg<\/strong> of <strong>Gluskin Sheff &amp; Associates<\/strong> Inc.] research. So while consumers boosted spending in the third quarter, they pulled it off by dipping into their savings and spending government dollars, not by earning more money at work. Mr. Rosenberg says stagnant wages, plunging consumer confidence, and low expectations for wage growth are a recipe for a dramatic drop in consumer spending in coming months.<\/p>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again\/?mod=djemRTE_t\">Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again &#8211; Real Time Economics &#8211; WSJ<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Friday\u2019s Commerce Department report shows that personal income indicator has declined for three consecutive months \u2014 at a 2% annual rate. In the past, such steep drops in that category have been followed, three-quarters of the time, by a recession, according to Mr. Rosenberg\u2019s [David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff &amp; Associates Inc.] research. So while &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again &#8211; Real Time Economics &#8211; WSJ&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[799,2647,2880],"class_list":["post-1635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-consumer-spending","tag-personal-income","tag-recession"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again - Real Time Economics - WSJ - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again - Real Time Economics - WSJ - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Friday\u2019s Commerce Department report shows that personal income indicator has declined for three consecutive months \u2014 at a 2% annual rate. In the past, such steep drops in that category have been followed, three-quarters of the time, by a recession, according to Mr. Rosenberg\u2019s [David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff &amp; Associates Inc.] research. 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In the past, such steep drops in that category have been followed, three-quarters of the time, by a recession, according to Mr. Rosenberg\u2019s [David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff &amp; Associates Inc.] research. So while &hellip; Continue reading \"Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again &#8211; Real Time Economics &#8211; WSJ\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_published_time":"2011-10-29T01:45:07+00:00","author":"ColinTwiggs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"ColinTwiggs","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/"},"author":{"name":"ColinTwiggs","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5"},"headline":"Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again &#8211; Real Time Economics &#8211; WSJ","datePublished":"2011-10-29T01:45:07+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/"},"wordCount":134,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"keywords":["consumer spending","personal income","Recession"],"articleSection":["US &amp; Canada"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/","name":"Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again - Real Time Economics - WSJ - the patient investor","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website"},"datePublished":"2011-10-29T01:45:07+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/28\/income-excluding-government-transfers-drops-again-real-time-economics-wsj\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Income Excluding Government Transfers Drops Again &#8211; Real Time Economics &#8211; WSJ"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","name":"The Patient Investor","description":"Smart. 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Actual values (in gray on the graph below) show sales of $545 billion, still well above the $481 billion in July last year and $460 billion in February, prior to the pandemic. Retail sales excluding motor vehicles and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":42078,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/05\/17\/strong-retail-sales-and-improving-consumer-outlook\/","url_meta":{"origin":1635,"position":1},"title":"Strong retail sales and improving consumer outlook","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 17, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Strong real retail sales in the US, with inflation-adjusted monthly sales holding above the pre-pandemic trend (dotted line). Household finances are improving, with the NY Fed Survey showing an April decline to 30.5% in respondents who considered that they were \"somewhat worse off\" than a year ago, compared to 38.6%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real Retail & Food Services Sales","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-05-16-real-retail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-05-16-real-retail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-05-16-real-retail.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":28594,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/10\/29\/slowing-gdp-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":1635,"position":2},"title":"Slowing GDP growth","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 29, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Real GDP growth slowed to 0.5% in the third quarter, or 2% annualized. Not a lot to get excited about. Retail Sales (excluding motor vehicles and parts) are up roughly $80 billion per month, or $1 trillion annualized, compared to pre-pandemic levels of $420 billion per month. But the entire\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26651,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/07\/05\/june-payroll-personal-income-and-investment\/","url_meta":{"origin":1635,"position":3},"title":"June payroll, personal income and investment","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 5, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"June payrolls show an impressive 850,000 gain over the past month but there is still a sizable shortfall of 6.7 million jobs when compared to the pre-pandemic peak of February 2020. Many companies are struggling to fill vacancies as enhanced unemployment benefits, ongoing child care responsibilities and pandemic safety concerns\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":52731,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/13\/us-consumer-incomes-and-credit-card-debt\/","url_meta":{"origin":1635,"position":4},"title":"US consumer incomes and credit card debt","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 13, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Many market commentators talk about the struggling US consumer, with rising costs forcing them to take on expensive debt, but this is not borne out by the data. Real disposable personal income per capita (blue below) reached $50.4K in March, compared to the pre-pandemic peak of $48K in Feb 2020.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Debt Levels&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real Disposable Personal Income Per Capita & Government Transfers","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-12-realdspi-percapita.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-12-realdspi-percapita.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-12-realdspi-percapita.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31539,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/17\/retail-spending-steady-but-real-incomes-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":1635,"position":5},"title":"Retail spending steady but real incomes fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 17, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Retail sales for February are still considerably above their long-term trend (dotted line) even when adjusted for inflation (CPI). Above-trend demand -- in addition to supply chain shortages -- adds to inflationary pressure. Real disposable personal income is falling below trend (dotted line) as government transfers decline. After a sharp\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;GDP and Activity&quot;","block_context":{"text":"GDP and Activity","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/gdp-and-activity\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Retail Sales\/CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-16-retail-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-16-retail-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-16-retail-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-03-16-retail-cpi.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1635","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1635"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1635\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1635"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1635"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1635"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}