{"id":16297,"date":"2018-05-19T07:39:15","date_gmt":"2018-05-19T07:39:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=16297"},"modified":"2018-05-19T07:39:15","modified_gmt":"2018-05-19T07:39:15","slug":"sp-500-volatility-falling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/","title":{"rendered":"S&#038;P 500: Volatility falling"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The S&#038;P 500 has broken out above its symmetrical triangle and we are now witnessing retracement to test the new support level at 2700. Volatility is falling and a dip below 1.0% would suggest that the market has returned to business as usual.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"S&#038;P 500\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-05-18-spx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Twiggs Money Flow remains a respectable distance above the zero line and is flattening out. Breach of primary support at 2550 seems unlikely.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"S&#038;P 500\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-05-18-spxm.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&#038;P 500 has broken out above its symmetrical triangle and we are now witnessing retracement to test the new support level at 2700. Volatility is falling and a dip below 1.0% would suggest that the market has returned to business as usual. Twiggs Money Flow remains a respectable distance above the zero line and &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;S&#038;P 500: Volatility falling&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,34],"tags":[3010,3772],"class_list":["post-16297","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-sp-500","tag-twiggs-volatility"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>S&amp;P 500: Volatility falling - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"S&amp;P 500: Volatility falling - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The S&#038;P 500 has broken out above its symmetrical triangle and we are now witnessing retracement to test the new support level at 2700. Volatility is falling and a dip below 1.0% would suggest that the market has returned to business as usual. Twiggs Money Flow remains a respectable distance above the zero line and &hellip; Continue reading &quot;S&#038;P 500: Volatility falling&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-05-19T07:39:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-05-18-spx.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"S&#038;P 500: Volatility falling\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-05-19T07:39:15+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/\"},\"wordCount\":67,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-05-18-spx.png\",\"keywords\":[\"S&amp;P 500\",\"Twiggs Volatility\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Stock Markets\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/\",\"name\":\"S&P 500: Volatility falling - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-05-18-spx.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-05-19T07:39:15+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-05-18-spx.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2018\/2018-05-18-spx.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/05\/19\/sp-500-volatility-falling\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"S&#038;P 500: Volatility falling\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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A large trough that respects the 1.0 percent level, as in 2015 below, would be sufficient warning to cut\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16332,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/06\/02\/nasdaq-bull-signal\/","url_meta":{"origin":16297,"position":1},"title":"Nasdaq bull signal","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 2, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"The Nasdaq 100 broke through resistance at 7000. Expect retracement to test the new support level but respect is likely and would signal a primary advance with a target of 7700. The S&P 500 respected support at 2700. Follow-through above 2750 would signal another test of 2850. Volatility is falling\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":34518,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/06\/18\/sp-500-volatility-reversion-to-the-mean\/","url_meta":{"origin":16297,"position":2},"title":"S&#038;P 500 volatility &#038; reversion to the mean","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 18, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Jason Goepfert from Sundial Capital drew our attention to the record 90%-down day on the S&P 500: CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) reached 33 but that is nothing special compared to the past 15 years. There are plenty of allegations, however, that the VIX is being manipulated. Our own measure of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Jason Goepfert","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-06-17-goepfert.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-06-17-goepfert.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-06-17-goepfert.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":41044,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/01\/dont-trust-the-vix\/","url_meta":{"origin":16297,"position":3},"title":"Don&#8217;t trust the VIX","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 1, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year US Treasury yields broke resistance at 3.90% and are now retracing to test the new support level. Respect would confirm the target of 4.20%. The S&P 500 retreated from resistance at 4200 over the last month as long-term yields rose. Annual rate-of-change continues to signal a bear market. Volatility\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-01-10y.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-01-10y.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-01-10y.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9601,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/31\/sp-500-not-yet-out-of-the-woods\/","url_meta":{"origin":16297,"position":4},"title":"S&#038;P 500 not yet out of the woods","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 31, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 rallied off support at 1840\/1850 but a weak close warns of further resistance. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow (not shown) indicates medium-term selling pressure. I have highlighted daily Volume that is more than 1 standard deviation outside the 50-day moving average on the graph below.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-03-31-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-03-31-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-03-31-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":41297,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/18\/gold-breaks-out-as-move-hits-180\/","url_meta":{"origin":16297,"position":5},"title":"Gold breaks out as MOVE hits 180","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 18, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The MOVE index climbed to 180 on Friday. The MOVE measures short-term interest rate volatility in bond markets. Levels above 150 warn that the Fed is losing control of interest rates and will be forced to intervene. The bank run continues. Large depositors are moving out of bank deposits and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"MOVE Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-17-move.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-17-move.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-17-move.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16297","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16297"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16297\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16298,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16297\/revisions\/16298"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16297"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16297"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16297"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}