{"id":15639,"date":"2017-07-23T19:35:18","date_gmt":"2017-07-23T23:35:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=15639"},"modified":"2017-07-23T19:35:18","modified_gmt":"2017-07-23T23:35:18","slug":"stronger-dollar-weaker-inflation-could-check-rate-hawks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/07\/23\/stronger-dollar-weaker-inflation-could-check-rate-hawks\/","title":{"rendered":"Stronger dollar, weaker inflation could check rate hawks"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Jens Meyer at the AFR says that a stronger Dollar and low inflation are likely to prevent the RBA from raising interest rates for some time:<\/p>\n

Inflation is expected to remain below the Reserve Bank’s comfort zone when second-quarter CPI data is unveiled on Wednesday. Despite a jump in vegetable prices due to damage caused by Cyclone Debbie, economists predict consumer prices rose just 0.4 per cent over the second quarter and 2.2 per cent over the year.<\/p>\n

More importantly for the central bank, ongoing softness in wages growth is tipped to have kept a cap on the less volatile core inflation, coming in at 0.5 per cent over the quarter and 1.8 per cent over the year, below the Reserve Bank’s target band of 2 to 3 per cent.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Rising iron ore prices helped the Aussie Dollar break long-term resistance at 78 cents, testing 80 against the greenback. This goes against the wishes of the RBA who need a weaker Dollar to assist exports and boost import substitution. <\/p>\n

\"Aussie<\/p>\n

But the RBA is in a cleft stick. It cannot lower rates in order to weaken the Dollar as this would encourage speculative borrowing and aggravate the property bubble. It also can’t raise rates when inflation is low, the Aussie Dollar is strong and the economy is weak. Like Mister Micawber in Charles Dickens’ David Copperfield<\/em>, the RBA has to sit and wait in the hope that something turns up.<\/p>\n

Source: Stronger dollar, weaker inflation could check rate hawks<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jens Meyer at the AFR says that a stronger Dollar and low inflation are likely to prevent the RBA from raising interest rates for some time: Inflation is expected to remain below the Reserve Bank’s comfort zone when second-quarter CPI data is unveiled on Wednesday. Despite a jump in vegetable prices due to damage caused … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Stronger dollar, weaker inflation could check rate hawks”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[39,40,31,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15639","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aussie-dollar","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-inflation-economy"],"yoast_head":"\nStronger dollar, weaker inflation could check rate hawks - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stronger dollar, weaker inflation could check rate hawks - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jens Meyer at the AFR says that a stronger Dollar and low inflation are likely to prevent the RBA from raising interest rates for some time: Inflation is expected to remain below the Reserve Bank’s comfort zone when second-quarter CPI data is unveiled on Wednesday. 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The Institute of Economic affairs recently published a report by Juan Castaneda and Tim Congdon from the Institute of International Monetary Research (IIMR) that warns of an inflation spike over the next two years because\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":24609,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/18\/jay-powell-walks-the-line\/","url_meta":{"origin":15639,"position":1},"title":"Jay Powell walks the line","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 18, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"I keep a close watch on this heart of mine I keep my eyes wide open all the time I keep the ends out for the tie that binds Because you're mine, I walk the line..... (Johnny Cash) Jay Powell is doing his best Johnny Cash impression, allaying bond market\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Johnny Cash","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2021\/2021-03-17-johnny-cash.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":10388,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/24\/gold-retreats-as-dollar-strengthens-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":15639,"position":2},"title":"Gold retreats as Dollar strengthens","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 24, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Treasury yields weaken further The Dollar continues to strengthen Inflation target remains at 2% p.a. Gold retreats Interest Rates and the Dollar The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes broke support at 2.50 percent, indicating a test of 2.00 percent*. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of a primary down-trend. Follow-through\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Crude Oil & Natural Gas"","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil & Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-24-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-24-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-24-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":28074,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/09\/30\/gold-falls-as-the-dollar-strengthens\/","url_meta":{"origin":15639,"position":3},"title":"Gold falls as the Dollar strengthens","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 30, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index broke resistance at 93 and is climbing. The stronger Dollar Index is spurred by the recent surge in long-term Treasury yields, with the 10-Year jumping more than 25 bps (0.25%) from 1.25% to 1.524%. Follow-through above 1.75% would offer a target of 2.25%. The Big Picture As\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38428,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/11\/01\/australia-rba-missed-opportunity\/","url_meta":{"origin":15639,"position":4},"title":"Australia: RBA missed opportunity","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 1, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The RBA announced a 25 basis point hike in their cash rate target, from 2.60% to 2.85%, lagging far behind CPI which grew by 7.3% in the 12 months to September. RBA Governor Phil Lowe's announcement: As is the case in most countries, inflation in Australia is too high. Over\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":49845,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/13\/energy-prices-drive-cpi-and-lt-interest-rates\/","url_meta":{"origin":15639,"position":5},"title":"Energy prices drive CPI and LT interest rates","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 13, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"After a brief respite, the S&P 500 resumed its strong up-trend, closing at a new high of 5175. Trend Index troughs high above zero continue to signal unusual buying pressure. The up-trend is typical of Stage 3 of a bull market:\u00a0 rampant speculation dominates and price advances are based on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-13-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15639","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15639"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15639\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15639"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}