{"id":15597,"date":"2017-07-14T19:34:59","date_gmt":"2017-07-14T23:34:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=15597"},"modified":"2017-07-14T19:34:59","modified_gmt":"2017-07-14T23:34:59","slug":"us-retail-light-vehicle-sales-slow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/07\/14\/us-retail-light-vehicle-sales-slow\/","title":{"rendered":"US Retail &#038; Light Vehicle Sales slow"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Retail sales growth (excluding motor vehicles and parts) slowed to 2.4% over the 12 months to June 2017.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Retail Sales ex Motor Vehicles &amp; Parts\" alt=\"Retail Sales ex Motor Vehicles &amp; Parts\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-retail.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Source: St Louis Fed &amp; US Bureau of the Census<\/p>\n<p>Seasonally adjusted light vehicle sales are also slowing.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Light Vehicle Sales\" alt=\"Light Vehicle Sales\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-lightvehicles.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Source: St Louis Fed &amp; BEA<\/p>\n<p>Seasonally adjusted private housing starts and new building permits are starting to lose momentum.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Housing Starts &amp; Permits\" alt=\"Housing Starts &amp; Permits\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-housing.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Source: St Louis Fed &amp; US Bureau of the Census<\/p>\n<p>The good news is that Manufacturer&#8217;s Durable Goods Orders (seasonally adjusted and ex Defense &amp; Aircraft) are recovering.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Manufacturing Durable Goods Orders ex Defense &amp; Aircraft\" alt=\"Manufacturing Durable Goods Orders ex Defense &amp; Aircraft\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-durablegoods.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Source: St Louis Fed &amp; US Bureau of the Census<\/p>\n<p>Cement and concrete production continues to trend upwards.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Cement &amp; Concrete Production\" alt=\"Cement &amp; Concrete Production\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-concretecement.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Source: US Fed<\/p>\n<p>And estimated weekly hours worked (total nonfarm payroll * average weekly hours) is growing steadily.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Estimated Weekly Hours Worked\" alt=\"Estimated Weekly Hours Worked\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-hoursworked.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Source: St Louis Fed &amp; BLS<\/p>\n<p>All of which suggest that business confidence is growing and consumer confidence is likely to follow. Bellwether transport stock Fedex advanced to 220, signaling rising economic activity in the broader economy.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Fedex\" alt=\"Fedex\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-fdx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Target: 180 + ( 180 &#8211; 120 ) = 240<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 broke resistance at 2450, making a new high. Narrow consolidations and shallow corrections all signal investor confidence typical of the latter stages of a bull market. The immediate target is 2500* but further gains are likely.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"S&amp;P 500\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-spx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Target: 2400 + ( 2400 &#8211; 2300 ) = 2500<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"qtn\">\n<p>The stock market remains an exceptionally efficient mechanism for the transfer of wealth from the impatient to the patient.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n~ Warren Buffett\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Retail sales growth (excluding motor vehicles and parts) slowed to 2.4% over the 12 months to June 2017. Source: St Louis Fed &amp; US Bureau of the Census Seasonally adjusted light vehicle sales are also slowing. Source: St Louis Fed &amp; BEA Seasonally adjusted private housing starts and new building permits are starting to lose &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/07\/14\/us-retail-light-vehicle-sales-slow\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;US Retail &#038; Light Vehicle Sales slow&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46,10,15,57,34],"tags":[321,781,1145,1362,1746,2109,2450,2494,2943,3010],"class_list":["post-15597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-deficit-spending-employment","category-housing-economy","category-investment-infrastructure","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-average-weekly-hours-worked","tag-concrete-cement-production","tag-durable-goods-oders","tag-fedex","tag-housing-starts","tag-light-vehicle-sales","tag-new-building-permits","tag-nonfarm-payroll","tag-retail-sales","tag-sp-500"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US Retail &amp; Light Vehicle Sales slow - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Retail &amp; Light Vehicle Sales slow - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Retail sales growth (excluding motor vehicles and parts) slowed to 2.4% over the 12 months to June 2017. Source: St Louis Fed &amp; US Bureau of the Census Seasonally adjusted light vehicle sales are also slowing. 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A rate cut of at least 25 basis points is widely anticipated, while expectations of 50 basis points are growing. Stocks The S&P 500 is testing resistance at the July high of 5670. The equal-weighted index broke resistance at 7100\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-17-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-17-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-17-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14917,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/03\/03\/us-why-the-enthusiasm\/","url_meta":{"origin":15597,"position":1},"title":"US: Why the enthusiasm?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 3, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Retail sales are surging, with Retail & Food (ex-Motor Vehicles) growing above 5% a year for the first time since 2012. Light vehicles sales are back at their 2000-2006 norm of 17.5 million units a year, reflecting consumer confidence. Housing remains soft but growth in new starts and building permits\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12195,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/08\/17\/falling-retail-sales-and-freight-activity-cause-for-concern\/","url_meta":{"origin":15597,"position":2},"title":"Falling retail sales and freight activity: Cause for concern?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The rally in bellwether transport stock Fedex was short-lived and it is once again testing primary support at $164. Declining 13-week Twiggs Momentum, below zero, warns of a primary down-trend. Breach of support would confirm, suggesting a broad slow-down in US economic activity. The Freight Transportation Services Index reinforces this,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1024,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/08\/18\/falling-retail-sales-and-freight-activity-cause-for-concern-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":15597,"position":3},"title":"Falling retail sales and freight activity: Cause for concern?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 18, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The rally in bellwether transport stock Fedex was short-lived and it is once again testing primary support at $164. Declining 13-week Twiggs Momentum, below zero, warns of a primary down-trend. Breach of support would confirm, suggesting a broad slow-down in US economic activity. The Freight Transportation Services Index reinforces this,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Freight Transportation Services Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-18-freight.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-18-freight.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-18-freight.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":44740,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/10\/18\/strong-us-retail-activity-unlikely-to-last\/","url_meta":{"origin":15597,"position":4},"title":"Strong US retail activity unlikely to last","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 18, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Real retail sales remain strong, holding above the pre-pandemic trend (dotted line) in September. Supported by a strong jobs market, with low unemployment. The labor market remains tight, with employers holding on to staff -- cutting weekly hours rather than resorting to layoffs. The consumer sentiment trough in June 2022\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real Retail Sales","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-10-18-realretail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-10-18-realretail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-10-18-realretail.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":43094,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/07\/19\/us-consumers-spend-while-economy-slows\/","url_meta":{"origin":15597,"position":5},"title":"US consumers spend while economy slows","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 19, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Real retail sales show no growth over the past two years but remain above their pre-pandemic trend (dotted line below). Continued claims for unemployment are declining. Real disposable personal income is growing, further enhanced by cost-of-living adjustments to social welfare. The blue line below includes transfer receipts from government welfare\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;GDP and Activity&quot;","block_context":{"text":"GDP and Activity","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/gdp-and-activity\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real Retail Sales","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-07-18-real-retail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-07-18-real-retail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-07-18-real-retail.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15597","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15597"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15597\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15597"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}