{"id":15596,"date":"2017-07-14T20:11:07","date_gmt":"2017-07-15T00:11:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=15596"},"modified":"2017-07-14T20:11:07","modified_gmt":"2017-07-15T00:11:07","slug":"gold-theres-life-in-the-old-girl-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/07\/14\/gold-theres-life-in-the-old-girl-yet\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold: There&#8217;s life in the old girl yet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Dollar Index is in a primary down-trend. Breach of support at 95.50 signals another decline. The long-term target is the 2016 low between 92 and 93.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Dollar Index\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-dxy.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A weakening Dollar and geo-political uncertainty should fuel demand for gold, but gold and silver have both been testing support in recent weeks rather than advancing strongly as expected.<\/p>\n<p>The best explanation I have for this is falling crude oil prices. The long-term chart below shows gold and crude oil prices adjusted for inflation (CPI). Whenever there is a strong surge in crude oil prices, gold tends to follow. Rising crude prices and higher consequent inflation reduce confidence in the Dollar and major oil producers tend to buy more gold with their newfound surplus, as a store of value.  <\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Gold &amp; Crude Oil prices adjusted for inflation\" alt=\"Gold &amp; Crude Oil prices adjusted for inflation\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-gold-crude.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The opposite occurs if oil prices fall and those same oil producers are forced to sell gold reserves in order to fund an unexpected deficit.<\/p>\n<p>At present crude prices are undergoing a bear market rally, having recovered above resistance at $45\/barrel, but the primary trend is down. Gold has followed suit, recovering above support at $1215\/ounce. Penetration of the declining trendline suggests a test of resistance at $1250.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Spot Gold\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-07-14-gold.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>But crude prices remain weak and (gold) respect of $1250 would indicate another test of primary support at $1200.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Dollar Index is in a primary down-trend. Breach of support at 95.50 signals another decline. The long-term target is the 2016 low between 92 and 93. A weakening Dollar and geo-political uncertainty should fuel demand for gold, but gold and silver have both been testing support in recent weeks rather than advancing strongly as &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/07\/14\/gold-theres-life-in-the-old-girl-yet\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold: There&#8217;s life in the old girl yet&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,9,35],"tags":[1073,2527,3204],"class_list":["post-15596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-dollar-index","tag-dollar-index","tag-nymex-light-crude","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold: There&#039;s life in the old girl yet - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold: There&#039;s life in the old girl yet - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Dollar Index is in a primary down-trend. Breach of support at 95.50 signals another decline. The long-term target is the 2016 low between 92 and 93. 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Breach would confirm a primary down-trend with a long-term target of $45\/barrel. Crude and gold tend to rise and fall together. The long-term chart below compares gold and crude prices adjusted for inflation (CPI). The bear rally\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17277,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/11\/03\/crude-reversal-undermines-gold-rally\/","url_meta":{"origin":15596,"position":1},"title":"Crude reversal undermines Gold rally","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 3, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Nymex crude broke support at $65, warning of a primary down-trend with a medium-term target of $56\/barrel. Crude and gold tend to rise and fall together, over the long-term, and falling crude prices warn of gold weakness. The bear rally in Gold is likely to meet stubborn resistance at $1250.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Aussie dollar&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Aussie dollar","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/aussie-dollar\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17753,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/01\/18\/gold-bull-or-bear\/","url_meta":{"origin":15596,"position":2},"title":"Gold: Bull or bear?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 18, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold is testing resistance at $1300\/ounce and is likely to follow-through to the long-term\u00a0(LT) ceiling at $1350. Trend Index\u00a0 on the LT\u00a0 monthly chart displays a large triangular consolidation, indicating uncertainty. Upward breakout would signal a primary up-trend but this is unlikely, for three reasons. First, this is a bear\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":53615,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/31\/crude-retreats-as-inventories-rise\/","url_meta":{"origin":15596,"position":3},"title":"S&#038;P 500 retreats, along with crude and precious metals","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 31, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Treasury yields are trending upwards, as inflation proves persistent, but also driven by the scarcity of foreign buyers in the UST market. Rising Japanese long-term yields, the result of a weak Yen and higher inflation, make Treasuries less attractive to Japanese institutional investors. Geopolitical tensions have also motivated the BRICS,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-30-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-30-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-30-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10603,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/14\/strong-dollar-weakens-gold\/","url_meta":{"origin":15596,"position":4},"title":"Strong Dollar weakens gold","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 14, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Treasury yields decline Dollar strengthens Crude oil weakens Gold hesitates Interest Rates and the Dollar The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes is testing support at 2.40 percent. Breach would confirm a primary decline with a target of 2.00 percent*. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum holding below zero strengthens the bear signal. Recovery\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":7498,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/18\/gold-will-it-bounce\/","url_meta":{"origin":15596,"position":5},"title":"Gold: Will it bounce?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 18, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"\"Never try to catch a falling safe\" warn the pundits .... \"Wait for it to bounce.\" So far we have not seen much bounce. After finding short-term support at $1320 on the 2-hourly chart, gold rallied to $1400 before retreating to test $1360. The long tail at $1360 indicates buying\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Gold &amp; Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Gold &amp; Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15596"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15596\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}