{"id":15434,"date":"2017-06-10T03:55:48","date_gmt":"2017-06-10T07:55:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=15434"},"modified":"2017-06-10T03:55:48","modified_gmt":"2017-06-10T07:55:48","slug":"australia-rba-hands-tied","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/06\/10\/australia-rba-hands-tied\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia: RBA hands tied"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Falling wage rate growth suggests that we are headed for a period of low growth in employment and personal consumption.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Australia Wage Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-06-07-aus-wageindex.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Australia Wage Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The impact is already evident in the Retail sector.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"ASX 300 Retail\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-06-07-xtrk.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 300 Retail\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The RBA would normally intervene to stimulate investment and employment but its hands are tied. Lowering interest rates would aggravate the housing bubble. Household debt is already precariously high in relation to disposable income.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Australia: Household Debt to Disposable Income\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-06-07-aus-hhdebt.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Australia: Household Debt to Disposable Income\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Like Mister Micawber in David Copperfield, we are waiting in the hope that something turns up to rescue us from our predicament. It&#8217;s not a good situation to be in. If something bad turns up and the RBA is low on ammunition.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"qtn\">\n<p> Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen and six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery. The blossom is blighted, the leaf is withered, the god of day goes down upon the dreary scene, and &mdash; and in short you are for ever floored&#8230;.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n~ Mr. Micawber in Charles Dickens&#8217; David Copperfield\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Falling wage rate growth suggests that we are headed for a period of low growth in employment and personal consumption. The impact is already evident in the Retail sector. The RBA would normally intervene to stimulate investment and employment but its hands are tied. Lowering interest rates would aggravate the housing bubble. Household debt is &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/06\/10\/australia-rba-hands-tied\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Australia: RBA hands tied&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,31,45,10],"tags":[956,1732,2645,2860,3629],"class_list":["post-15434","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-debt-levels","category-housing-economy","tag-debt","tag-housing","tag-personal-consumption","tag-rba","tag-wage-rates"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Australia: RBA hands tied - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Australia: RBA hands tied - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Falling wage rate growth suggests that we are headed for a period of low growth in employment and personal consumption. The impact is already evident in the Retail sector. The RBA would normally intervene to stimulate investment and employment but its hands are tied. Lowering interest rates would aggravate the housing bubble. 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Cutting interest rates to stimulate new home construction may cushion the impact, but comes at a price. Consumers may benefit from lower interest rates but that is merely a side-effect: the real objective\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":39471,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/12\/10\/australia-hard-times\/","url_meta":{"origin":15434,"position":1},"title":"Australia: Hard times","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 10, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"You don't have to be an Einstein to figure out that 2023 is going to be a tough year. Australian consumers have already worked this out, with sentiment plunging to record lows. The bellwether of the Australian economy is housing. Prices are tumbling, with annual growth now close to zero.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australia: Consumer Sentiment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-12-09-aus-sentiment.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":19880,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/03\/07\/australia-the-bear-case\/","url_meta":{"origin":15434,"position":2},"title":"Australia: The bear case","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 7, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The RBA cut the cash rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday this week, to a record low of 0.50%. This was necessary in order to limit the interest rate differential with the US and protect the currency. But it will not do much to help the economy. Household debt\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18450,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/06\/24\/australia-needs-to-break-the-downward-spiral\/","url_meta":{"origin":15434,"position":3},"title":"Australia needs to break the downward spiral","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 24, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Ross Gittins, Economics Editor at The Sydney Morning Herald, sums up Australia's predicament: \"The problem is, the economy seems to be running out of puff because it\u2019s caught in a vicious circle: private consumption and business investment can\u2019t grow strongly because there\u2019s no growth in real wages, but real wages\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38974,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/11\/22\/australias-debt-end-game\/","url_meta":{"origin":15434,"position":4},"title":"Australia&#8217;s debt end game","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 22, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"We are nearing the end of a thirty year bull market in credit, during which time the overnight cash rate in Australia fell from 18% in 1989 to 0.03% in 2021. Low interest rates enabled households to borrow more relative to their income, with housing debt expanding 4.5 times, over\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15587,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/07\/07\/australia-faces-headwinds\/","url_meta":{"origin":15434,"position":5},"title":"Australia faces headwinds","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 7, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Australian wage rate growth, on the other hand, is declining. is in a worse position, with a dramatic fall in investment following the mining boom. Source: RBA & ABS As is inflation. Source: RBA & ABS Growth in Household Disposable Income and Consumption. Source: RBA & ABS And Banks return\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15434","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15434"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15434\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15434"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15434"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15434"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}