{"id":15331,"date":"2017-05-22T23:02:11","date_gmt":"2017-05-23T03:02:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=15331"},"modified":"2017-05-22T23:02:11","modified_gmt":"2017-05-23T03:02:11","slug":"australia-lean-years-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia: Lean years ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Growth in total monthly hours worked has slowed to 1.3% for the 12 months to April 2017. In fact, growth has been pretty lean over the last 5 years, except for the period January 2015 to February 2016. <\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"ABS: Hours Worked &amp; GDP growth\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-05-20-gdp-hours.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ABS: Hours Worked &amp; GDP growth\" \/><\/p>\n<p>High commodity prices in 2004 to 2008 and 2010 to 2011 coincide with periods of strong employment and GDP growth, as indicated on the chart above.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"DJ-UBS Commodity Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-05-22-dubs.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"DJ-UBS Commodity Index\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The current down-trend in commodity prices, depicted on the DJ-UBS Commodity Index above, and low growth in hours worked both point to anemic employment (and GDP) growth ahead.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Growth in total monthly hours worked has slowed to 1.3% for the 12 months to April 2017. In fact, growth has been pretty lean over the last 5 years, except for the period January 2015 to February 2016. High commodity prices in 2004 to 2008 and 2010 to 2011 coincide with periods of strong employment &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Australia: Lean years ahead&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,43,46,5],"tags":[1064,1524,1723],"class_list":["post-15331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-commodities-gold-commodities","category-deficit-spending-employment","category-economy","tag-dj-ubs-commodity-index","tag-gdp","tag-hours-worked"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Australia: Lean years ahead - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Australia: Lean years ahead - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Growth in total monthly hours worked has slowed to 1.3% for the 12 months to April 2017. In fact, growth has been pretty lean over the last 5 years, except for the period January 2015 to February 2016. High commodity prices in 2004 to 2008 and 2010 to 2011 coincide with periods of strong employment &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Australia: Lean years ahead&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-05-23T03:02:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-05-20-gdp-hours.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Australia: Lean years ahead\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-05-23T03:02:11+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/\"},\"wordCount\":86,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-05-20-gdp-hours.png\",\"keywords\":[\"DJ-UBS Commodity Index\",\"GDP\",\"hours worked\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; NZ\",\"Commodities\",\"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment\",\"Economy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/\",\"name\":\"Australia: Lean years ahead - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-05-20-gdp-hours.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-05-23T03:02:11+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-05-20-gdp-hours.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2017\/2017-05-20-gdp-hours.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/22\/australia-lean-years-ahead\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Australia: Lean years ahead\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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Lifted by Fed liquidity injections in the repo market. Optimism over improved global trade has spread, with the DJ Euro Stoxx 600 breaking resistance at 400. South Korea's KOSPI completed a double-bottom reversal to signal an up-trend. And India's\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18157,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/05\/04\/employment-lifts-but-sp-500-tentative\/","url_meta":{"origin":15331,"position":1},"title":"Employment lifts but S&#038;P 500 tentative","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 4, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Growth in total non-farm payrolls ticked up to 1.76% for the 12 months to April 2019, supporting Fed reluctance to cut interest rates. The Philadelphia Fed Leading Index has been revised upwards, above a comfortable 1.0%. Real GDP growth came in at a healthy 3.2% for the 12 months ended\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18607,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/08\/03\/sp-500-treasuries-reflect-flight-to-safety\/","url_meta":{"origin":15331,"position":2},"title":"S&#038;P 500: Treasuries reflect flight to safety","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 3, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields plunged below 2.0% on Donald Trump's announcement of further tariffs (10% on $300bn) on China. The fall reflects rising demand for Treasuries as a safe haven in these turbulent times. The spread between 10-Year and 3-Month Treasuries recovered above zero. This is a bearish sign: recession normally\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18333,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/06\/08\/sp-500-short-term-versus-long-run\/","url_meta":{"origin":15331,"position":3},"title":"S&#038;P 500: Short-term versus long run","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 8, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The market is excited at the prospect of Fed rate cuts (in response to the US-CCP trade war), with the S&P 500 headed for another test of its earlier high at 2950. A Trend Index trough above zero indicates short-term buying pressure. Falling bond yields, however, warn of a flight\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17823,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/02\/02\/robust-us-employment-but-global-bear-market-warning\/","url_meta":{"origin":15331,"position":4},"title":"Robust US employment but global bear market warning","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 2, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The US economy remains robust, with hours worked (non-farm) ticking up 2.2% in January, despite the government shutdown. Real GDP growth is expected to follow a similar path. Average hourly earnings growth increased to 3.4% p.a. for production and non-supervisory employees (3.2% for all employees). The Fed has limited wiggle\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20572,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/05\/23\/china-headed-for-recession\/","url_meta":{"origin":15331,"position":5},"title":"China headed for recession","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 23, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"China will not set a GDP growth target for the year ahead, the first time since the practice began in 1990. From Trivium China: All it took was a once-in-a-century global pandemic and economic crisis. The Chinese government finally dropped its annual GDP growth target, long the foundation for economic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15331"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15331\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}