{"id":15144,"date":"2017-04-12T23:20:45","date_gmt":"2017-04-13T03:20:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=15144"},"modified":"2017-04-12T23:20:45","modified_gmt":"2017-04-13T03:20:45","slug":"no-plan-no-strategy-no-problem-syria-and-trumps-russia-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/04\/12\/no-plan-no-strategy-no-problem-syria-and-trumps-russia-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"No Plan? No Strategy? No Problem! Syria and Trump&#8217;s Russia Policy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/warontherocks.com\/2017\/04\/no-plan-no-strategy-no-problem-syria-and-why-americas-russia-policy-is-off-to-a-rough-start\/\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/putin-eagle.jpg?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Michael Kofman is an Analyst at CNA Corporation and a Fellow at the Wilson Center\u2019s Kennan Institute:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;.Past American attempts at coercive diplomacy with Russia have typically lacked actual coercion, and a theory of how to gain leverage over Moscow. It will be rather startling if 59 cruise missiles turn out to be the answer to this problem. Thankfully, the previous administration tested a lot of theories that didn\u2019t work, from empty threats at the United Nations, to disproven assumptions on what influences Russian behavior, to narratives about quagmires. It would be best for Trump\u2019s White House not to set us on this journey, mounted on that very same broken wheel (or one just as broken in a different way).<\/p>\n<p>In a contest of wills, Trump needs a plan to establish coercive credibility rather than hoping to scare the Russians with expensive fireworks. The number one mistake previous administrations made with Moscow is that, rather than deal with the Russia that is, they all imagined a Russia that suited them more, and then tried to have relations with that imaginary country.<\/p>\n<p>The reality is, this administration\u2019s only current leverage with Russia is the notion inside the Kremlin that a cooperative agenda with the United States is still possible. That\u2019s a dubious proposition which offers the U.S. some advantages. Russia still hopes that there are carrots the United States might offer, or at the least it could get respite in the current confrontation and consolidate gains. If the administration is able to drag out this perception, rather than demonstrating that the White House is rapidly reverting to classical archetypes that Moscow anticipates, then there is an opportunity to obtain concessions.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Given that a cooperative agenda between the United States and Russia is well-nigh impossible, where does that leave us?<\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/warontherocks.com\/2017\/04\/no-plan-no-strategy-no-problem-syria-and-why-americas-russia-policy-is-off-to-a-rough-start\/\">No Plan? No Strategy? No Problem! Syria and Why Trump&#8217;s Russia Policy Is Off to a Rough Start<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Michael Kofman is an Analyst at CNA Corporation and a Fellow at the Wilson Center\u2019s Kennan Institute: &#8230;.Past American attempts at coercive diplomacy with Russia have typically lacked actual coercion, and a theory of how to gain leverage over Moscow. It will be rather startling if 59 cruise missiles turn out to be the answer &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/04\/12\/no-plan-no-strategy-no-problem-syria-and-trumps-russia-policy\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;No Plan? No Strategy? No Problem! Syria and Trump&#8217;s Russia Policy&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,26,29,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-middle-east","category-russia-former-ussr","category-the-big-picture","category-us-canada-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>No Plan? No Strategy? No Problem! Syria and Trump&#039;s Russia Policy - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"No Plan? No Strategy? No Problem! Syria and Trump&#039;s Russia Policy - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Michael Kofman is an Analyst at CNA Corporation and a Fellow at the Wilson Center\u2019s Kennan Institute: &#8230;.Past American attempts at coercive diplomacy with Russia have typically lacked actual coercion, and a theory of how to gain leverage over Moscow. It will be rather startling if 59 cruise missiles turn out to be the answer &hellip; Continue reading &quot;No Plan? No Strategy? No Problem! 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The state-owned Russian Railways faced \"imminent collapse\" amid a shortage of locomotives, driven by Western-imposed sanctions imposed over the war in Ukraine, a Russian Telegram channel has reported. The sanctions have contributed to a ball-bearing shortage in Russia,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Russian Central Bank Rate","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-22-bor.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-22-bor.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-22-bor.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":11377,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/11\/28\/russia-eu-is-the-real-enemy-tim-snyder\/","url_meta":{"origin":15144,"position":1},"title":"Russia: EU is the real enemy | Tim Snyder","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 28, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Professor Timothy Snyder of Yale University says that, despite the spin, the European Union is Russia's real enemy \u2014 not America \u2014 and a Western-leaning Ukraine is part of the problem. http:\/\/youtu.be\/lNRpNqJZJXg","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/lNRpNqJZJXg\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":36146,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/08\/04\/inflation-here-to-stay\/","url_meta":{"origin":15144,"position":2},"title":"Inflation Here To Stay","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 4, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Excellent interview with Louis-Vincent Gave, founder and CEO of Gavekal, on Wealthion. Here is a quick summary: Globalization and Inflation US weaponization of semiconductors against China signaled the end of globalization. Trump's \u201ctech war\u201d with China aimed to prevent its national champion Huawei from becoming the dominant supplier of 5G\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Unemployment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-08-03-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-08-03-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-08-03-u3.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10929,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/19\/trouble-in-the-east\/","url_meta":{"origin":15144,"position":3},"title":"Trouble in the East","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 19, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Poland, Ukraine and Lithuania plan to form a common brigade: Agreement on a joint Ukraine-Poland-Lithuania military brigade signed in Warsaw - v @DefenceU https:\/\/t.co\/12beNEuXrU pic.twitter.com\/20f1x2z800\u2014 Olga Tokariuk (@olgatokariuk) September 19, 2014 Ben Judah, author of Fragile Empire: How Russia Fell In And Out Of Love With Vladimir Putin observes: \"This\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Garry Kasparov on Putin","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/garry-kasparov.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":60944,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/13\/big-picture-reading-ukraine\/","url_meta":{"origin":15144,"position":4},"title":"Big Picture reading: Ukraine","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 13, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Here is some interesting analysis on Donald Trump and his \"peace plan\" for Ukraine: Phillips O'Brien, professor of strategic studies at University of St Andrews, Scotland: What Europe Can do in a Worst-Case Scenario Nataliya Gumenyuk, Ukrainian journalist and co-founder of The Reckoning Project: Putin\u2019s Ukraine - The End of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10780,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/30\/luc-vancraen-can-the-eu-still-prevent-an-open-war-between-ukraine-and-russia\/","url_meta":{"origin":15144,"position":5},"title":"Luc Vancraen: Can the EU still prevent an open war between Ukraine and Russia?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 30, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Interesting proposal from Luc Vancraen, an entrepreneur in Kyiv who holds a masters degree from Boston University: If there is no Novorussia today it is because of the ferocious fighting of the Ukrainian armed forces. If the EU wants the Ukrainians to stop fighting after Donbas is liberated it will\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15144","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15144"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15144\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}