{"id":14882,"date":"2017-02-27T20:26:15","date_gmt":"2017-02-28T01:26:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=14882"},"modified":"2017-02-27T20:26:15","modified_gmt":"2017-02-28T01:26:15","slug":"chinese-real-estate-bubble-slows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/02\/27\/chinese-real-estate-bubble-slows\/","title":{"rendered":"Chinese real estate bubble &#8220;slows&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Elliot Clarke at <a href=\"http:\/\/a.email6.westpac.com.au\/?DrqrKe4m6R6PJfPehrzZ4rzniF2cFhxlD&amp;https:\/\/wibiq.westpac.com.au\/Publications.aspx?PublicationId=22751\" target=\"_blank\">Westpac<\/a> reports that home price growth in tier-1 cities &#8220;slowed materially&#8221; in January 2017:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>From 29%yr in September 2016, tier-1 new home price growth has slowed to 23%yr. Similarly for the tier-1 secondary market, price momentum has slowed from 33%yr to 26%yr since September.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Tier-2 and tier-3 cities have far lower annual growth rates: 12% and 9% respectively for new homes and 9% and 6% for existing dwellings.<\/p>\n<p>When we compare tier-1 price growth to Sydney and Melbourne, the Chinese bubble is in a different league. From <a href=\"http:\/\/www.news.com.au\/finance\/business\/breaking-news\/sydney-home-prices-surged-155-in-2016\/news-story\/2b223400770b0af25b4c4a02dee87ee0\" target=\"_blank\">CoreLogic<\/a>: &#8220;Sydney home prices surged 15.5 per cent and Melbourne&#8217;s 13.7 per cent over the year [2016]&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>It is hard to imagine a soft landing when property prices have been growing at 30% a year.<\/p>\n<p>Even 15%&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Elliot Clarke at Westpac reports that home price growth in tier-1 cities &#8220;slowed materially&#8221; in January 2017: From 29%yr in September 2016, tier-1 new home price growth has slowed to 23%yr. Similarly for the tier-1 secondary market, price momentum has slowed from 33%yr to 26%yr since September. Tier-2 and tier-3 cities have far lower annual &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/02\/27\/chinese-real-estate-bubble-slows\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Chinese real estate bubble &#8220;slows&#8221;&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,10],"tags":[509,663,1732],"class_list":["post-14882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-housing-economy","tag-bubble","tag-china","tag-housing"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chinese real estate bubble &quot;slows&quot; - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chinese real estate bubble &quot;slows&quot; - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Elliot Clarke at Westpac reports that home price growth in tier-1 cities &#8220;slowed materially&#8221; in January 2017: From 29%yr in September 2016, tier-1 new home price growth has slowed to 23%yr. Similarly for the tier-1 secondary market, price momentum has slowed from 33%yr to 26%yr since September. 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Prosper Australia has provided a submission to the Senate Inquiry into Housing Affordability, which is well worth a look. The submission first provides nine metrics illustrating Australia\u2019s residential property bubble, which include the following: It took forty years\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ScreenHunter_18 Jul. 05 10.22","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/ScreenHunter_18-Jul.-05-10.22-200x200.gif?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":16340,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/06\/09\/12-charts-on-the-australian-economy\/","url_meta":{"origin":14882,"position":1},"title":"12 Charts on the Australian economy","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 9, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Australian GDP grew at a robust 3.1% for the year ended 31 March 2018 but a look at the broader economy shows little to cheer about. Wages growth is slowing, with the Wage Price Index falling sharply. Falling growth in disposable income is holding back consumption (e.g. retail spending) and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":61995,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/18\/is-gold-losing-steam\/","url_meta":{"origin":14882,"position":2},"title":"Is gold losing steam?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 18, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary A note from Citi says gold is likely to fall next year Their view is based on higher projected US economic growth and lower interest rates But this ignores the secular global trends driving demand for gold A note from Citigroup sees gold as losing steam by the end\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-17-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-17-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-17-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":18935,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/09\/19\/robert-shillers-warning\/","url_meta":{"origin":14882,"position":3},"title":"Robert Shiller&#8217;s warning","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 19, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Shiller warns that cracks are once again surfacing in the US housing market. \"We have had a strong housing market for pretty much all the time since 2012. Just after the financial crisis, the housing market didn't recover, maybe because banking was in disarray and people\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;GDP and Activity&quot;","block_context":{"text":"GDP and Activity","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/gdp-and-activity\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10764,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/28\/banks-hold-more-risk-than-before-gfc-chris-joye\/","url_meta":{"origin":14882,"position":4},"title":"Banks hold more risk than before GFC | Chris Joye","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 28, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Chris Joye explains why risk-weighted capital ratios used by Australia's major banks are misleading and why true leverage is more than 20 times tier 1 capital. It was only after 2008 when regulators allowed the majors to slash risk-weightings on home loans from 50 per cent to 15 per cent\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Tier 1 Capital to Gross Assets","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.afr.com\/r\/AFR\/Blogs\/christopher_joye\/201408\/Images\/APRA3.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.afr.com\/r\/AFR\/Blogs\/christopher_joye\/201408\/Images\/APRA3.png?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.afr.com\/r\/AFR\/Blogs\/christopher_joye\/201408\/Images\/APRA3.png?resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5608,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/28\/bachelor-padding-by-roseann-lake-foreign-policy\/","url_meta":{"origin":14882,"position":5},"title":"Bachelor Padding &#8211; By Roseann Lake &#124; Foreign Policy","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 28, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"By Roseann Lake As a result of the real estate boom, reports in Chinese media indicate that the average property in a top-tier Chinese city now costs between 15 and 20 times the average annual salary, though J.P. Morgan reports indicate something closer to 13. For purposes of comparison, in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14882"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14882\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}