CS: Australia at risk as USD rises – MacroBusiness<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NAB are predicting that the RBA will cut rates twice in 2017. This ties in with the Credit Suisse view: if Donald Trump succeeds in reducing the US trade deficit, it will cause a USD shortage in international markets. And, in Australia, “a USD shortage tends to exert downward pressure on rates, bond yields, the … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “Australia at risk as USD rises”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,31,7,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14752","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-forex","category-us-canada-countries-regions"],"yoast_head":"\nAustralia at risk as USD rises - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Australia at risk as USD rises - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"NAB are predicting that the RBA will cut rates twice in 2017. 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This ties in with the Credit Suisse view: if Donald Trump succeeds in reducing the US trade deficit, it will cause a USD shortage in international markets. 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Not collapsing, certainly. But falling very consistently, roughly 6% peak to trough. 8.5% in real terms. This has had a number of well documented effects including high savings rates, historically conservative levels of retail sales and stalled services sector investment. .....Now, in August, the latest\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13052,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/21\/apra-gives-the-rba-some-wiggle-room-business-spectator\/","url_meta":{"origin":14752,"position":1},"title":"APRA gives the RBA some wiggle room | Business Spectator","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 21, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Robert Gottliebsen predicts further rate cuts from the RBA: Given that Australian interest rates are higher than other countries of similar standing, money is now flowing Down Under which works to boost the currency and some are forecasting that the exchange rate could rise as high as US80c. Thanks to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19570,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/12\/14\/trade-deal-bearish-for-gold\/","url_meta":{"origin":14752,"position":2},"title":"Trade deal bearish for Gold","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 14, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Donald Trump is talking up the prospects of a trade deal, while China remains non-commital, but experience has taught us to judge the two parties more by their actions than the rhetoric. The Chinese Yuan is strengthening against the US Dollar, testing resistance at 14.35 US cents. A strengthening Yuan\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7281,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/25\/rbnz-steps-closer-to-macroprudential-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":14752,"position":3},"title":"RBNZ steps closer to macroprudential | MacroBusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 25, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Houses & Holes at Macrobusiness reports on macroprudential steps being considered by the RBNZ. Macroprudential regulation\u00a0are measures aimed to mitigate the risk of the financial system as a whole, or systemic risk, as opposed to the risk to individual participants. The [Reserve Bank of New Zealand] says it wants to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4826,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/09\/basel-takes-aim-at-mega-bank-macrobusiness-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":14752,"position":4},"title":"Basel takes aim at Mega Bank | | MacroBusiness","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 9, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Deep T: As the research previously posted here on MB shows, Mega Bank [the big four Australian banks: NAB, CBA, WBC and ANZ] carries a level of capital against residential mortgages that is less than 2% even with mortgage insurance. Mega Bank uses internal risk based models to determine the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18993,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/09\/28\/gold-patience-is-required\/","url_meta":{"origin":14752,"position":5},"title":"Gold: Reasons for the up-trend","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 28, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold is in a medium- to long-term up-trend. Apart from record central bank purchases of bullion and a weakening Chinese Yuan, real long-term interest rates are declining. The chart below highlights the inverse relationship between gold and real long-term interest rates (10-year Treasury yield minus CPI YoY%). When LT interest\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14752","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14752"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14752\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14752"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14752"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14752"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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