{"id":14691,"date":"2016-12-15T19:53:53","date_gmt":"2016-12-16T00:53:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=14691"},"modified":"2016-12-15T19:53:53","modified_gmt":"2016-12-16T00:53:53","slug":"will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/15\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\/","title":{"rendered":"Will China&#8217;s Financial Bust Ever Come?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From Paul Panckhurst and Adrian Leung at Bloomberg:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>China&#8217;s reading is the nation&#8217;s highest on record in the gauge released by the Bank for International Settlements. It&#8217;s the single most reliable indicator of looming financial crises, according to the BIS, which found in a 2011 analysis of 36 countries that a majority of banking crises followed readings higher than 10 percent.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/graphics\/2016-china-banking\/\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/charts_china.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The credit-to-gross domestic product \u201cgap\u201d focuses on the amount of credit provided to households and businesses as a share of gross domestic product. It shows when the ratio of credit to GDP is blowing out \u2013 suggesting a credit boom and the risk of trouble brewing.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It isn&#8217;t advisable to place total reliance on a single indicator, but the rate of credit growth in China is alarming &mdash; and unsustainable in the long-term.<\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/graphics\/2016-china-banking\/\">Will China&#8217;s Financial Bust Ever Come?<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Paul Panckhurst and Adrian Leung at Bloomberg: China&#8217;s reading is the nation&#8217;s highest on record in the gauge released by the Bank for International Settlements. It&#8217;s the single most reliable indicator of looming financial crises, according to the BIS, which found in a 2011 analysis of 36 countries that a majority of banking crises &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/15\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Will China&#8217;s Financial Bust Ever Come?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,45],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-debt-levels"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Will China&#039;s Financial Bust Ever Come? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Will China&#039;s Financial Bust Ever Come? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Paul Panckhurst and Adrian Leung at Bloomberg: China&#8217;s reading is the nation&#8217;s highest on record in the gauge released by the Bank for International Settlements. It&#8217;s the single most reliable indicator of looming financial crises, according to the BIS, which found in a 2011 analysis of 36 countries that a majority of banking crises &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Will China&#8217;s Financial Bust Ever Come?&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/15\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-12-16T00:53:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/charts_china.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/15\\\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/15\\\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Will China&#8217;s Financial Bust Ever Come?\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-12-16T00:53:53+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/15\\\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":143,\"commentCount\":2,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/15\\\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/charts_china.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"China &amp; HK\",\"Debt Levels\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/15\\\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/15\\\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2016\\\/12\\\/15\\\/will-chinas-financial-bust-ever-come\\\/\",\"name\":\"Will China's Financial Bust Ever Come? 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The credit-to-gross-domestic-product gap, an early warning of financial overheating, hit 30.1 in China in the first quarter of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15698,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/08\/10\/china-is-the-biggest-credit-bubble-in-the-world-today-crescat-capital\/","url_meta":{"origin":14691,"position":1},"title":"China is the biggest credit bubble in the world today | Crescat Capital","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 10, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"From Nils Jenson at Crescat Capital: History has proven that credit bubbles always burst. China by far is the biggest credit bubble in the world today....... The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has identified an important warning signal to identify credit bubbles that are poised to trigger a banking crisis\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9474,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/12\/how-a-private-credit-boom-can-lead-to-a-sovereign-debt-crises-frbsf\/","url_meta":{"origin":14691,"position":2},"title":"How a private credit boom can lead to a sovereign debt crises | FRBSF","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 12, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"From a FRBSF paper Private Credit and Public Debt in Financial Crises by \u00d2scar Jord\u00e0, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor: Recovery from a recession triggered by a financial crisis is greatly influenced by the government\u2019s fiscal position. A financial crisis puts considerable stress on the government\u2019s budget, sometimes triggering\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Debt Levels&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":65544,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/08\/03\/chinas-slowdown\/","url_meta":{"origin":14691,"position":3},"title":"China&#8217;s Slowdown","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 3, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points China's credit growth slumped to 5.2% in June, down steeply since the 2022 crash in consumer confidence. Housing investment continues to plunge, while fixed asset investment in manufacturing is now shrinking as well. Nominal GDP is growing at an annual rate of 4.1%, while 10-year government bond yields\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China: Consumer Confidence","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-02-china-consumer-confidence.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-02-china-consumer-confidence.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-02-china-consumer-confidence.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-02-china-consumer-confidence.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-02-china-consumer-confidence.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22769,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/11\/21\/china-credit-trembles\/","url_meta":{"origin":14691,"position":4},"title":"China credit trembles","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 21, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The Washington-based Institute of International Finance (IFF) estimates that China\u2019s total domestic debt is likely to reach 335 per cent of GDP in Q2 of 2020 (up 17% from the preceding quarter). China\u2019s domestic debt, denominated in yuan, consists of three components: corporate, household and government debt. Corporate debt includes\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1626,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/27\/china-spoils-the-party-macrobusiness-com-au-macrobusiness-com-au\/","url_meta":{"origin":14691,"position":5},"title":"China spoils the party &#8211; macrobusiness.com.au","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 27, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"From the FT: Chinese metals companies, lynchpins in the global economy, are warning that Beijing\u2019s monetary tightening has gone too far, causing domestic customers to delay orders and raising the risk of payment default. In one of the clearest signs yet of deteriorating sentiment, Baosteel, China\u2019s second-largest steel producer, has\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14691","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14691"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14691\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}