{"id":14632,"date":"2016-12-08T18:41:55","date_gmt":"2016-12-08T23:41:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=14632"},"modified":"2016-12-08T18:41:55","modified_gmt":"2016-12-08T23:41:55","slug":"wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/","title":{"rendered":"Wider trade gap adds to economy&#8217;s worries"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From Jens Meyer and Patrick Commins:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>A surprise blow-out in the October trade deficit has raised questions about the predicted rebound in economic growth, following the first contraction in GDP in five years.<\/p>\n<p>Instead of shrinking as predicted, Australia&#8217;s trade gap widened 20 per cent to $1.54 billion as growth in imports outpaced exports&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/business\/the-economy\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries-20161208-gt6six.html?promote_channel=edmail&amp;mbnr=MTQyOTU1Nzk\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/1481172616413.jpg?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Paul Dales from Capital Economics said the October trade number was worrying as it implied net exports &#8211; a key GDP component &#8211; might be a big drag on economic growth in the fourth quarter, as volumes mattered for real GDP growth.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This could all change when the November and December trade data are released. But at the moment, other parts of the economy will have to be much stronger to prevent another fall in GDP,&#8221; he said, adding that while that was probable, he was nonetheless now more worried about a possible recession.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>On its own, the trade deficit is unlikely to tilt the economy into recession but there is a worrying <a href=\"https:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/2016\/12\/07\/australia-say-goodbye-to-growth\/\">contraction in business investment<\/a>, outside of the expected mining slow-down, and in wages growth.<\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.afr.com\/markets\/commodities\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries-20161208-gt6six\">Wider trade gap adds to economy&#8217;s worries<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Jens Meyer and Patrick Commins: A surprise blow-out in the October trade deficit has raised questions about the predicted rebound in economic growth, following the first contraction in GDP in five years. Instead of shrinking as predicted, Australia&#8217;s trade gap widened 20 per cent to $1.54 billion as growth in imports outpaced exports&#8230;. Paul &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Wider trade gap adds to economy&#8217;s worries&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-economy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Wider trade gap adds to economy&#039;s worries - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Wider trade gap adds to economy&#039;s worries - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"From Jens Meyer and Patrick Commins: A surprise blow-out in the October trade deficit has raised questions about the predicted rebound in economic growth, following the first contraction in GDP in five years. Instead of shrinking as predicted, Australia&#8217;s trade gap widened 20 per cent to $1.54 billion as growth in imports outpaced exports&#8230;. Paul &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Wider trade gap adds to economy&#8217;s worries&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-12-08T23:41:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/1481172616413.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Wider trade gap adds to economy&#8217;s worries\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-12-08T23:41:55+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/\"},\"wordCount\":194,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/1481172616413.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; NZ\",\"Economy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/\",\"name\":\"Wider trade gap adds to economy's worries - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/1481172616413.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-12-08T23:41:55+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/1481172616413.jpg?fit=620%2C349&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/1481172616413.jpg?fit=620%2C349&ssl=1\",\"width\":620,\"height\":349},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/12\/08\/wider-trade-gap-adds-to-economys-worries\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Wider trade gap adds to economy&#8217;s worries\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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From Trivium China: All it took was a once-in-a-century global pandemic and economic crisis. The Chinese government finally dropped its annual GDP growth target, long the foundation for economic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18830,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/09\/06\/australia-the-elephant-in-the-room\/","url_meta":{"origin":14632,"position":1},"title":"Australia: The elephant in the room","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 6, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"June quarter real GDP growth slowed to an annual 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC). Major contributors to growth are household consumption, public demand and exports; while the biggest handbrake is investment. A quick look at the RBA chart shows that consumption is slowing but at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":40639,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/01\/30\/michael-pettis-the-china-shock-is-coming\/","url_meta":{"origin":14632,"position":2},"title":"Michael Pettis: The China Shock is Coming","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 30, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/QcdPMOMS7N8 Michael Pettis is a professor of finance at Peking University in Beijing and one of the foremost Western experts on China, having lived there for almost two decades. He explains the Chinese growth model, why it no longer works, and the hard choices ahead. China's Growth Model China's growth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"China Non-Financial Credit\/GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-01-30-china-credit.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61935,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/10\/australia-cautiously-pessimistic\/","url_meta":{"origin":14632,"position":3},"title":"Australia: &#8220;cautiously pessimistic&#8221;","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 10, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The ASX 200 threatens a new high But consumer sentiment is low Business conditions are weak Commodity exports are slowing, and so is economic growth ASX 200 earnings are likely to follow The ASX 200 is testing resistance at 8600. Breakout would signal a fresh advance, but the earnings\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ASX 200 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-10-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-10-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-10-xjo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4853,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/14\/australia-and-the-endgame\/","url_meta":{"origin":14632,"position":4},"title":"Australia and the Endgame","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 14, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"John Mauldin: We wrote about Australia in a full chapter of Endgame. Their economy never really suffered in the recent debt crisis, in large part due to their growing housing market and their trade with China. If you talk to the average Aussie, they think that all is right with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":59481,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/26\/tariffs-trade-wars-and-the-triffin-dilemma\/","url_meta":{"origin":14632,"position":5},"title":"Tariffs, trade wars, and the Triffin dilemma","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 26, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Free markets and global trade are great as long as everyone follows the rules and shares the surplus created. However, history shows that there are always actors who are prepared to further their interests at the expense of others. Many countries have employed beggar-thy-neighbor trade strategies to boost their manufacturing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"US Manufacturing Jobs","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-25-mnfg-jobs.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-25-mnfg-jobs.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-25-mnfg-jobs.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14632"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14632\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}